Charming-Understatement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

27.8%

Resolved

Trades

298

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

$44

1 position

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-22 11:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

73% — —

Politics

22% 25% $-2

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No		+45	$42	97¢	$44	+$2	06-22 11:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	10	$791	806	806	+0	open	—	04-12 15:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	11	$528	764	764	+0	open	—	05-10 21:32
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	9	$517	265	265	+0	open	—	04-03 03:38
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	10	$508	481	481	+0	open	—	04-02 21:39
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	9	$474	576	575	+1	open	—	03-27 13:49
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$449	228	228	+0	open	—	04-09 01:03
will jason day win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$400	202	202	+0	open	—	04-08 11:11
will solana reach 100 in march 2026	3	$301	154	154	+0	open	—	03-27 22:00
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	2	$297	151	151	+0	open	—	03-31 06:44
will min woo lee win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$297	152	152	+0	open	—	04-03 10:42
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	2	$287	148	148	+0	open	—	03-27 01:14
will robert macintyre win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$278	344	344	+0	open	—	04-09 21:25
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$271	143	143	+0	open	—	04-03 20:49
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	2	$270	138	138	+0	open	—	04-04 22:05
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	6	$268	396	396	+0	open	—	04-14 09:11
military action against iran ends on march 31 2026	3	$262	140	140	+0	open	—	03-24 21:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$262	136	136	+0	No	$-0	05-10 04:14
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	5	$261	134	134	+0	open	—	03-26 07:31
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	2	$258	133	133	+0	open	—	04-28 01:25
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	3	$253	128	128	+0	open	—	03-23 14:10
will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	7	$247	407	407	+0	open	—	04-21 10:09
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	5	$247	127	127	+0	open	—	04-03 17:26
will trn cm t be the next president of vietnam	8	$239	471	471	+0	open	—	03-20 07:13
will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$238	121	121	+0	open	—	04-11 00:27
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$238	138	138	+0	open	—	03-27 07:22
will brooks koepka win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$237	120	120	+0	open	—	04-10 08:09
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	12	$236	471	471	+0	open	—	04-27 07:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$236	125	125	+0	open	—	05-06 06:48
will ethereum dip to 1400 in march 2026	4	$230	117	117	+0	open	—	03-23 07:09
Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	4	$227	115	115	+0	open	—	04-25 09:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 11:31:53	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0xb1f87f…
05-19 05:23:58	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x948bad…
05-19 05:23:56	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x274ace…
05-19 05:23:55	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x97ce0f…
05-18 22:25:22	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xb5c3de…
05-18 22:25:20	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.45B?	Yes	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x12f940…
05-13 10:57:41	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x10dfd5…
05-13 10:57:39	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	45	93¢	$42	0xdc3469…
05-13 10:57:39	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x28826f…
05-13 06:37:57	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0xa5cd5b…
05-13 06:37:55	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xe165ac…
05-13 06:37:55	Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0x22db5c…
05-13 03:06:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	1¢	$1	0xe0f11b…
05-13 00:41:41	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	2¢	$2	0xbb3aa0…
05-12 10:56:53	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	39	6¢	$2	0x6905f7…
05-12 09:30:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x6579a6…
05-11 08:57:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	121	6¢	$8	0x9cc85b…
05-11 08:57:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	97	6¢	$6	0x0af4c9…
05-11 04:28:20	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	222	6¢	$14	0xa9bce1…
05-10 21:32:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	121	99¢	$120	0x1f6f0b…
05-10 19:37:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x39e640…
05-10 19:37:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	87	99¢	$86	0x0b4d7b…
05-10 04:14:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	136	96¢	$131	0x7c6817…
05-10 01:03:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	136	96¢	$131	0x2fd0a6…
05-09 03:48:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	69	2¢	$2	0xc980f6…
05-09 03:48:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0xb67e0b…
05-09 03:48:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x0e9760…
05-09 01:39:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	160	2¢	$4	0x878ec5…
05-08 21:17:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	205	1¢	$2	0xaa8d6a…
05-08 18:28:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0xbc194a…
05-08 18:28:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0x706d00…
05-08 18:28:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x54a95b…
05-08 15:33:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	47	98¢	$46	0x24c154…
05-08 07:44:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	347	4¢	$14	0x0d2f1a…
05-08 04:14:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	347	3¢	$11	0x856e20…
05-06 22:20:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	6¢	$4	0xebb84e…
05-06 22:20:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	6¢	$3	0xa387c1…
05-06 22:20:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	6¢	$4	0x46b2c4…
05-06 22:20:13	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	6¢	$3	0x1eba70…
05-06 22:18:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	234	6¢	$14	0xd84574…
05-06 19:01:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	136	95¢	$129	0x4fe39c…
05-06 17:30:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	136	94¢	$128	0xdbd597…
05-06 06:48:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	125	94¢	$117	0xb0e966…
05-06 05:00:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	125	95¢	$118	0x76a80c…
04-28 01:25:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	133	97¢	$129	0x938e33…
04-27 23:50:14	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	133	97¢	$129	0xf287ef…
04-27 13:35:06	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	SELL	194	3¢	$5	0x1e9d1c…
04-27 12:25:32	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	BUY	194	2¢	$5	0x96e369…
04-27 07:50:44	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x152036…
04-27 07:50:42	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0xf90e78…
04-27 03:09:18	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	99¢	$78	0x983806…
04-27 03:09:18	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x32e766…
04-26 23:19:52	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xf6bfa0…
04-26 23:19:14	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	1¢	$1	0x117aa1…
04-26 20:27:50	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0xd113a5…
04-26 19:19:12	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	73	2¢	$2	0xe05047…
04-26 19:19:12	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	73	2¢	$2	0x7eed27…
04-26 19:19:12	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	SELL	141	2¢	$4	0x397668…
04-26 14:53:48	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	Yes	BUY	287	2¢	$7	0xab4f97…
04-26 06:13:56	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	126	2¢	$3	0x4cbe2d…
04-26 03:39:06	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0x825bb2…
04-26 03:39:06	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	2¢	$2	0x1e6af5…
04-25 23:49:22	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	219	5¢	$12	0x6baeb0…
04-25 20:56:34	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0x9c64d6…
04-25 20:56:32	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	115	4¢	$4	0x59dcbe…
04-25 09:41:30	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x98f38f…
04-25 09:41:28	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x298a49…
04-25 05:32:00	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xe4260c…
04-25 05:32:00	Will Kuwait strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0xdf63eb…
04-25 00:27:38	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x77227a…
04-25 00:27:38	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	195	1¢	$2	0x691d7c…
04-24 22:20:48	Will any E.U. country strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	224	1¢	$2	0x86efa6…
04-24 16:39:44	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	133	5¢	$6	0x8b2898…
04-24 14:10:54	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	133	5¢	$6	0x3bdf6c…
04-24 12:06:46	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xea2844…
04-24 12:06:46	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0xbe212d…
04-24 12:06:46	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	2¢	$2	0x823f97…
04-24 12:06:46	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	2¢	$2	0x6bcbd9…
04-24 12:06:46	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	2¢	$1	0x4a3760…
04-24 09:03:24	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	314	2¢	$6	0x977a6f…
04-23 18:17:06	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	89	1¢	$1	0x22a8d9…
04-23 17:06:14	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$1	0x8f33ea…
04-23 17:06:14	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	52	1¢	$1	0x60fe02…
04-23 11:40:02	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	3¢	$3	0xeed1e8…
04-23 11:40:02	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	3¢	$1	0xeb71bb…
04-23 11:40:02	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xdc9a61…
04-23 11:40:02	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	3¢	$2	0xae2dfd…
04-23 09:51:04	Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	277	3¢	$7	0xd634d9…
04-22 20:22:30	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	5¢	$2	0xb7b343…
04-22 18:23:04	Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	5¢	$3	0xbc146e…
04-21 16:37:52	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb55b2c…
04-21 10:09:10	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	SELL	82	98¢	$80	0xe77034…
04-21 10:08:22	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0xeb34da…
04-21 07:22:54	will russia capture lyman by april 30 2026	No	BUY	116	98¢	$114	0x97cc47…
04-21 05:12:28	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	241	7¢	$18	0xbfd251…
04-21 05:12:28	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0x26c01e…
04-21 02:59:04	Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	7¢	$21	0x0fa151…
04-21 00:39:02	Will Iran strike Armenia by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xeb2662…
04-21 00:39:02	Will Iran strike Armenia by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	1¢	$1	0x078796…
04-20 20:29:30	Will Iran strike Armenia by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x9190fb…