Scratchy-Analogue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

25.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$290

Open exposure

$3.58K

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-14 05:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

65% — —

Politics

35% — —

Crypto

0% 50% $-13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	+1,237	$1,230	99¢	$1.2K	$-1	05-14 01:51
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-626	$-624	100¢	$-625	$-0	05-14 01:54
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	-623	$-619	99¢	$-620	$-0	05-14 01:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-642	$-599	93¢	$-597	+$2	05-13 02:21
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	-506	$-499	99¢	$-501	$-1	05-13 02:13
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-10	$-10	98¢	$-10	$-0	05-08 02:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	4	$1.8K	1,540	302	+1,237	open	—	05-14 01:51
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	2	$1.3K	658	658	+0	open	—	05-14 00:39
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	2	$1.2K	604	604	+0	open	—	05-14 02:31
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	1	$624	0	626	-626	open	—	05-14 01:54
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?	1	$619	0	623	-623	open	—	05-14 01:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$599	0	642	-642	open	—	05-13 02:21
Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1	$499	0	506	-506	open	—	05-13 02:13
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$10	0	10	-10	open	—	05-08 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$9	41	0	+41	Up	$-9	05-12 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Down	$-3	05-12 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-12 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-14 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-14 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-14 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-12 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-13 02:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 05:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd02527…
05-14 04:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5c3efe…
05-14 02:31:34	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	SELL	604	99¢	$599	0xcc9261…
05-14 02:30:59	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	604	99¢	$600	0xd09fbd…
05-14 01:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x118a2f…
05-14 01:54:51	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	626	100¢	$624	0x5df8e8…
05-14 01:51:16	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	302	99¢	$300	0x4f1d19…
05-14 01:39:53	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0x763929…
05-14 01:38:48	Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	623	99¢	$619	0x340ac5…
05-14 00:39:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	658	96¢	$629	0x9384dc…
05-14 00:34:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	658	96¢	$630	0xb7c764…
05-13 02:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa85b52…
05-13 02:21:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	642	93¢	$599	0x633fa4…
05-13 02:13:39	Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	SELL	506	99¢	$499	0xdfac33…
05-13 01:56:10	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	604	99¢	$600	0x01f00d…
05-13 01:38:49	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	634	99¢	$630	0xe6a497…
05-12 05:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0x564738…
05-12 05:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7501e2…
05-12 05:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x27fdf0…
05-12 01:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x37de69…
05-12 01:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x0a62f6…
05-12 01:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x85848a…
05-08 02:22:25	Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x2c14e7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	10	$5.08K	103	05-14 05:56
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	10	$692	156	05-14 05:59
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	9	$999	44	05-14 05:56
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	9	$776	71	05-14 05:56
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	9	$768	37	05-14 05:56
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	8	$2.02K	36	05-14 05:56
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	8	$682	24	05-14 05:56
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	6	$5.08K	62	05-13 02:23