Trusty-Ink — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$106

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 09-15 11:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 79% +$99

Other

33% 44% -$206

Politics

2% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$1.1K	7,465	7,465	+0	No	-$224	03-23 11:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:20 UTC	2	$953	529	527	+2	Down	+$52	03-23 11:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 06:50 UTC	1	$668	675	0	+675	Up	+$7	03-23 06:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:55 UTC	1	$570	571	0	+571	Down	+$1	03-23 11:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:45 UTC	2	$533	571	0	+571	Down	+$38	03-23 11:47
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:25 UTC	1	$501	534	0	+534	Up	+$33	03-23 11:29
bitcoin above 66k on march 23	1	$355	357	0	+357	Yes	+$2	03-23 12:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	2	$270	135	135	+0	Yes	$0	05-08 12:29
bitcoin above 68k on march 23	3	$216	223	0	+223	Yes	+$7	03-23 12:45
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$170	100	100	+0	No	+$2	04-29 11:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	1	$158	159	0	+159	No	+$1	04-22 13:05
will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	1	$156	157	0	+157	No	+$0	04-05 13:07
ethereum above 1600 on april 3	1	$156	156	0	+156	Yes	+$0	04-02 12:13
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	1	$156	156	0	+156	Yes	+$0	03-26 05:26
cs2 js1 fcf 2026 03 24	2	$149	154	0	+154	Johnny Speeds	+$5	03-24 13:15
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	3	$147	100	100	+0	No	+$1	04-29 14:35
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$146	155	0	+155	No	+$9	05-14 23:42
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	4	$130	235	0	+235	Yes	$0	05-08 13:06
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	6	$120	300	300	+0	No	+$0	04-29 10:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	2	$94	110	0	+110	No	+$6	04-30 22:26
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$54	57	0	+57	No	+$3	06-26 13:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$49	60	0	+60	No	+$1	04-30 21:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 12:00 UTC	2	$45	89	0	+89	Down	-$45	07-21 11:56
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 7, 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	No	$0	06-02 10:19
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	09-04 14:47
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	1	$20	23	0	+23	No	+$2	09-15 11:45
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	09-08 04:09
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	09-04 14:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$13	83	0	+83	No	-$13	04-29 10:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	07-21 11:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 11:45:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	23	90¢	$20	0xd4c143…
09-08 04:09:09	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x23a6a1…
09-04 14:47:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x9b84f6…
09-04 14:47:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x843a00…
09-03 06:41:00	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x28820a…
07-28 11:58:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x13ff26…
07-21 11:58:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa67ac0…
07-21 11:56:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	34	50¢	$17	0x8b9b61…
07-21 11:56:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	55	50¢	$27	0xd48a69…
06-26 13:21:04	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	57	94¢	$54	0x1ee3bd…
06-20 12:09:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x048a70…
06-09 06:26:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8f742e…
06-09 06:25:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc82be6…
06-02 11:24:10	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x1918e7…
06-02 11:23:28	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0x1c2b86…
06-02 11:22:30	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x2418b3…
06-02 10:19:40	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x747978…
06-02 10:17:05	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5cc732…
05-30 08:56:23	Will Applied Aerospace & Defense not IPO before August 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xb20c06…
05-30 08:54:54	Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xf4800a…
05-30 07:50:40	Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6adb7c…
05-30 07:30:34	Will Applied Aerospace & Defense's market cap be less than $2.75B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0xd4146a…
05-30 07:11:42	Will Applied Aerospace & Defense not IPO before August 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xa2ef23…
05-30 07:11:42	Will Applied Aerospace & Defense not IPO before August 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x2f4e98…
05-14 23:42:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	23	94¢	$21	0x231475…
05-14 23:40:54	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	132	94¢	$125	0xc0e039…
05-08 13:07:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf0f51d…
05-08 13:06:30	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	96¢	$125	0xf05e69…
05-08 12:29:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x8bb870…
05-08 12:29:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x333d0d…
05-08 12:24:35	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf35782…
05-08 12:22:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2332f0…
05-08 12:22:08	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x9d1ad3…
05-08 12:22:05	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0xd6dadd…
05-01 00:00:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa67b77…
04-30 23:37:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0xf98713…
04-30 23:06:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x827a41…
04-30 23:03:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x666cbf…
04-30 22:26:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x518409…
04-30 21:54:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x2e0d88…
04-30 21:47:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x23b575…
04-30 21:00:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xac814e…
04-30 21:00:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4dc8b3…
04-30 20:58:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x723d06…
04-30 19:47:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x847b69…
04-30 18:51:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x78dfb1…
04-30 18:51:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xec7979…
04-30 17:24:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd3d922…
04-30 14:37:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xd09745…
04-30 13:23:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x880711…
04-30 09:51:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xadb476…
04-30 09:51:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x51d949…
04-29 14:35:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	24	74¢	$18	0xa85c5f…
04-29 14:33:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	76	74¢	$56	0x548232…
04-29 14:32:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xbec0c7…
04-29 11:08:18	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	100	86¢	$86	0xe227d6…
04-29 11:03:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0xeb3024…
04-29 10:48:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0xab07fb…
04-29 10:47:10	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	16¢	$13	0x230d5c…
04-29 10:44:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	20¢	$50	0x258eff…
04-29 10:34:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x2eef4b…
04-29 10:02:46	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x495311…
04-29 09:45:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xb6b712…
04-29 09:43:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	20¢	$60	0x069ac7…
04-22 13:05:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	159	100¢	$158	0x23b710…
04-05 13:07:25	will bitcoin dip to 60k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	157	100¢	$156	0xdfe446…
04-02 12:13:55	ethereum above 1600 on april 3	Yes	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xbf8961…
03-26 05:26:33	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x337d1e…
03-24 13:15:19	cs2 js1 fcf 2026 03 24	Johnny Speeds	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xd67482…
03-24 13:12:13	cs2 js1 fcf 2026 03 24	Johnny Speeds	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xdfa4a9…
03-23 12:50:51	bitcoin above 66k on march 23	Yes	BUY	357	100¢	$355	0xbe3449…
03-23 12:45:25	bitcoin above 68k on march 23	Yes	BUY	178	97¢	$173	0xe672ca…
03-23 12:44:31	bitcoin above 68k on march 23	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe74805…
03-23 12:43:21	bitcoin above 68k on march 23	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xe6cb14…
03-23 11:58:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	571	100¢	$570	0xa10219…
03-23 11:47:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	456	95¢	$433	0x2a1122…
03-23 11:46:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x55fca3…
03-23 11:29:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	534	94¢	$501	0xa65875…
03-23 11:23:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:20 UTC	Down	SELL	527	95¢	$501	0xabebe8…
03-23 11:23:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	529	85¢	$452	0x3514c7…
03-23 11:17:25	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	3,732	4¢	$150	0x994999…
03-23 11:14:05	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	SELL	3,732	8¢	$299	0xe690c1…
03-23 11:11:11	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	Yes	BUY	7,465	9¢	$672	0xfa5456…
03-23 06:54:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 06:50 UTC	Up	BUY	675	99¢	$668	0xcc0fa0…