Insidious-Providence — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

122 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$848

$23.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$191

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-16 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

63% 94% +$81

Crypto

28% 83% +$7

Politics

8% 100% +$10

Sports

0% 100% +$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	29	$1.7K	836	836	+0	No	+$3	07-30 18:40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$1.7K	834	834	+0	No	+$4	07-29 18:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$1.7K	833	833	+0	No	+$3	07-24 01:40
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	10	$1.6K	826	826	+0	No	+$4	06-23 08:11
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	5	$1.6K	829	829	+0	No	+$9	06-01 08:17
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	8	$1.5K	759	759	+0	No	+$3	02-28 12:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$1.4K	713	713	+0	No	+$3	08-16 12:53
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	5	$1.3K	657	657	+0	No	+$5	03-25 09:00
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.3K	653	653	+0	No	+$1	03-06 21:53
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$1.3K	654	654	+0	No	-$1	03-15 02:17
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	2	$1.1K	553	553	+0	No	+$3	03-29 07:49
will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	26	$1.0K	517	517	+0	No	+$16	02-25 08:02
will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	2	$993	497	497	+0	No	+$1	01-28 13:30
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$989	496	496	+0	No	+$3	01-21 14:58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	2	$874	438	438	+0	No	+$1	06-30 04:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$680	697	0	+697	No	+$17	04-07 23:22
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	1	$679	680	0	+680	No	+$1	03-30 00:20
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	2	$476	239	239	+0	No	+$0	02-25 09:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	2	$363	182	182	+0	No	+$1	06-30 11:52
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	2	$278	147	147	+0	No	+$11	08-16 12:53
will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	2	$253	128	128	+0	No	+$1	03-26 12:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	4	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$1	06-25 17:54
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	2	$114	0	120	-120	No	-$6	04-28 17:48
atp herbert bailly 2026 03 02	2	$110	122	0	+122	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	+$12	03-04 14:56
nba dal cha 2026 03 03	1	$103	110	0	+110	Hornets	+$7	03-04 01:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-16 12:53:33	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	147	99¢	$145	0x3c82a9…
08-16 12:53:22	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	713	99¢	$704	0x15e8fc…
08-01 08:11:36	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	147	91¢	$133	0xe56b1a…
08-01 08:10:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	713	98¢	$701	0xaa4c04…
07-30 18:40:00	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	426	100¢	$425	0xbce4c9…
07-30 17:06:12	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xd41f4c…
07-30 16:35:06	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x691f83…
07-30 16:30:47	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7aee5d…
07-30 16:25:17	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd92471…
07-30 16:23:44	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x7fc0f6…
07-30 16:11:33	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3df56d…
07-30 16:08:45	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	127	100¢	$127	0x2924f3…
07-30 16:01:12	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3e3aec…
07-30 15:54:39	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5a09dc…
07-30 15:43:54	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe4c013…
07-30 15:40:59	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbec218…
07-30 15:38:30	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2e3bfa…
07-30 15:35:35	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf1e46a…
07-30 15:25:44	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x2356ab…
07-30 15:25:11	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd8ff6f…
07-30 15:17:47	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb8d3ec…
07-30 15:17:03	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8993e7…
07-30 15:16:17	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xd323d2…
07-30 15:13:56	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0x9eba02…
07-30 15:12:41	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x3a39d6…
07-30 15:11:54	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x723b48…
07-30 15:10:45	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xb55bb7…
07-30 15:08:24	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe6f881…
07-30 15:06:56	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xd7e5ac…
07-30 15:05:05	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x13e66b…
07-30 15:01:21	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x383b8e…
07-30 14:57:48	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x149ba7…
07-30 03:00:00	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	836	100¢	$833	0x1af031…
07-29 18:00:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	834	100¢	$833	0x04b8c6…
07-24 01:41:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	834	99¢	$829	0xe1e7a9…
07-24 01:40:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	725	100¢	$722	0x10837f…
07-15 12:28:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xb64933…
07-06 11:31:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	725	99¢	$720	0x26ae49…
06-30 11:52:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	182	100¢	$182	0x90f72b…
06-30 04:47:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	438	100¢	$438	0x88f3d8…
06-25 17:54:32	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x30adbe…
06-25 16:14:13	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x12c4db…
06-25 14:48:56	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x2d2cd1…
06-24 03:27:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	438	100¢	$436	0x3c6361…
06-24 03:26:56	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$181	0x9a64cb…
06-23 08:11:44	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x689f41…
06-23 08:11:41	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x9d0caf…
06-23 08:11:38	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x4ee54a…
06-23 08:11:20	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	105	100¢	$104	0x319cd3…
06-23 08:11:19	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0xdebd2b…
06-23 08:11:08	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x702509…
06-20 02:35:56	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	108	98¢	$106	0xc21ea7…
06-10 16:22:24	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x2ecc54…
06-10 01:09:55	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x385edd…
06-08 06:32:07	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$96	0xaaf31f…
06-08 06:32:06	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x495817…
06-03 11:29:48	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	826	99¢	$819	0x5990a4…
06-01 08:17:34	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	195	99¢	$192	0x70d26e…
06-01 07:51:08	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xf5d5ae…
06-01 07:20:19	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	187	99¢	$185	0x0e4827…
06-01 06:26:58	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	430	99¢	$425	0xf27c02…
05-08 03:31:55	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	829	98¢	$810	0xdf068c…
04-28 17:48:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	110	95¢	$104	0xf751a2…
04-28 17:34:30	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xfda808…
04-07 23:22:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	697	97¢	$680	0x84924a…
03-30 00:20:02	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	680	100¢	$679	0x7b4274…
03-29 07:49:28	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	SELL	553	100¢	$552	0x06ff65…
03-26 12:25:53	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	SELL	128	100¢	$127	0x5ddadd…
03-25 09:03:43	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	553	99¢	$548	0xa6d452…
03-25 09:00:27	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	352	100¢	$351	0x5d28a3…
03-22 07:38:33	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	215	100¢	$215	0xbac978…
03-22 07:30:07	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa86d63…
03-22 07:23:23	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x2e7881…
03-15 02:39:41	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	657	99¢	$650	0x976b5c…
03-15 02:17:55	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	654	100¢	$650	0x4a6990…
03-11 03:05:53	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	BUY	128	99¢	$126	0x22df92…
03-07 07:28:05	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	654	100¢	$651	0xee0a11…
03-06 21:53:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	653	100¢	$652	0x6b5fc3…
03-04 14:56:19	atp herbert bailly 2026 03 02	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x21da37…
03-04 14:56:09	atp herbert bailly 2026 03 02	Pierre-Hugues Herbert	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x6bf20f…
03-04 01:06:01	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	653	100¢	$650	0xbd95f8…
03-04 01:05:17	nba dal cha 2026 03 03	Hornets	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0x285de2…
02-28 12:14:33	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xd414b9…
02-28 11:46:09	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x7c4704…
02-28 10:55:29	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x785302…
02-28 08:02:25	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x9cd0b6…
02-28 07:44:29	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x3ac0f8…
02-28 07:27:11	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	506	99¢	$502	0x711ed6…
02-28 07:22:39	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0x8e2018…
02-25 16:01:30	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	759	99¢	$750	0xf29ed8…
02-25 09:49:02	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	SELL	239	100¢	$238	0x060713…
02-25 08:02:50	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	284	99¢	$281	0x12cc73…
02-25 08:00:10	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x434514…
02-25 07:57:36	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x72810f…
02-25 07:53:34	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcf3b95…
02-25 07:52:44	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x074887…
02-25 07:48:26	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4bb756…
02-25 07:44:52	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0cb9ac…
02-25 07:41:56	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa63017…
02-25 07:35:34	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6e7dc3…