Lean-Tanktop — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$24.8K

Hit rate

18.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

597

918 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$107.5K

$118.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

$10.3K

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 10-29 02:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Politics

99% 25% +$4

Other

1% 49% +$14

Sports

0% 100% +$3

Crypto

0% 50% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+25,000	-$14,644	40¢	$10.1K	+$24,769	10-28 18:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	+2,343	$156	6¢	$152	-$4	10-06 20:52
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+37	$18	67¢	$24	+$6	07-20 19:58
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+377	$10	0¢	$1	-$9	10-22 07:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	416	$96.4K	130,699	105,699	+25,000	open	—	10-28 18:54
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	227	$13.5K	47,088	47,088	+0	open	—	10-29 02:56
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	53	$8.2K	6,847	6,847	+0	open	—	10-28 01:06
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	23	$792	593	593	+0	open	—	10-28 00:03
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$331	200	200	+0	No	-$7	10-05 07:56
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	25	$210	2,576	953	+1,623	open	—	10-29 02:57
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	9	$156	2,343	0	+2,343	open	—	10-06 20:52
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?	13	$138	123	123	+0	Yes	+$22	06-26 00:54
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$72	192	192	+0	No	+$2	07-19 21:10
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?	14	$53	121	71	+50	No	-$19	07-03 01:08
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	13	$47	40	40	+0	Yes	+$7	06-22 00:23
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-07-25?	1	$25	40	0	+40	Yes	+$15	09-02 21:19
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$18	37	0	+37	open	—	07-20 19:58
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	10-28 09:44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?	2	$15	19	0	+19	Yes	+$4	08-27 16:06
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?	3	$13	19	17	+1	No	+$1	06-28 20:47
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?	2	$12	20	0	+20	No	-$12	06-15 15:33
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$11	271	271	+0	open	—	09-08 22:12
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	2	$11	30	0	+30	Yes	-$11	05-18 18:30
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	-$10	06-15 15:54
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	1	$10	13	0	+13	Yes	+$3	08-26 14:34
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$10	152	0	+152	Yes	-$10	06-15 15:38
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	6	$10	377	0	+377	open	—	10-22 07:16
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$9	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	07-19 21:10
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	2	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	08-18 19:45
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	1	$8	12	0	+12	Yes	+$4	06-22 11:55
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$8	29	0	+29	No	+$22	05-23 21:55
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	2	$8	16	16	+0	Yes	-$2	07-15 20:46
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	2	$7	14	14	+0	No	-$3	07-15 20:46
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 1pt5	3	$7	8	0	+8	England	+$1	07-18 23:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 02:57:04	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	No	SELL	309	0¢	$1	0x280a28…
10-29 02:56:26	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5,625	1¢	$44	0xbbcd57…
10-29 02:55:55	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	No	SELL	644	0¢	$1	0x9c2503…
10-28 18:54:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5,000	50¢	$2,500	0x88c200…
10-28 18:21:58	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5,625	2¢	$90	0x0c14fd…
10-28 10:20:59	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	4,000	4¢	$160	0x562336…
10-28 10:18:07	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0x01b4df…
10-28 10:18:01	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	40	3¢	$1	0xbc638e…
10-28 10:11:31	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	9,600	44¢	$4,224	0x17027c…
10-28 10:01:52	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	400	45¢	$180	0xf683e4…
10-28 10:01:04	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,052	3¢	$32	0x51851b…
10-28 09:44:16	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Bibi	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x9e7bee…
10-28 09:41:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	9,000	45¢	$4,050	0x18b566…
10-28 09:41:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5,000	45¢	$2,250	0xbfd90e…
10-28 05:17:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,000	52¢	$520	0xaf9290…
10-28 02:40:08	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3,050	52¢	$1,586	0x03aabe…
10-28 02:40:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	24	52¢	$12	0x5abfc1…
10-28 02:40:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xbdfc9b…
10-28 02:39:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,923	52¢	$1,000	0x5d9bc5…
10-28 02:38:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xde6a0a…
10-28 02:38:53	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x0fd48d…
10-28 02:10:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,000	56¢	$1,120	0x1eb8f6…
10-28 02:05:48	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	10,666	59¢	$6,293	0x7d7008…
10-28 02:05:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xb06387…
10-28 02:05:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$0	0xc93997…
10-28 02:05:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$0	0x9987b5…
10-28 02:05:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	249	59¢	$147	0x58ef9e…
10-28 02:05:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$0	0x48b7c8…
10-28 02:05:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	69	59¢	$41	0x19df8e…
10-28 02:05:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$0	0x389965…
10-28 02:05:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x027252…
10-28 02:05:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	111	59¢	$66	0x46f615…
10-28 02:05:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,783	59¢	$1,642	0x77462e…
10-28 02:05:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	41	59¢	$24	0xe51ceb…
10-28 02:04:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,076	59¢	$1,225	0xcdb9f8…
10-28 02:04:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	4,000	59¢	$2,360	0x4abe02…
10-28 02:04:12	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	20¢	$200	0xdebd6e…
10-28 01:59:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,000	53¢	$1,060	0x7541f5…
10-28 01:54:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0xdb02d3…
10-28 01:54:59	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,532	54¢	$827	0xd3f4cf…
10-28 01:54:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	512	54¢	$276	0xedc832…
10-28 01:54:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	185	54¢	$100	0xc29d47…
10-28 01:53:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x8f18dc…
10-28 01:53:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,706	54¢	$921	0xc1dbb0…
10-28 01:53:29	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	46	54¢	$25	0x91a47b…
10-28 01:53:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,160	54¢	$626	0x44e518…
10-28 01:53:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,840	54¢	$1,534	0xbfaaa4…
10-28 01:51:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,873	53¢	$1,522	0x4803b0…
10-28 01:51:39	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,500	53¢	$1,325	0x7d8fe6…
10-28 01:51:23	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x150cff…
10-28 01:51:18	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	934	53¢	$495	0x970b6e…
10-28 01:51:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x12ee6b…
10-28 01:51:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x6d0750…
10-28 01:51:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	676	53¢	$358	0x7353c2…
10-28 01:51:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0xc75fbe…
10-28 01:51:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x7e140a…
10-28 01:51:00	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x23b244…
10-28 01:48:35	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0x45ae15…
10-28 01:06:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	231	99¢	$228	0x6c6004…
10-28 00:57:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5,000	48¢	$2,400	0xd58dc7…
10-28 00:46:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	2,000	47¢	$940	0x220472…
10-28 00:29:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	5,000	46¢	$2,300	0xd6decb…
10-28 00:23:47	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	923	99¢	$911	0x0d162f…
10-28 00:22:54	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	231	98¢	$227	0xf9eda8…
10-28 00:21:53	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	462	98¢	$454	0x75134a…
10-28 00:14:00	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	24¢	$480	0xda6d17…
10-28 00:07:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,995	97¢	$1,935	0x3237af…
10-28 00:03:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xfa60d7…
10-28 00:03:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	43	96¢	$42	0x6242a1…
10-28 00:03:09	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	500	96¢	$482	0xb3317d…
10-28 00:03:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x82028c…
10-28 00:00:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x2052af…
10-27 23:51:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	1,000	44¢	$440	0xc705e9…
10-27 23:50:06	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	418	28¢	$117	0xb81e17…
10-27 23:47:53	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,033	28¢	$289	0xc00715…
10-27 23:47:39	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3,000	28¢	$840	0x489cfa…
10-27 23:47:23	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	24¢	$240	0xfa6bd0…
10-27 23:36:08	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	674	22¢	$150	0x1a5dd5…
10-27 23:36:03	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x81e5dc…
10-27 23:35:57	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	318	22¢	$71	0xc16863…
10-27 23:35:27	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0xe6ccb8…
10-27 23:34:06	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2,000	20¢	$400	0xc2bcef…
10-27 23:16:56	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	336	28¢	$94	0xb3c244…
10-27 23:16:36	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,686	28¢	$472	0xc33bce…
10-27 23:16:32	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	360	28¢	$101	0x31be16…
10-27 23:16:27	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2,061	28¢	$577	0x7ebf6b…
10-27 23:16:12	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	308	28¢	$86	0x2801d8…
10-27 23:16:00	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	798	28¢	$224	0x4469bc…
10-27 23:15:51	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x8dcc7c…
10-27 23:14:53	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	602	26¢	$157	0x667bb2…
10-27 23:14:48	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,009	26¢	$262	0xceb208…
10-27 23:14:21	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3,383	26¢	$880	0x4e0e8f…
10-27 22:39:35	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	2,166	20¢	$433	0xa12ca1…
10-27 22:39:27	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	488	20¢	$98	0xe3a49c…
10-27 22:39:18	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	918	20¢	$184	0xc2a6b5…
10-27 22:38:03	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	340	20¢	$68	0xd3a235…
10-27 20:01:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3,000	67¢	$2,010	0xff0b19…
10-27 11:16:08	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	1,088	20¢	$218	0x24062d…
10-22 07:16:44	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	122	2¢	$2	0x573c40…
10-22 07:11:11	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	218	31¢	$68	0xbf5464…