Realized P&L
+$32
Unrealized P&L
+$86
Hit rate
53.0%
Resolved
155
Trades
193
lifetime
Volume
$2.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$304
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 10-11 06:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Other
41% 12% -$105
Politics
31% 20% -$80
Sports
26% 39% +$246
Crypto
1% 0% -$22
Tech
0% 0% -$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +274 $170 70¢ $193 +$23 10-11 06:40
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +200 $40 36¢ $73 +$33 08-23 12:04
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +114 $25 18¢ $20 -$5 09-23 05:59
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -129 -$30 6¢ $-8 +$21 05-03 14:47
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes +122 $6 4¢ $5 -$1 09-05 09:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes -90 -$24 3¢ $-3 +$21 05-04 03:54
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +696 $8 0¢ $1 -$7 05-17 12:50