Hospitable-Ascend-Infix — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.0%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$972

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 08-10 18:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 100% +$39

Politics

39% 0% $-4

Sports

9% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the dhs shutdown last 90 days or more 828 938	2	$122	155	155	+0	open	—	04-19 07:37
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	2	$63	200	200	+0	Yes	+$39	04-08 02:58
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$42	70	70	+0	open	—	07-10 17:08
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?	2	$41	244	233	+10	open	—	04-08 03:00
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$40	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-06 17:09
will trump say filibuster during cabinet meeting 20260727172357444	2	$38	65	65	+0	open	—	07-31 08:03
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	2	$36	135	135	+0	open	—	04-08 02:49
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	2	$30	68	68	+0	open	—	05-16 04:12
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	1	$25	357	0	+357	open	—	04-18 05:58
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	1	$25	83	0	+83	open	—	07-31 08:10
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	2	$21	0	253	-253	open	—	05-30 10:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$21	65	65	+0	open	—	05-04 03:54
will jd vance say rigged during meetings with orbn	1	$20	52	0	+52	open	—	04-05 18:07
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	2	$18	38	38	+0	open	—	08-01 06:44
will bernie or mamdani say revolution or revolutionary during nyc rally	1	$17	55	0	+55	open	—	04-12 11:23
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	2	$16	36	36	+0	open	—	07-14 21:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$16	214	214	+0	open	—	05-23 11:23
Will Trump post "Trump Strait" or "Strait of Trump" on Truth Social this week?	1	$16	36	0	+36	open	—	04-19 07:42
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	1	$16	33	0	+33	open	—	06-13 14:40
will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by august 31 2026 20260730161742265	1	$15	209	0	+209	open	—	07-31 17:39
will trump say moon or astronaut during tpusa events on april 17	1	$15	51	0	+51	open	—	04-17 20:09
will leavitt say pool during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953946 952	1	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	06-28 11:59
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	1	$15	143	0	+143	open	—	04-06 17:25
will donald trump publicly insult andy burnham by august 31 2026 20260731142818889	1	$15	185	0	+185	open	—	07-31 17:39
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$11	213	213	+0	open	—	07-10 17:15
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	909	0	+909	open	—	04-06 17:25
will trump say pope during tpusa events on april 17	1	$10	36	0	+36	open	—	04-17 20:10
will trump say sleepy or biden or obama 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	04-17 20:08
will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	1	$8	36	0	+36	open	—	06-16 17:59
Will Trump post "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" on Truth Social this week?	1	$8	18	0	+18	open	—	04-19 07:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 18:40:22	will trump say transgender this week 20260807162716106	No	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x317281…
08-10 18:40:03	will trump say barack hussein obama this week 20260807162748313	No	BUY	28	15¢	$4	0x292c5f…
08-02 10:26:33	will people be said 100 times during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932758	No	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0x2fd1ea…
08-01 12:59:53	will left be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932770	No	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x795de5…
08-01 11:36:15	will anyone say threat during big brother e13 20260727163407084	No	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x3ac827…
08-01 06:44:27	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	SELL	38	38¢	$14	0x0626ad…
07-31 17:39:57	will donald trump publicly insult andy burnham by august 31 2026 20260731142818889	Yes	BUY	185	8¢	$15	0xef1032…
07-31 17:39:44	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by august 31 2026 20260730161742265	Yes	BUY	209	7¢	$15	0xfb21d9…
07-31 08:21:26	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	38	11¢	$4	0xb99c01…
07-31 08:10:42	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	Yes	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x13619b…
07-31 08:03:18	will trump say filibuster during cabinet meeting 20260727172357444	Yes	SELL	65	35¢	$23	0x9522f5…
07-29 09:27:36	will trump say filibuster during cabinet meeting 20260727172357444	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x0450cf…
07-24 17:31:57	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x433841…
07-14 21:13:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	36	34¢	$12	0x817925…
07-10 17:15:56	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$2	0xf3e1b9…
07-10 17:12:46	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xf9f10e…
07-10 17:12:29	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 extra time	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf54c26…
07-10 17:08:31	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	SELL	70	37¢	$26	0x52fb24…
07-02 17:45:55	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 second half team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xea8148…
07-02 17:45:35	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts second half	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb3ae82…
07-02 17:44:46	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xa5977a…
07-02 17:43:55	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xfd9767…
06-30 18:57:16	will donald trump publicly insult friedrich merz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x31cf2e…
06-30 18:56:31	will donald trump publicly insult zohran mamdani by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	161	1¢	$2	0x9be511…
06-30 18:52:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xa752d9…
06-28 11:59:32	will leavitt say pool during the next white house press briefing 20260625192953946 952	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xc37676…
06-24 18:30:19	will trump say third term during june 24 rally 20260616194255618	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xf66775…
06-21 22:40:53	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	167	2¢	$4	0xe94316…
06-21 22:40:41	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0xcabd84…
06-21 18:27:43	will trump say bond in june	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xe5d2e0…
06-21 17:55:50	will trump say hottest during june 24 rally 20260616194255606	No	BUY	17	24¢	$4	0x9d37e6…
06-21 17:55:08	will trump say maha or make america healthy again during june 24 rally 20260616194255614	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x97a112…
06-21 17:51:23	will anyone say fish during rick and morty e5 s9 20260615143516734	No	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x921609…
06-21 17:51:01	will anyone say space during rick and morty e5 s9 20260615143516738	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xe72639…
06-18 05:35:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0xda6e81…
06-16 17:59:01	will warsh say trump during june press conference 20260608181156650	Yes	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x3552e6…
06-13 14:41:48	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x1fdf71…
06-13 14:40:40	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	Yes	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0xe2df2e…
06-13 14:01:36	Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	70	23¢	$16	0x869c6f…
06-11 18:15:24	will trump say border 5 times during tele rallies 20260611141630064	No	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xe2db48…
06-11 18:04:22	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0xa6358a…
06-11 17:47:24	Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	31	13¢	$4	0xe38ae3…
06-11 17:46:57	Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x536903…
06-11 17:46:06	Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0x823c68…
06-11 17:45:24	Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xda6922…
05-30 17:50:53	Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?	Yes	BUY	51	14¢	$7	0x327da6…
05-30 10:53:50	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xcdde8d…
05-30 10:44:09	Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x84cd17…
05-30 10:23:34	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	252	8¢	$21	0x6602c4…
05-23 11:23:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	214	1¢	$1	0xd421a5…
05-21 03:27:57	Will Trump say "Inflation" 5+ times during Kevin Warsh's swearing-in ceremony?	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x4b4c9d…
05-17 12:38:40	Will Trump post "Big" or "Bigger" or "Biggest" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x28d576…
05-17 12:36:34	Will Trump post "Tina" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x7aad9a…
05-16 21:37:42	Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xb7fafc…
05-16 04:12:45	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	68	19¢	$13	0x2e3099…
05-05 09:18:26	Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obamacare" in May?	Yes	BUY	43	14¢	$6	0xf1d30c…
05-04 03:54:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	65	9¢	$6	0xaa6cfc…
05-03 15:31:10	Will Trump post "Paper tiger" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x916a48…
05-02 10:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0xce527c…
05-02 10:21:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x820b21…
05-02 10:19:34	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x47cd6c…
05-02 10:10:44	Will MrBeast say "Technology" during his next video?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb5b388…
05-02 10:10:14	Will MrBeast say "Influencer" during his next video?	Yes	BUY	24	12¢	$3	0xf726ff…
05-02 10:09:20	Will Bernie Sanders say "Billion" or "Billionaire" 5+ times in Michigan?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x05ef55…
05-02 10:08:46	Will Bernie Sanders say "DHS" or "TSA" in Michigan?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x0544a5…
05-02 10:06:20	Will Bernie Sanders say "Amazon" or "Jeff" or "Bezos" in Michigan?	No	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbe824d…
04-19 07:43:28	Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	48	8¢	$4	0x9e2d4f…
04-19 07:42:20	Will Trump post "Trump Strait" or "Strait of Trump" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0xc76eb5…
04-19 07:42:04	Will Trump post "Gulf of America" or "Gulf of Trump" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x77ade6…
04-19 07:41:48	Will Trump post "Art of the Deal" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0x0f04de…
04-19 07:40:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0xab57c9…
04-19 07:40:06	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	149	3¢	$4	0xf58241…
04-19 07:38:58	will the dhs shutdown last 80 days or more 431	No	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0xbb07b2…
04-19 07:38:36	will the dhs shutdown last 70 days or more 252	No	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0x72a682…
04-19 07:37:30	will the dhs shutdown last 90 days or more 828 938	Yes	SELL	155	56¢	$87	0x7a6dbf…
04-18 08:32:40	Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	68	25¢	$17	0xd52c3e…
04-18 08:31:42	Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x909a9a…
04-18 05:58:34	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0xa9a446…
04-17 20:10:08	will trump say pope during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x483155…
04-17 20:09:22	will trump say kamala during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x57cd07…
04-17 20:09:04	will trump say moon or astronaut during tpusa events on april 17	Yes	BUY	51	30¢	$15	0x1323c1…
04-17 20:08:16	will trump say sleepy or biden or obama 10 times during tpusa events on april 17	No	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x0d0c5c…
04-13 19:59:47	Will Trump say "Strait of Trump" or "Trump Strait" in April?	Yes	BUY	63	11¢	$7	0x86866f…
04-13 19:53:21	will trump say hague during dinner with dutch royals	Yes	BUY	51	12¢	$6	0x68d495…
04-13 19:51:33	will trump say liberation or liberated or liberating during dinner with dutch royals	Yes	BUY	37	14¢	$5	0xf45441…
04-12 11:23:13	will bernie or mamdani say revolution or revolutionary during nyc rally	No	BUY	55	31¢	$17	0xca5680…
04-12 11:20:45	will bernie or mamdani say crypto or bitcoin during nyc rally	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xd2ed90…
04-08 03:00:59	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	233	2¢	$5	0xfc6620…
04-08 02:58:29	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$51	0xe61bed…
04-08 02:49:45	Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Leadership Change	SELL	135	1¢	$1	0xeecb9a…
04-06 17:25:55	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	10¢	$15	0xdf2770…
04-06 17:25:39	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	909	1¢	$10	0x1dd42d…
04-06 17:09:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	5,000	0¢	$25	0x1ea2cc…
04-05 21:14:17	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?	Yes	BUY	244	15¢	$36	0xd2a219…
04-05 20:58:53	will the dhs shutdown last 90 days or more 828 938	Yes	BUY	155	23¢	$35	0xe83c12…
04-05 18:36:45	Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Leadership Change	BUY	135	26¢	$35	0xf26bdd…
04-05 18:07:55	will jd vance say rigged during meetings with orbn	Yes	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x004278…
04-05 15:01:59	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0xec650e…
04-05 14:56:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x17f64c…
04-05 14:41:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0xccb8a9…