Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$20

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

59.9%

Resolved (90d)

155

Trades (90d)

163

163 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$163

$163 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-08-18

last 11-09 12:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

85% 57% +$9

Politics

13% 79% +$8

Tech

2% 67% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	77¢	$1	+$0	11-06 04:02
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	Yes	+2	$1	44¢	$1	$0	11-09 12:28
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	+2	$1	44¢	$1	$0	11-06 22:44
Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	No	+5	$1	15¢	$1	$0	11-08 02:32
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	+5	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-03 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 12:28:12	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2f17c6…
11-09 04:27:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 9?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x68e3f2…
11-08 02:32:49	Gemini Carbon released by November 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x199aa9…
11-07 12:09:43	Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xec86d1…
11-06 22:44:45	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4b5e26…
11-06 12:49:10	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x9fb429…
11-06 04:02:54	Gemini Carbon released by November 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x191dcb…
11-05 19:26:27	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x58448c…
11-05 19:26:21	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3978e6…
11-05 10:54:12	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xe9a3d1…
11-05 02:53:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf25bce…
11-05 01:07:57	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x58d981…
11-04 03:27:42	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xad116d…
11-04 03:20:04	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xc32919…
11-03 18:58:39	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x7bd4bd…
11-03 10:58:36	Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1487a2…
11-03 02:56:31	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x97ca14…
11-02 18:55:19	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe53650…
11-02 10:54:09	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa30668…
11-02 02:54:00	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6444dc…
10-30 02:14:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbc6b03…
10-29 13:57:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe40f59…
10-29 03:02:41	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1647b6…
10-28 03:57:43	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xffc09c…
10-27 19:47:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9603d8…
10-27 11:41:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd9dc53…
10-27 03:32:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x1151df…
10-26 15:12:30	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of October 26 2026?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbaaf84…
10-26 07:08:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x93d246…
10-25 23:08:41	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 36M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf216f1…
10-25 14:41:12	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x11c346…
10-25 06:35:47	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xcadf21…
10-24 16:09:33	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x246d84…
10-21 21:20:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8a681e…
10-21 12:54:44	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xdf293b…
10-21 04:34:38	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 26?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8b5a67…
10-20 20:21:18	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6024cd…
10-20 12:09:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x26a0e1…
10-20 04:09:32	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5a253c…
10-19 20:09:20	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8f8834…
10-19 12:05:42	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $147 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x250432…
10-19 04:05:14	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x8bd5f7…
10-18 20:04:39	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xac491c…
10-18 11:51:50	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa35320…
10-18 01:04:02	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe52c61…
10-17 16:05:12	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfebea8…
10-17 06:47:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x571dec…
10-16 12:29:30	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa63828…
10-16 04:04:25	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xdb4da1…
10-15 19:50:17	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x4ae79a…
10-15 10:48:37	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x323731…
10-15 01:58:46	will the tesla roadsters 0 60 time be less than 1 second	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x83ed60…
10-14 17:58:37	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfcc05d…
10-14 09:45:40	will xagusd reach 61 by october 12 2026 from october 12	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xee774d…
10-14 01:34:53	will mu dip to 930 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x40c6ba…
10-13 15:26:22	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x366d15…
10-13 07:04:59	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x51150d…
10-12 23:04:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $232 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xbeb960…
10-12 15:02:05	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x94bedb…
10-12 06:56:55	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8d626f…
10-11 22:56:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $785 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x71a989…
10-11 14:27:40	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf6a0c5…
10-11 03:49:50	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6a127a…
10-10 18:50:36	Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.2B?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x069dac…
10-10 05:43:49	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9e9ed1…
10-09 09:46:42	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe5161e…
10-09 01:42:27	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x20666b…
10-08 17:32:54	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x72e741…
10-08 08:31:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7a2c01…
10-08 00:31:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x3bd589…
10-07 16:26:16	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0e8b67…
10-07 16:21:29	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xea0271…
10-07 04:48:39	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xed5517…
10-06 20:46:23	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf60092…
10-06 12:36:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbf0788…
10-06 04:35:10	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x335d87…
10-05 15:28:59	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x833799…
10-05 00:41:28	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb2f372…
10-02 10:28:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc31f45…
10-02 01:36:56	will rklb dip to 70 by september 28 2026 from october 1	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3db622…
10-01 10:50:18	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1504d1…
10-01 01:43:29	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf3d674…
09-29 02:17:36	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $182 Week of September 28 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x29c662…
09-28 05:46:00	will nvda dip to 216 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x96e700…
09-27 21:45:41	will spy reach 780 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x72332f…
09-27 05:56:12	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe1e09c…
09-27 02:37:42	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4b6c17…
09-26 18:05:15	will googl dip to 340 in september 2026 from september 24	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4ab252…
09-26 07:41:33	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x12722f…
09-26 07:20:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9adcb1…
09-25 21:38:29	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xca2a49…
09-25 13:38:24	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfc8632…
09-25 04:49:33	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf7e144…
09-24 20:36:33	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x336af7…
09-24 12:20:57	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0c8807…
09-24 04:15:42	Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd918b1…
09-23 20:15:35	Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x1f0c8b…
09-23 12:12:34	will meta dip to 710 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd3587a…
09-23 04:09:58	spx up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xdab914…
09-21 15:34:49	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xd306da…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$0	11-05 19:26
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 5, 2026?	2	$2	5	+5	No	-$1	11-04 03:27
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	10-07 04:48
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 01:03
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-10 14:04
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-09 12:28
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of September 28 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-02 10:28
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $207.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-24 20:36
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-06 20:46
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-23 20:15
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-13 15:26
meta up or down on september 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	09-16 23:34
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 06:47
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	10-28 03:57
will mu dip to 930 by october 12 2026 from october 13	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-14 01:34
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-21 07:07
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-18 09:42
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-08 16:13
Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-18 01:04
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	11-05 02:53
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	10-18 20:04
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-03 10:58
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 19 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-20 20:21
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 07:41
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-07 16:21
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-14 17:58
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-25 06:35
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-20 12:09
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-11 15:27
spx up or down on september 16 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-16 07:00