Made-Up-Spyglass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

Trades

276

lifetime

Volume

$1.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-23 23:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 24% $-23

Other

17% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 174 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	7	$172	621	91	+530	open	—	05-23 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	3	$49	50	27	+24	Down	$-1	05-06 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$47	32	25	+7	Down	+$3	05-05 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$46	26	26	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	4	$36	32	32	+0	open	—	05-04 08:55
Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on May 3?	2	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	3	$28	35	17	+18	Down	+$5	05-06 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$28	53	24	+29	open	—	05-03 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	5	$26	23	22	+2	open	—	05-04 00:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$25	52	45	+7	open	—	05-04 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$24	29	29	+0	open	—	05-04 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$22	31	23	+8	Up	+$6	05-07 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$20	51	13	+38	open	—	05-04 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$19	26	15	+11	Up	+$3	05-07 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	5	$19	78	11	+67	open	—	05-04 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$17	22	13	+9	open	—	05-04 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	5	$17	30	24	+6	open	—	05-04 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$16	33	12	+21	open	—	05-03 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$14	18	15	+3	open	—	05-04 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$14	77	9	+68	open	—	05-03 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$13	17	10	+8	open	—	05-04 08:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 3?	1	$13	522	0	+522	open	—	05-03 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	6	$12	125	7	+118	open	—	05-04 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$11	15	9	+6	open	—	05-04 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$11	31	7	+24	Up	$-1	05-07 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$11	14	7	+7	open	—	05-04 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	3	$10	16	6	+10	open	—	05-03 23:00
Kash Patel out by April 30?	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	04-27 20:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	04-27 20:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 23:08:18	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x7cb68c…
05-23 23:07:55	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	91	97¢	$88	0x05d9a4…
05-23 23:02:56	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0f90d9…
05-23 22:53:31	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	81	68¢	$55	0x4b9966…
05-23 17:56:55	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x99a3e2…
05-23 17:56:41	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x9ca000…
05-23 16:20:12	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x45bd84…
05-08 12:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa80516…
05-07 23:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6d1aa6…
05-07 23:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x18dcf4…
05-07 23:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa311ac…
05-07 23:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1ee3bc…
05-07 23:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x0b5afb…
05-07 23:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xc32bad…
05-07 23:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x6739a6…
05-07 23:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xb74505…
05-07 23:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	73¢	$11	0xcbf3ab…
05-07 23:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x459db0…
05-07 22:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x359671…
05-07 22:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0x65b6a9…
05-07 22:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0c4f5d…
05-06 12:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x52e39b…
05-06 11:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb72891…
05-06 09:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x4d90f7…
05-06 09:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x8fe89d…
05-06 09:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x850325…
05-06 09:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x40023b…
05-06 09:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xe247d2…
05-06 09:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xa16c68…
05-06 07:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	27	90¢	$24	0xbeb436…
05-06 07:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x887e9c…
05-06 07:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x946d17…
05-05 18:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x54ec91…
05-05 18:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x1c8e95…
05-05 18:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe70323…
05-05 18:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x091791…
05-05 18:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb5b403…
05-05 18:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe0d07e…
05-05 06:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xe87e1a…
05-04 21:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x0aed77…
05-04 21:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xbb83d8…
05-04 21:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x93f4b6…
05-04 21:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd16c83…
05-04 21:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x378a9d…
05-04 21:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3299a8…
05-04 21:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcf2426…
05-04 21:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc6b409…
05-04 21:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd0862d…
05-04 21:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x183c85…
05-04 21:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x2697db…
05-04 21:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd832c8…
05-04 21:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xe8ec32…
05-04 21:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd846aa…
05-04 21:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc8b818…
05-04 21:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb238eb…
05-04 21:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf488da…
05-04 21:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xe4e74b…
05-04 19:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x4a6356…
05-04 19:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xec1c03…
05-04 19:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x0b423d…
05-04 18:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9b8145…
05-04 18:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x3bf1a0…
05-04 15:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xc329ec…
05-04 15:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xca9a00…
05-04 15:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	45	46¢	$21	0x7b6e19…
05-04 15:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdf512e…
05-04 15:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x6ce6ab…
05-04 15:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x05a084…
05-04 15:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x747c07…
05-04 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xdaa035…
05-04 15:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x99ec4c…
05-04 15:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xb340f5…
05-04 15:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x203243…
05-04 15:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x734363…
05-04 15:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb0d094…
05-04 15:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xc9d7c7…
05-04 15:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xa8d062…
05-04 15:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1fdd7b…
05-04 15:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd9dd91…
05-04 15:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xec3af4…
05-04 15:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3610b1…
05-04 15:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0cb643…
05-04 15:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x659fe6…
05-04 15:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5fcfe4…
05-04 15:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb30838…
05-04 15:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc990f3…
05-04 15:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xafbb87…
05-04 14:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x1b1ccf…
05-04 14:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xc0164a…
05-04 14:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9bc1e0…
05-04 14:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfc353f…
05-04 14:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x59c5e4…
05-04 14:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc83790…
05-04 14:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf67709…
05-04 14:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xae0b15…
05-04 14:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x78e16c…
05-04 14:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x65f56e…
05-04 14:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xcbef2b…
05-04 14:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa38fff…
05-04 14:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf92484…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	95	$88.4K	12,148	05-22 15:12
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	94	$106.9K	8,711	05-08 12:44
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	94	$40.6K	6,060	05-08 12:44
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	94	$37.1K	10,193	05-08 12:44
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	94	$37.0K	5,617	05-08 12:43
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	94	$33.2K	8,942	05-08 12:44
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	94	$20.2K	3,648	05-08 12:44
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	94	$8.27K	2,331	05-08 12:44