Realized P&L
-$646
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
41.3%
Resolved
435
Trades
642
lifetime
Volume
$3.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$86
5 positions
First seen
2026-03-26
last 07-02 20:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
66%
2%
-$581
Politics
24%
9%
+$160
Sports
4%
11%
-$66
Crypto
4%
0%
-$114
Tech
1%
0%
-$39
Pop-Culture
0%
0%
-$6
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -1,997 | -$39 | 1¢ | $-25 | +$14 | 07-02 20:46 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | -133 | -$17 | 18¢ | $-23 | -$6 | 07-02 20:46 | |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -1,143 | -$14 | 2¢ | $-22 | -$9 | 07-02 20:46 | |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | -204 | -$19 | 8¢ | $-15 | +$4 | 07-02 20:46 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $300B and $400B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | Yes | -254 | -$1 | 0¢ | $-0 | +$0 | 07-02 20:46 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | 2 | $300 | 329 | 316 | +13 | Yes | +$311 | 04-30 12:19 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | 3 | $189 | 307 | 154 | +154 | No | +$7 | 04-17 13:19 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346 | 3 | $180 | 698 | 698 | +0 | Yes | +$89 | 04-08 00:20 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 30 | 3 | $160 | 131 | 131 | -0 | Yes | +$61 | 04-08 00:20 |
| atp diallo molcan 2026 04 01 | 3 | $151 | 123 | 123 | -0 | Alex Molcan | +$52 | 04-01 15:13 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 3 | $143 | 24,876 | 6,219 | +18,657 | Yes | -$56 | 04-09 00:21 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | 3 | $103 | 133 | 67 | +67 | Yes | +$69 | 04-15 13:27 |
| fl1 psg tou 2026 04 03 psg | 2 | $94 | 201 | 201 | +0 | Yes | -$6 | 04-03 10:38 |
| highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 17c | 7 | $68 | 191 | 75 | +116 | No | -$32 | 03-31 22:03 |
| elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64 | 1 | $50 | 208 | 0 | +208 | Yes | -$50 | 04-21 20:49 |
| elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 0 39 | 1 | $50 | 356 | 0 | +356 | No | -$50 | 04-21 20:48 |
| Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? | 2 | $50 | 1,186 | 0 | +1,186 | Yes | -$50 | 04-09 01:18 |
| atp burruch nakashi 2026 04 02 | 1 | $50 | 49,751 | 0 | +49,751 | Roman Andres Burruchaga | -$50 | 04-02 23:37 |
| ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1 | 1 | $50 | 383 | 0 | +383 | No | -$50 | 04-08 20:01 |
| mlb oak atl 2026 03 31 spread home 1pt5 | 1 | $50 | 121 | 0 | +121 | Athletics | -$50 | 03-31 22:46 |
| bra san cre 2026 04 02 san | 2 | $50 | 118 | 0 | +118 | Yes | -$50 | 04-02 22:41 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April? | 3 | $50 | 146 | 0 | +146 | Yes | +$97 | 04-09 16:31 |
| atp midon torres 2026 04 01 | 1 | $50 | 128 | 0 | +128 | Lautaro Midon | -$50 | 04-01 15:13 |
| highest temperature in istanbul on april 1 2026 13c | 2 | $49 | 41 | 39 | +2 | Yes | +$31 | 04-01 15:13 |
| highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 16c | 11 | $47 | 381 | 50 | +331 | No | -$36 | 03-31 22:02 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | 1 | $45 | 1,529 | 0 | +1,529 | Yes | -$45 | 04-23 16:42 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | 1 | $39 | 0 | 1,997 | -1,997 | open | — | 07-02 20:46 |
| ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw | 2 | $29 | 371 | 180 | +191 | No | -$15 | 04-08 20:35 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026? | 1 | $25 | 196 | 0 | +196 | Yes | -$25 | 04-16 21:20 |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026? | 1 | $25 | 93 | 0 | +93 | Yes | -$25 | 04-16 21:20 |
| highest temperature in madrid on april 1 2026 20c | 3 | $25 | 53 | 0 | +53 | No | -$25 | 03-31 20:24 |
| Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | 2 | $23 | 380 | 380 | +0 | No | +$3 | 04-02 17:48 |
| highest temperature in atlanta on april 1 2026 82 83f | 2 | $21 | 24 | 23 | +1 | No | +$1 | 04-01 15:14 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 1 | $20 | 3,333 | 0 | +3,333 | No | -$20 | 03-26 15:43 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | 1 | $19 | 0 | 204 | -204 | open | — | 07-02 20:46 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||