Disgusting-Flume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$139

Unrealized P&L

-$14

Hit rate

26.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$310

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-13 00:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Politics

73% 20% -$100

Other

24% 29% -$29

Sports

3% 0% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-13).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes		+54	$20	12¢	$6	-$14	05-13 00:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$50	208	+208	Yes	-$50	04-14 01:22
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	1	$30	73	+73	Yes	-$30	04-20 01:25
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	2	$30	49	+49	No	+$19	04-14 01:39
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	1	$27	85	+85	No	-$27	04-10 01:30
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$20	54	+54	open	—	05-13 00:49
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	1	$18	54	+54	Yes	+$36	04-14 02:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$15	23	+23	No	+$8	04-20 01:22
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	1	$10	356	+356	Yes	-$10	04-10 01:29
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	1	$10	909	+909	No	-$10	05-13 00:52
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	1	$10	188	+188	Yes	-$10	05-13 00:56
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30?	1	$10	46	+46	No	-$10	05-13 00:50
russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	1	$10	15	+15	Yes	+$5	04-14 01:31
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April?	1	$10	24	+24	No	-$10	04-20 01:31
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	1	$10	74	+74	Yes	-$10	05-13 00:54
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	1	$10	90	+90	Yes	-$10	04-29 01:28
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	1	$5	282	+282	No	-$5	04-14 01:47
trump announces tariff for iran military cooperation by april 17	1	$5	83	+83	No	-$5	04-14 01:50
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	56	+56	No	-$5	05-13 00:51
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	1	$5	18	+18	No	-$5	04-20 01:30
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	1	$5	11	+11	Yes	-$5	04-14 01:55
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	1	$5	28	+28	No	-$5	04-20 01:26
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?	1	$5	86	+86	No	-$5	05-13 00:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$4	10	+10	Yes	+$6	04-20 01:33
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	05-13 00:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 00:57:17	Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?	Yes	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xa66078…
05-13 00:56:53	Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?	Yes	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0x04c5af…
05-13 00:56:05	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	No	BUY	188	5¢	$10	0x36deea…
05-13 00:54:20	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	No	BUY	74	13¢	$10	0xb58871…
05-13 00:52:27	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?	Yes	BUY	909	1¢	$10	0x40aefd…
05-13 00:51:27	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x95a59e…
05-13 00:50:21	US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xcc41d1…
05-13 00:49:25	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x7e5b1e…
04-29 01:28:12	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x401bd3…
04-20 01:33:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x380125…
04-20 01:31:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xdbf373…
04-20 01:30:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe8f981…
04-20 01:26:40	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2cd656…
04-20 01:25:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0x92fc07…
04-20 01:22:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x8487da…
04-14 02:06:39	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	34¢	$18	0xc2d083…
04-14 01:55:23	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5d19ab…
04-14 01:50:35	trump announces tariff for iran military cooperation by april 17	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x96f8aa…
04-14 01:47:17	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	Yes	BUY	282	2¢	$5	0x5bdcad…
04-14 01:39:07	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x9b28fd…
04-14 01:36:49	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x8cc738…
04-14 01:31:05	russia military action against kyiv municipality by april 17	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x22eab0…
04-14 01:22:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x3f542a…
04-10 01:30:11	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	Yes	BUY	85	31¢	$27	0xdfe2d8…
04-10 01:29:19	Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	No	BUY	356	3¢	$10	0xa1349a…