Oily-Ebook — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$369

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

1,873

Trades

2,831

lifetime

Volume

$20.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$62

17 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 11:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

58% 75% +$398

Crypto

39% 97% -$28

Politics

3% 74% +$4

Sports

0% 67% -$4

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 259 trades/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+50	$44	92¢	$46	+$3	08-09 19:14
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	+5	$2	80¢	$4	+$2	08-11 23:12
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+50	$6	8¢	$4	-$2	08-09 19:14
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+5	$3	70¢	$3	+$1	08-10 03:01
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+5	$2	30¢	$2	-$1	08-10 03:02
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	+5	$2	20¢	$1	-$1	08-11 23:12
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	07-07 17:13
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-1	$0	43¢	$-0	+$0	10-27 11:40
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-1	$0	18¢	$-0	+$0	10-27 11:40
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-1	$0	15¢	$-0	$0	07-14 09:37
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-1	$0	12¢	$-0	$0	07-07 17:14
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-1	$0	4¢	$-0	$0	07-07 17:14
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-1	$0	2¢	$-0	$0	07-07 17:15
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-1	$0	2¢	$-0	+$0	07-09 01:44
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-1	$0	1¢	$-0	+$0	07-07 17:14
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-1	$0	1¢	$-0	+$0	07-07 17:14
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-1	$0	1¢	$-0	+$0	07-10 14:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	3	$216	118	123	-5	Yes	+$11	06-26 14:14
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 8?	2	$205	105	105	+0	No	+$5	06-08 10:16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	6	$198	163	163	+0	No	+$19	06-12 16:11
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	5	$163	59	129	-70	No	+$63	07-07 15:23
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 16?	5	$158	122	122	+0	Yes	+$78	06-16 17:42
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 7?	3	$147	77	77	+0	No	+$7	06-07 14:42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	4	$126	73	73	+0	Yes	+$6	06-29 16:15
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?	3	$125	69	69	+0	Yes	+$9	06-24 15:21
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	2	$121	71	71	+0	No	+$21	06-09 16:52
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	5	$106	118	68	+50	Yes	+$10	08-07 14:46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 16?	2	$103	53	53	+0	No	+$3	06-16 17:43
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	2	$96	100	0	+100	No	+$4	08-05 04:20
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	3	$93	59	64	-5	Yes	+$8	06-27 14:03
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	4	$93	70	70	+0	Yes	+$40	06-23 15:11
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	3	$86	50	50	+0	Yes	+$13	06-12 16:12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 10?	2	$85	46	46	+0	No	+$5	06-10 15:39
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12?	2	$81	44	44	+0	No	+$1	06-12 06:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	4	$80	60	60	+0	No	+$3	06-23 14:17
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	4	$75	55	55	+0	No	+$8	07-21 13:46
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?	3	$75	50	50	+0	Yes	+$15	06-22 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on June 11?	2	$74	48	48	+0	Yes	+$17	06-11 09:14
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 11 2026 27c	5	$73	104	102	+2	No	-$50	04-11 06:51
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	5	$73	72	74	-2	Yes	-$9	06-30 15:03
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 26?	6	$73	36	53	-17	Yes	+$11	06-26 16:08
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?	6	$72	107	107	+0	No	-$12	06-15 04:37
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 30?	4	$71	36	36	+0	Yes	+$1	06-30 14:04
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	4	$70	54	54	+0	Yes	+$37	06-09 16:52
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	1	$70	70	0	+70	No	+$0	07-07 09:33
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?	2	$59	48	48	+0	No	+$19	06-12 03:39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 22?	4	$58	35	35	+0	Yes	+$9	06-22 15:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:40:20	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x8257cb…
10-27 11:40:06	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	44¢	$0	0xb605be…
09-12 12:09:49	Will Yabloko win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd01b39…
08-18 16:09:52	Will "Wildchild" - Alex Warren first week album sales be between 70k and 90k?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x3bfbe2…
08-15 14:45:04	Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x50ead7…
08-13 11:46:58	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x10684f…
08-13 01:42:52	Will USFP get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2c9fe8…
08-12 16:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x987ed2…
08-12 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x5852d4…
08-12 13:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x92b371…
08-12 02:58:13	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x48da0e…
08-12 02:58:06	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x61633c…
08-12 02:34:25	Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-08-11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1c06ad…
08-12 02:32:10	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x534abe…
08-12 02:32:09	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdc383c…
08-12 02:32:09	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x53cc48…
08-12 02:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa923a3…
08-12 02:20:15	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xc665ea…
08-12 02:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xcd9ba1…
08-12 02:13:28	Will CD Universidad Católica win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x57b571…
08-12 02:12:58	Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CD Universidad Católica end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x040962…
08-12 02:10:34	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0ea995…
08-12 02:10:21	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc22028…
08-12 01:47:57	Will Club Bolívar vs. São Paulo FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xf5df9d…
08-12 01:47:57	Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x872b16…
08-12 01:47:57	Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x628a5e…
08-12 01:44:51	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x52d022…
08-12 01:44:51	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x425f9f…
08-12 01:20:55	Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xed14e7…
08-12 01:20:55	Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3c977b…
08-12 01:20:15	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x97ab29…
08-12 00:38:13	Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x2d3f00…
08-12 00:37:42	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x04fe26…
08-12 00:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xa56e4f…
08-12 00:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xe371eb…
08-12 00:35:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 12?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x87daca…
08-12 00:35:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x5cde59…
08-12 00:35:16	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x5c8a3c…
08-12 00:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xeaf605…
08-12 00:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 12?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x54eadc…
08-12 00:34:18	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xda29ca…
08-12 00:33:39	Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-08-11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf06cbf…
08-12 00:33:28	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 11?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x105c62…
08-12 00:33:19	Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Recoleta FC end in a draw?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x60d748…
08-12 00:33:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 11?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc7a677…
08-12 00:08:28	Will Amanda Janoo win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x9689be…
08-12 00:05:54	Will Ralph Norman place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3cb863…
08-12 00:02:48	Will Russell Fry place second in first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf356af…
08-11 23:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9f2b87…
08-11 23:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x584f3b…
08-11 23:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x7265fe…
08-11 23:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1d82f5…
08-11 23:20:16	Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	1	36¢	$0	0x3f9edb…
08-11 23:20:15	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xee8005…
08-11 23:12:37	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc122ee…
08-11 23:12:37	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0a318f…
08-11 22:26:34	Will CA Boca Juniors vs. Recoleta FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb1d8d2…
08-11 22:26:34	Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x4b8316…
08-11 22:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xf780df…
08-11 22:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc9dd94…
08-11 22:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x192b3c…
08-11 22:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xba1b0c…
08-11 21:08:37	Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa930b2…
08-11 21:06:19	Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb031c2…
08-11 21:03:27	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7f5a24…
08-11 21:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 11?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9fecc3…
08-11 20:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x59a531…
08-11 20:53:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 11?	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x464c58…
08-11 20:48:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xf408b1…
08-11 20:48:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x795d59…
08-11 20:48:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 12?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xcbcf8c…
08-11 20:15:01	Will Republicans win the Maine Governor election and Democrats win the Maine Senate election?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5feab3…
08-11 20:12:31	Will Democrats win the Maine Governor election and Republicans win the Maine Senate election?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x867100…
08-11 20:12:16	Will Republicans sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6fb840…
08-11 20:12:16	Will Democrats sweep the Maine Senate and Governor elections?	No	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5b2f65…
08-11 20:07:51	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 11?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdd1fec…
08-11 20:07:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 11?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfe603e…
08-11 20:07:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 11?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc8a32e…
08-11 20:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd7a1d6…
08-11 20:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1b6058…
08-11 19:56:07	Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x526bd6…
08-11 19:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 11?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2b86cb…
08-11 19:51:48	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2a03f7…
08-11 19:51:46	Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xac5337…
08-11 19:51:46	Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. Fenerbahçe SK end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5aae6d…
08-11 19:51:13	Will Joe Strada be the FL-11 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x536e7b…
08-11 19:51:09	Will Tim Wilkins be the FL-11 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe8b763…
08-11 19:51:09	Will Carey Baker be the FL-11 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x784830…
08-11 19:24:57	Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x881778…
08-11 19:24:57	Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x4feb81…
08-11 19:24:57	Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x4e7f34…
08-11 19:22:49	Will NEC vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8d4903…
08-11 19:17:25	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xcda063…
08-11 19:17:25	Will Mjällby AIF win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb47ae1…
08-11 19:17:25	Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. Mjällby AIF end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x12e959…
08-11 19:15:15	Will Young Kim win the CA-40 House seat?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7204f9…
08-11 17:38:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x1e307b…
08-11 17:38:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 12?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5f1bb3…
08-11 17:35:24	Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6a5c73…
08-11 17:21:13	Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-11?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x80d48b…