Focused-Developing — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$131

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

1,418 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$598

$52.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 08-30 21:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 135 days

Categories

Other

85% 66% +$259

Sports

11% 52% -$104

Politics

4% 100% +$184

Crypto

0% 83% +$36

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	13	$3.2K	1,714	1,764	-50	Yes	+$94	06-25 00:13
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 1?	4	$1.2K	606	606	+0	No	+$45	07-01 19:14
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 25 2026 30c	13	$942	557	557	+0	Yes	+$59	03-26 00:25
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 7 2026 31c	3	$917	468	467	+1	No	+$18	04-07 23:54
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 26 2026 29c	39	$878	930	480	+450	No	-$599	03-26 17:22
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 1 2026 28c	6	$817	419	418	+1	No	+$18	04-01 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 29?	4	$673	354	354	+0	No	+$33	06-29 23:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$624	711	0	+711	No	+$87	05-28 17:21
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 1 2026 24c	4	$607	339	336	+4	No	+$3	04-01 17:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$604	647	0	+647	No	+$43	05-26 12:46
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 8 2026 26c	9	$538	377	277	+100	No	-$13	04-08 14:12
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 8 2026 30c	3	$523	266	266	+0	No	+$7	04-08 18:56
fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	4	$462	524	0	+524	Argentina	+$62	07-12 03:37
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 26c	7	$409	445	157	+289	Yes	-$14	04-22 18:08
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 10 2026 24c	2	$404	204	204	+0	No	+$4	04-11 00:20
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 23 2026 28c	8	$404	228	228	+0	No	+$43	03-23 18:02
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 15 2026 25c	7	$402	275	161	+114	No	+$12	04-15 16:52
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 15 2026 27c	6	$388	395	78	+317	Yes	-$36	04-15 19:01
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 7 2026 28c	13	$374	393	156	+237	Yes	-$103	04-07 17:01
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 28c	4	$358	383	0	+383	No	+$25	04-18 15:01
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 18 2026 29c	6	$356	184	184	+0	No	+$12	03-18 17:07
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 14 2026 27c	7	$342	380	0	+380	No	+$38	04-14 17:28
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 16 2026 32c	4	$320	164	164	+0	Yes	+$7	03-16 23:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	2	$319	170	170	+0	Yes	+$17	06-16 03:05
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 13 2026 26c	11	$313	271	113	+159	No	-$18	04-13 17:44
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 5?	9	$304	344	125	+220	Yes	-$67	05-05 16:58
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 6 2026 31c	1	$300	301	0	+301	No	+$1	04-06 14:25
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 25 2026 29c	12	$295	217	217	+0	No	+$51	03-25 16:02
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 27 2026 30c	16	$294	335	235	+100	Yes	+$60	03-27 18:12
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 20 2026 28c	6	$289	244	244	+0	No	+$9	03-20 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 21:34:00	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	193	49¢	$94	0x2ee8ac…
08-30 17:07:06	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0x33ca18…
08-30 14:52:07	SE Palmeiras to score first vs. Mirassol FC?	Yes	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x9f8fa8…
08-30 14:51:16	Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x0aa52e…
08-30 04:17:12	Manchester United FC to score first vs. Ipswich Town FC?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x5e6c5c…
08-30 04:09:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x020ebe…
08-30 04:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$40	0xc117c4…
08-29 11:42:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on August 29?	No	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xe4090d…
08-29 11:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x79c07f…
08-28 16:27:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 29?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xf00600…
08-28 12:27:25	FC Bayern München to score first vs. VfB Stuttgart?	Yes	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0x6c4402…
08-28 12:26:27	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0xf6b106…
08-28 12:26:10	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	31	58¢	$18	0xe2b789…
08-28 12:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on August 28?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4679ec…
08-28 12:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0x6243fa…
08-28 12:18:16	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0xe3a7e2…
08-28 01:23:30	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 40 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xf0a77f…
08-28 01:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xa5d225…
08-28 01:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf146f2…
08-27 17:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on August 27?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x9eabd8…
08-27 16:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 33°C on August 28?	No	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0x35d54e…
08-27 13:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	27	71¢	$19	0x1b31a7…
08-27 13:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0xeccb57…
08-27 00:30:12	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x71799f…
08-26 20:30:00	Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x582ae1…
08-26 16:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 26?	No	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x206eb2…
08-26 13:31:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 26?	No	BUY	29	61¢	$18	0x3d95c8…
07-27 16:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 27?	No	SELL	74	43¢	$32	0x3d02ae…
07-27 15:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 27?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x7a2912…
07-27 12:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 27?	No	BUY	74	41¢	$30	0x6a375b…
07-27 12:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x2ba4e8…
07-27 11:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x01a2d7…
07-27 11:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x934b45…
07-27 05:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 27?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x0b3dd5…
07-27 05:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 27?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x334d77…
07-27 03:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	31	6¢	$2	0xc9f760…
07-27 03:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x50aad2…
07-27 03:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x2c6293…
07-26 16:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 26?	No	BUY	26	68¢	$18	0xeeb4d0…
07-26 16:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	38	96¢	$36	0xc093e6…
07-24 15:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 24?	No	BUY	16	84¢	$13	0x2d2bf9…
07-24 13:01:12	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 24?	No	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0xb2dcf6…
07-24 13:00:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 24?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x2bc475…
07-23 15:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 23?	No	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0xa4792a…
07-22 19:15:12	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	BUY	41	68¢	$28	0xf0da12…
07-22 19:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 22?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$48	0x08f1f3…
07-22 14:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 22?	No	BUY	49	64¢	$31	0xf2dfa2…
07-22 14:00:43	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	SELL	48	66¢	$31	0x92c85f…
07-22 14:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 22?	No	BUY	34	92¢	$31	0x3c21f7…
07-22 13:56:31	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	SELL	48	66¢	$31	0x28fac1…
07-22 13:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 22?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x46a548…
07-22 13:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 22?	No	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x7b8942…
07-22 13:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 22?	No	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x797fc6…
07-22 13:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 22?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3231e2…
07-22 12:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 22?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x75297b…
07-21 18:25:13	Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-22?	Yes	BUY	95	67¢	$64	0xa87436…
07-21 16:28:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x49bd5d…
07-21 16:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xa4ed42…
07-21 14:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 21?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x220c41…
07-21 13:03:01	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x114dae…
07-21 12:58:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xd9c352…
07-21 12:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 21?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x98e361…
07-20 14:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0xc8dd05…
07-20 14:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8ec7f7…
07-20 13:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd76f22…
07-20 13:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 20?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x5246df…
07-20 13:07:51	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xaa43c9…
07-20 13:07:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 20?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xe3b736…
07-18 18:59:45	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	91	40¢	$37	0xd30736…
07-18 15:05:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 18?	No	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xdaa270…
07-18 14:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 18?	No	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xb95215…
07-18 01:47:36	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x454a79…
07-17 13:01:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 17?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x214a3a…
07-17 12:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 18?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x1d1c9b…
07-17 11:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xa33a74…
07-17 11:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 17?	No	BUY	28	91¢	$25	0xe09ac8…
07-16 17:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 16?	No	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x7fb96b…
07-16 16:59:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 16?	No	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0x3279ce…
07-16 16:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x86d8db…
07-16 15:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	14	83¢	$11	0xa2f5ab…
07-16 14:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xbaec33…
07-16 14:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8f8ab2…
07-16 14:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xca62f9…
07-16 14:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 16?	No	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xc07b30…
07-16 14:34:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x2d8af6…
07-16 14:33:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0xc22a31…
07-16 14:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 16?	No	SELL	105	86¢	$90	0xf16e08…
07-16 14:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 16?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x576196…
07-16 14:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x732907…
07-16 14:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	41	77¢	$32	0x08cfba…
07-16 14:09:20	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on July 16?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xdd63c4…
07-15 20:21:34	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xc0a55a…
07-15 20:21:08	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x55b958…
07-15 19:05:07	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xf42d61…
07-15 17:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 15?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x58d52e…
07-15 17:14:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 15?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x546055…
07-15 17:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 15?	No	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0xd70427…
07-15 17:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 15?	No	SELL	16	57¢	$9	0x80587a…
07-15 17:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 15?	No	BUY	43	66¢	$28	0x37645f…
07-15 15:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 15?	No	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x3043e8…