Realized P&L
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$45
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
174
lifetime
Volume
$2.39K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$199
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-07 22:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
49%
Other
48%
Sports
1% 0% $-19
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +978 $168 14¢ $132 $-36 07-07 22:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +483 $48 $43 $-5 07-07 22:29
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No -19 $-10 50¢ $-10 $-0 06-07 19:53
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +83 $5 $5 $-0 06-10 14:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +50 $5 $3 $-2 06-24 23:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +30 $3 $2 $-1 06-24 22:16
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes -18 $-2 10¢ $-2 +$0 06-28 03:03
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +11 $2 16¢ $2 $-0 06-24 21:07
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +25 $2 $1 $-1 06-10 14:16