Heartfelt-Parole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$222

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.8%

Resolved

3,928

Trades

74,820

lifetime

Volume

$587.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-28 13:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 162 days

Categories

Other

67% 47% -$138

Sports

33% 53% -$69

Politics

0% 50% -$5

Crypto

0% 50% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	79	$6.8K	13,600	0	+13,600	No	-$11	07-02 23:07
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	110	$5.1K	10,177	0	+10,177	No	+$31	07-11 18:04
Will England win on 2026-07-15?	55	$3.5K	7,000	0	+7,000	No	+$6	07-14 19:04
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	61	$2.5K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	+$0	07-13 19:14
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	141	$2.2K	4,458	0	+4,458	No	+$0	06-25 01:18
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	118	$2.2K	4,423	0	+4,423	No	+$2	07-03 09:48
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?	87	$2.2K	2,880	2,800	+80	No	-$56	05-12 14:39
Will France win on 2026-07-09?	9	$2.1K	4,200	0	+4,200	Yes	+$0	07-08 21:06
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	115	$2.0K	4,040	0	+4,040	Knicks	-$4	06-10 16:49
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	25	$2.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$11	07-14 16:03
Spread: Brazil (-4.5)	78	$1.8K	3,600	0	+3,600	Haiti	+$2	06-19 21:40
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	22	$1.8K	3,600	0	+3,600	No	+$13	07-09 16:18
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	384	$1.7K	3,406	0	+3,406	No	-$7	06-21 19:00
nba det cha 2026 02 09	232	$1.6K	3,236	0	+3,236	Pistons	-$9	02-09 15:00
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score	74	$1.5K	3,063	0	+3,063	Yes	+$5	06-14 14:06
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?	27	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$5	07-05 19:15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	19	$1.5K	3,016	0	+3,016	Yes	+$5	07-09 02:37
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?	22	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	-$2	07-15 08:57
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	73	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$1	07-11 10:51
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	64	$1.5K	3,010	0	+3,010	No	+$8	07-10 21:06
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?	33	$1.5K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$15	07-10 16:02
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	85	$1.5K	2,960	0	+2,960	Yes	$0	06-18 00:46
Spread: Germany (-3.5)	57	$1.4K	2,900	0	+2,900	Germany	+$4	06-13 14:34
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	75	$1.4K	2,800	0	+2,800	No	+$2	06-24 22:25
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?	25	$1.4K	2,800	0	+2,800	No	+$4	07-04 23:54
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	33	$1.4K	2,800	0	+2,800	Yes	+$8	07-04 08:54
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)	65	$1.3K	2,620	0	+2,620	Brazil	+$2	06-18 22:41
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	19	$1.2K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$4	07-03 12:36
Spread: Spain (-2.5)	64	$1.2K	2,460	0	+2,460	Cabo Verde	+$4	06-14 21:39
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5	74	$1.2K	2,460	0	+2,460	Under	+$4	06-14 18:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:28:47	Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	86¢	$14	0xb4b4e9…
10-28 15:28:47	Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	63	86¢	$54	0x961640…
10-28 15:28:47	Fetterman leaves the Democrats by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x30ed63…
10-28 13:33:46	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xc03ede…
10-28 13:17:23	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0xabdc2a…
10-28 12:40:28	Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	199	6¢	$12	0xfea8c8…
10-28 10:06:52	Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x521887…
10-28 09:07:32	Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1500 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xad1e53…
10-27 02:47:23	Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x6cd41a…
10-27 02:47:17	Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0xaba15a…
10-27 02:47:11	Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0x90cbf3…
10-27 02:47:06	Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0xa92a0e…
10-27 02:41:03	Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x5f9012…
10-27 00:13:32	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$183	0x45e9d5…
10-26 23:36:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	36	17¢	$6	0xa250ae…
10-26 23:33:50	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x9f1821…
10-26 22:14:44	Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x313ea9…
10-26 21:45:02	Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$183	0x1437d0…
10-26 16:27:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	36	17¢	$6	0xad8e6b…
10-26 12:03:21	Greenland snap election called by December 31?	Yes	SELL	60	2¢	$1	0x3a61f7…
10-26 12:01:45	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xcb4957…
10-26 11:53:41	Greenland snap election called by December 31?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xa08026…
10-26 10:25:59	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xe9189f…
10-26 08:35:29	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	87	4¢	$4	0xf2da34…
10-26 08:35:29	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0xdf6791…
10-26 08:35:29	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x205917…
10-26 08:31:47	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	180	4¢	$6	0x7de599…
10-26 08:31:45	Will the Republicans win the Tennessee governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xf06d08…
10-26 07:30:47	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0xfdd1a2…
10-26 07:30:47	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xfcf420…
10-26 07:17:05	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x844714…
10-13 11:22:02	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	150	92¢	$138	0x7284ad…
10-13 06:47:47	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$47	0x546b71…
10-13 04:47:09	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x7b3485…
10-13 04:47:08	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x121884…
10-13 04:47:05	Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x94f634…
10-10 04:03:13	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	23¢	$47	0xeeabaa…
10-10 03:58:43	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0xcb599f…
10-10 03:58:12	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	23¢	$35	0xecd02f…
10-10 03:58:12	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x679ad3…
10-10 03:58:12	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x40de86…
10-08 08:21:41	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0x5dc40a…
10-08 05:35:59	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	25	91¢	$23	0x4d3b6a…
10-04 09:57:08	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	200	88¢	$176	0x73fff6…
10-04 06:59:55	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	200	87¢	$175	0x4a6d43…
10-03 10:13:08	Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0xac221e…
10-02 14:12:15	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	59	94¢	$56	0xac3e00…
10-02 14:11:59	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xe3bd51…
10-02 14:11:57	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	41	95¢	$39	0xca9946…
10-02 13:50:39	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0x25c6ca…
10-02 13:37:56	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x374d92…
10-02 13:37:15	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$41	0xe9159b…
10-02 13:36:51	Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x4af012…
10-02 13:36:48	Will the Joint List be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	120	6¢	$7	0x5c85df…
10-02 13:36:33	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xff26f3…
10-02 13:36:21	Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x93ed31…
09-23 10:00:32	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$33	0xab3adb…
09-23 08:42:37	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$33	0xd47f46…
09-22 10:25:58	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0x6137ab…
09-22 07:20:48	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	115	6¢	$7	0x226df0…
09-22 06:40:45	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xad0c33…
09-22 04:19:30	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	SELL	65	6¢	$4	0x468b9f…
09-22 01:53:21	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	123	37¢	$45	0x0d81ee…
09-22 01:53:20	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	26	37¢	$9	0xe8f3d2…
09-22 01:53:15	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0xe543af…
09-21 06:07:58	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	SELL	27	88¢	$24	0xc5444e…
09-21 06:07:37	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	SELL	173	88¢	$153	0x14db2b…
09-21 03:49:46	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0xb1c3f6…
09-21 03:49:46	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	170	88¢	$150	0x5e73c4…
09-20 19:54:56	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x025247…
09-19 19:15:09	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	144	84¢	$121	0xb1ddfd…
09-17 15:07:21	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	56	84¢	$48	0xc86b16…
09-15 15:58:52	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x733b99…
09-09 11:24:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	SELL	200	91¢	$182	0xd663a1…
09-09 10:00:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	BUY	75	91¢	$68	0xc7a4ab…
09-09 10:00:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xb9a043…
09-09 10:00:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?	No	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0xd96de6…
09-09 02:04:57	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$27	0x407004…
09-08 05:22:09	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$27	0xe0438e…
08-17 16:05:48	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0x73e840…
08-17 15:24:55	Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	200	90¢	$179	0xbb7b64…
08-17 14:07:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	75	11¢	$8	0xec8041…
08-17 09:27:33	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	80	11¢	$9	0x2cca10…
08-17 09:01:01	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0x7ccc79…
08-17 08:23:03	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	149	11¢	$16	0xaf1e79…
08-17 08:20:54	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x5804c4…
08-17 08:18:39	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x68f0b9…
08-15 13:31:54	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	51	38¢	$20	0x2121ac…
08-15 13:29:15	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	149	38¢	$57	0x89191e…
08-15 06:30:27	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	200	38¢	$77	0xc48342…
08-14 08:05:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	SELL	200	79¢	$158	0xb1fe79…
08-14 07:12:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157	Yes	BUY	200	78¢	$157	0x797503…
08-14 01:54:48	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	185	78¢	$145	0x5d6e0d…
08-14 01:54:46	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x64bd1c…
08-14 01:40:22	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x92b78f…
08-13 12:08:58	will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x9add8b…
08-13 12:07:33	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	46	74¢	$34	0x170243…
08-13 10:54:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31	No	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0xf9734a…
08-13 08:57:39	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	46	73¢	$34	0xba61bb…
07-19 09:29:28	Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?	No	BUY	500	68¢	$341	0x5f873b…