Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$470

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.2%

Resolved

247

Trades

2,808

lifetime

Volume

$78.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 07-29 18:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Politics

56% 50% $-303

Other

44% 16% +$773

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	123	$42.4K	26,200	26,200	+0	open	—	07-29 18:07
Fed rate hike in 2026?	10	$22.5K	18,494	18,494	+0	open	—	07-14 15:57
will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	25	$1.9K	950	950	+0	No	+$10	03-28 10:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$1.1K	539	539	+0	No	+$1	04-01 04:54
highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 10c	19	$959	1,088	200	+888	No	+$21	03-25 15:12
highest temperature in seoul on march 29 2026 17corhigher	23	$685	637	637	+0	No	+$330	03-29 04:41
highest temperature in austin on march 28 2026 80forhigher	5	$625	682	0	+682	No	+$57	03-26 05:53
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	5	$500	1,050	0	+1,050	No	+$550	03-21 17:30
highest temperature in taipei on march 28 2026 21c	16	$485	668	0	+668	Yes	+$183	03-28 14:35
highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 11c	1	$467	468	0	+468	No	+$0	03-25 15:18
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	15	$440	208	437	-230	Yes	+$185	03-25 07:25
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	39	$329	1,094	1,055	+39	Yes	+$117	03-24 06:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$306	315	315	+0	Yes	$-303	04-08 17:37
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 18c	51	$296	424	424	+0	Yes	+$254	03-29 05:43
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 84 85f	3	$292	307	0	+307	No	+$14	03-26 05:56
highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 72 73f	6	$276	305	0	+305	No	+$29	03-26 12:20
highest temperature in hong kong on march 24 2026 26c	10	$253	223	252	-29	Yes	+$160	03-24 08:05
highest temperature in london on march 27 2026 12c	11	$232	168	200	-32	Yes	+$92	03-27 13:44
highest temperature in seoul on march 29 2026 16c	15	$226	409	207	+202	Yes	+$139	03-29 04:30
highest temperature in dallas on april 4 2026 74 75f	3	$148	150	0	+150	Yes	+$2	04-04 17:41
highest temperature in dallas on april 4 2026 76 77f	2	$138	140	0	+140	No	+$2	04-04 15:53
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 82 83f	1	$125	142	0	+142	No	+$17	03-26 05:57
highest temperature in seoul on march 25 2026 14c	5	$100	222	0	+222	No	$-100	03-25 03:49
highest temperature in seoul on march 25 2026 12c	14	$99	1,483	1,483	+0	No	$-92	03-25 03:29
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 19c	14	$93	340	0	+340	No	$-93	03-29 05:42
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	12	$90	362	303	+59	No	+$24	03-27 11:46
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 74 75f	5	$89	112	0	+112	Yes	+$22	03-27 14:22
highest temperature in tokyo on march 29 2026 18c	11	$83	463	0	+463	No	$-83	03-29 04:54
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 86forhigher	3	$81	84	0	+84	No	+$3	03-26 05:58
highest temperature in dallas on march 29 2026 78 79f	33	$79	550	0	+550	No	$-79	03-29 11:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 18:07:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x58fd52…
07-19 07:41:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xfdcb11…
07-14 15:57:22	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	16,134	53¢	$8,551	0x4c40fc…
07-14 10:39:58	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,724	67¢	$1,155	0xef5dd4…
07-14 10:39:47	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x734351…
07-14 10:39:37	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0xbb8ef7…
07-14 10:39:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x5f095d…
07-14 10:39:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x0fdc76…
07-14 10:38:59	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0xd544c4…
07-14 10:38:46	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x49df54…
07-14 10:38:43	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	67¢	$24	0x18eb8e…
07-14 10:29:26	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18,494	67¢	$12,391	0x7a2c5d…
07-14 02:57:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	269	81¢	$218	0x4c3e2b…
07-14 02:29:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	113	81¢	$92	0xac974f…
07-14 02:26:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	114	81¢	$93	0x4d789e…
07-14 02:23:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	115	81¢	$93	0xbcce83…
07-14 02:22:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	116	81¢	$94	0x6420bf…
07-14 02:20:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	117	81¢	$95	0x38c16a…
07-14 02:19:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	118	81¢	$96	0x8c7d75…
07-14 02:15:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	119	81¢	$97	0xfcfdb4…
07-14 02:15:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xad8ce4…
07-14 02:13:49	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	121	81¢	$98	0xf14fd5…
07-14 02:12:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	122	81¢	$98	0x3a7701…
07-14 02:11:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	123	81¢	$99	0xe5abd7…
07-14 02:09:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	124	81¢	$100	0x383a6a…
07-14 02:08:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	125	81¢	$101	0x0f7eaa…
07-14 02:06:50	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	126	81¢	$102	0x2586fe…
07-14 02:02:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x13d78a…
07-14 01:19:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x97affc…
07-14 01:09:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x527464…
07-13 23:54:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0x644414…
07-13 23:25:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0x3a536c…
07-13 23:20:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	100	81¢	$81	0xea1c7e…
07-13 23:00:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xad821d…
07-13 23:00:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	81¢	$2	0x2d80a1…
07-13 22:38:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	431	81¢	$349	0xdd036d…
07-13 22:31:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0x36d813…
07-13 22:18:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	800	81¢	$648	0x4f658c…
07-13 22:18:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0xb12c32…
07-13 22:17:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x838e3e…
07-13 22:10:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x715bc9…
07-13 21:08:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0x224691…
07-13 21:02:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x90de04…
07-13 21:02:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5,279	81¢	$4,276	0xeaf366…
07-13 20:52:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	50	81¢	$40	0x7fa9cb…
07-13 20:10:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0x1422ce…
07-13 19:56:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x47ceae…
07-13 19:51:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0xf65fbe…
07-13 19:50:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xf34772…
07-13 19:50:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x322456…
07-13 19:49:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	48	81¢	$39	0x3455f9…
07-13 19:48:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	75	81¢	$61	0xe95d26…
07-13 19:48:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xbf92f3…
07-13 19:47:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x2330ae…
07-13 19:46:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x529638…
07-13 19:45:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5,000	81¢	$4,050	0x81dfb7…
07-13 19:45:05	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xe21c3e…
07-13 19:44:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	28	81¢	$23	0x2ce73e…
07-13 19:44:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x73645b…
07-13 19:44:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	62	81¢	$50	0x17d90a…
07-13 19:44:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2,222	81¢	$1,800	0x4e03a6…
07-13 19:44:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1,111	81¢	$900	0xbb4307…
07-13 19:44:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	37	81¢	$30	0x471782…
07-13 19:44:31	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	96	81¢	$78	0xff0d55…
07-13 19:44:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	24	81¢	$20	0x2c01fd…
07-13 19:44:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	24	81¢	$20	0x03a520…
07-13 19:44:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0xf55b4d…
07-13 19:44:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	139	81¢	$113	0x243dd6…
07-13 19:44:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$4	0xf1c937…
07-13 19:44:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x6e2194…
07-13 19:44:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0x55c5b6…
07-13 18:52:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	81¢	$162	0x360a1a…
07-13 18:50:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	380	81¢	$308	0xb31e7b…
07-13 18:50:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	214	81¢	$173	0x8c92e9…
07-13 18:49:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	62	81¢	$50	0xe483f7…
07-13 18:49:35	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	380	81¢	$308	0xbe4181…
07-13 18:49:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	153	81¢	$124	0x996e8b…
07-13 18:49:23	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	53	81¢	$43	0x097c58…
07-13 18:49:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x614ba1…
07-13 18:49:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	78	81¢	$63	0x754750…
07-13 18:49:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	17	81¢	$14	0x673064…
07-13 18:49:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x4c4bf5…
07-13 18:49:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	8	81¢	$6	0x3e1c0d…
07-13 18:49:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	31	81¢	$25	0x3d760e…
07-13 18:45:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	198	81¢	$160	0x72944f…
07-13 18:45:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x7be42e…
07-13 18:42:38	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x128972…
07-13 18:38:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xb7bb13…
07-13 18:31:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x285d9c…
07-13 18:29:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0x76a8ab…
07-13 18:19:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xfb4d83…
07-13 18:19:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x95c3c3…
07-13 18:19:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x2ca616…
07-13 18:16:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x3dd9ce…
07-13 18:14:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x98d236…
07-13 18:13:29	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x6bdbcf…
07-13 18:05:04	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xc34848…
07-13 17:58:46	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x7cf8e9…
07-13 17:57:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x32c702…
07-13 17:56:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x751ba9…