Mixed-Gas — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

388

lifetime

Volume

$2.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 05-13 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% $-55

Politics

25% 0% $-2

Sports

6% — —

Crypto

4% 0% $-29

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$189	307	154	+154	open	—	04-17 13:19
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$180	698	698	+0	open	—	04-08 00:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	3	$160	131	131	-0	open	—	04-08 00:20
atp diallo molcan 2026 04 01	3	$151	123	123	-0	open	—	04-01 15:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	3	$143	24,876	6,219	+18,657	open	—	04-09 00:21
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	3	$103	133	67	+67	open	—	04-15 13:27
fl1 psg tou 2026 04 03 psg	2	$94	201	201	+0	open	—	04-03 10:38
highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 17c	7	$68	191	75	+116	open	—	03-31 22:03
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39	1	$50	356	0	+356	open	—	04-21 20:48
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	1	$50	208	0	+208	open	—	04-21 20:49
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$50	1,186	0	+1,186	Yes	$-50	04-09 01:18
atp burruch nakashi 2026 04 02	1	$50	49,751	0	+49,751	open	—	04-02 23:37
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	1	$50	383	0	+383	open	—	04-08 20:01
mlb oak atl 2026 03 31 spread home 1pt5	1	$50	121	0	+121	open	—	03-31 22:46
bra san cre 2026 04 02 san	2	$50	118	0	+118	open	—	04-02 22:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	3	$50	146	0	+146	open	—	04-09 16:31
atp midon torres 2026 04 01	1	$50	128	0	+128	open	—	04-01 15:13
highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 13c	2	$49	41	39	+2	open	—	04-01 15:13
highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 16c	11	$47	381	50	+331	open	—	03-31 22:02
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	1	$45	1,529	0	+1,529	open	—	04-23 16:42
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw	2	$29	371	180	+191	open	—	04-08 20:35
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$25	196	0	+196	open	—	04-16 21:20
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	1	$25	93	0	+93	open	—	04-16 21:20
highest temperature in madrid on april 1 2026 20c	3	$25	53	0	+53	open	—	03-31 20:24
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$23	380	380	+0	open	—	04-02 17:48
highest temperature in atlanta on april 1 2026 82 83f	2	$21	24	23	+1	open	—	04-01 15:14
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$20	3,333	0	+3,333	open	—	03-26 15:43
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$19	355	355	+0	open	—	04-02 17:48
highest temperature in beijing on april 2 2026 19c	2	$19	38	37	+1	open	—	04-01 15:22
Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	2	$18	143	143	+0	open	—	04-02 17:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 09:06:37	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0xff5750…
05-13 09:06:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x2b7efa…
05-13 09:06:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x721eb9…
05-13 09:06:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x1e3524…
05-13 09:06:32	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x822062…
05-13 09:06:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x07f8b3…
05-11 12:25:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xc40930…
05-11 12:24:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xb77df8…
05-08 17:41:56	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	163	0¢	$0	0x241301…
05-08 17:36:41	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 4 above $470?	Yes	BUY	46	1¢	$1	0x59c020…
05-08 17:34:42	Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of May 4 above $470?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x302664…
05-08 17:34:40	Will Ethereum reach $3,100 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	949	0¢	$1	0x61e1e4…
05-08 03:20:20	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 4 above $8.50?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xfb3055…
05-08 03:19:07	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 4 above $8.50?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x436d7f…
05-07 23:59:21	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	205	1¢	$1	0x24588c…
05-07 20:56:04	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $252 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x63e67a…
05-07 19:22:02	Will Solana dip to $10 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	208	1¢	$1	0xed32de…
05-07 19:16:22	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	16	1¢	$0	0x876b43…
05-07 19:04:00	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xeb859a…
05-07 19:04:00	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xc836b6…
05-07 19:03:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x55c5df…
05-07 18:56:08	Will Solana dip to $10 May 4-10?	Yes	BUY	119	0¢	$0	0x615b70…
05-07 18:56:06	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	305	1¢	$2	0x40b8ac…
05-07 18:56:04	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of May 4 above $8.50?	Yes	BUY	67	0¢	$0	0xd7811f…
05-07 18:56:04	Will the price of Solana be above $130 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	115	0¢	$0	0x5c2ff4…
05-07 18:56:01	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $252 Week of May 4 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0x441dea…
05-07 18:50:20	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on May 8?	No	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0x2d68a0…
05-07 18:43:06	BNB Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xef84df…
05-07 18:42:57	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on May 8?	No	BUY	1,832	0¢	$2	0x24de9e…
05-07 18:42:52	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x13b90d…
05-07 18:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xeb5847…
05-07 18:42:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x544552…
04-27 00:42:52	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,350	0¢	$3	0x8f74fe…
04-27 00:41:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x9c9b0f…
04-27 00:41:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xc6d400…
04-27 00:41:02	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	Yes	BUY	76	3¢	$2	0x2c25a9…
04-27 00:40:42	Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	253	1¢	$2	0x073fc3…
04-27 00:40:38	Will Canada send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x916adc…
04-27 00:40:34	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	1¢	$2	0x6a211c…
04-27 00:40:26	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	1¢	$2	0xc3411b…
04-27 00:40:18	Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa35f7c…
04-27 00:40:14	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	223	1¢	$3	0xe2f90a…
04-27 00:40:06	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	252	1¢	$3	0x978e2f…
04-27 00:40:04	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	2¢	$2	0x97827d…
04-27 00:39:52	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	1¢	$2	0x6cf054…
04-27 00:39:48	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	2¢	$2	0xef94a0…
04-27 00:39:22	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0x7970b7…
04-27 00:39:00	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	733	0¢	$2	0xaad06d…
04-27 00:38:28	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xadb788…
04-27 00:29:00	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Melania Trump by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x663b31…
04-27 00:28:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130	2¢	$2	0xbbedc4…
04-27 00:25:38	Will Trump dance today?	No	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x7311b5…
04-23 23:41:20	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy booster 488 561 331 756 239 646 369 428 878 438 352 391 485 244	Yes	BUY	121	2¢	$2	0xff120c…
04-23 23:41:10	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 12 achieve a successful splashdown 949 385 253 275 459 885 386 219 527 127 564 955	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0xdc2fb6…
04-23 23:41:04	will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	Yes	BUY	109	2¢	$2	0xd81756…
04-23 23:41:00	will spacex starship flight test 12 launch by april 30 133 938	Yes	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0x914f35…
04-23 23:36:54	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the best ai model on april 24 2026	No	BUY	162	4¢	$6	0x353278…
04-23 23:36:36	will claude opus 4 6 be the best ai model on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	845	0¢	$2	0x7b58fc…
04-23 23:36:28	will gpt 5pt4 high be the best ai model on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	1,040	0¢	$2	0x98f93c…
04-23 23:36:08	will claude opus 4 7 thinking be the best ai model on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	377	1¢	$5	0x908eff…
04-23 23:35:24	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the best ai model on april 24 2026	No	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xfd1f33…
04-23 23:34:38	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xd3135b…
04-23 23:34:24	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xacce13…
04-23 23:34:20	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xb76a3b…
04-23 23:34:14	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x570f48…
04-23 23:34:10	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x3d82a8…
04-23 23:34:08	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xa7ec63…
04-23 23:24:26	Will Virtus Entella achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf17df3…
04-23 23:24:18	Will Spezia achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	196	1¢	$2	0xf97885…
04-23 23:24:12	Will Pescara achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xfdd48f…
04-23 23:23:58	Will Reggiana achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x285288…
04-23 23:23:52	Will Bari achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xe5cf7f…
04-23 23:23:52	Will Virtus Entella achieve promotion from Serie B to Serie A for the 2026-27 season?	Yes	BUY	108	2¢	$2	0x78c836…
04-23 16:42:00	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,529	3¢	$45	0xbb8095…
04-23 16:41:28	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x24bdfb…
04-23 16:40:56	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xc8378d…
04-23 02:33:12	Will BNB reach $800 in April?	Yes	BUY	165	1¢	$2	0xbc567d…
04-23 02:33:02	Will BNB reach $900 in April?	Yes	BUY	146	1¢	$1	0xa0d8b9…
04-23 02:32:52	Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb4a6d4…
04-23 02:32:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xc3a2f5…
04-23 02:32:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x257123…
04-23 02:32:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xcb2ee1…
04-23 02:23:14	will posture be said during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x585410…
04-23 02:19:16	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	92	2¢	$2	0x260225…
04-23 02:19:12	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	2¢	$2	0x774fdc…
04-21 21:00:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x3fef1f…
04-21 21:00:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	Yes	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x067845…
04-21 20:59:42	Will Solange Couto be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	209	0¢	$1	0xaee7d3…
04-21 20:59:34	Will Marciele Albuquerque be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x568795…
04-21 20:59:30	Will Samira Sagr be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0xaeea9e…
04-21 20:59:24	Will Jordana Morais be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	123	1¢	$1	0xca1078…
04-21 20:59:20	Will Alberto Pimentel be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	93	1¢	$1	0x9e2baa…
04-21 20:59:12	Will Gabriela Saporito be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x3e9308…
04-21 20:59:04	Will Ana Paula Renault be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xa01765…
04-21 20:59:00	Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x9184dd…
04-21 20:58:58	Will Leandro Rocha be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0xbe830c…
04-21 20:58:54	Will Jonas Sulzbach be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x05f0b9…
04-21 20:58:26	cz binance of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 200plus	Yes	BUY	254	0¢	$1	0xa2e982…
04-21 20:58:22	cz binance of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 180 199	Yes	BUY	179	1¢	$1	0x1fc192…
04-21 20:58:18	cz binance of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 160 179	Yes	BUY	257	0¢	$1	0xfc8d57…