Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.54K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.8%

Resolved

253

Trades

3,254

lifetime

Volume

$199.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 09-14 08:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

78% 17% +$2,839

Politics

22% 50% -$303

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	123	$42.4K	26,200	26,200	+0	open	—	07-29 18:07
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	192	$39.2K	65,598	35,058	+30,541	No	+$22,468	09-02 21:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	36	$38.2K	40,000	40,000	+0	Yes	-$17,845	09-14 08:08
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	39	$24.0K	31,028	0	+31,028	Yes	+$7,024	07-29 15:45
Fed rate hike in 2026?	10	$22.5K	18,494	18,494	+0	Yes	-$2,259	07-14 15:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	175	$19.3K	21,837	21,837	+0	No	-$7,323	09-11 13:23
will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	25	$1.9K	950	950	+0	No	+$10	03-28 10:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$1.1K	539	539	+0	No	+$1	04-01 04:54
highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 10c	19	$959	1,088	200	+888	No	+$21	03-25 15:12
highest temperature in seoul on march 29 2026 17corhigher	23	$685	637	637	+0	No	+$330	03-29 04:41
highest temperature in austin on march 28 2026 80forhigher	5	$625	682	0	+682	No	+$57	03-26 05:53
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	5	$500	1,050	0	+1,050	No	+$550	03-21 17:30
highest temperature in taipei on march 28 2026 21c	16	$485	668	0	+668	Yes	+$183	03-28 14:35
highest temperature in london on march 25 2026 11c	1	$467	468	0	+468	No	+$0	03-25 15:18
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 16c	15	$440	208	437	-230	Yes	+$185	03-25 07:25
highest temperature in seoul on march 24 2026 13c	39	$329	1,094	1,055	+39	Yes	+$117	03-24 06:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$306	315	315	+0	Yes	-$303	04-08 17:37
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 18c	51	$296	424	424	+0	Yes	+$254	03-29 05:43
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 84 85f	3	$292	307	0	+307	No	+$14	03-26 05:56
highest temperature in chicago on march 26 2026 72 73f	6	$276	305	0	+305	No	+$29	03-26 12:20
highest temperature in hong kong on march 24 2026 26c	10	$253	223	252	-29	Yes	+$160	03-24 08:05
highest temperature in london on march 27 2026 12c	11	$232	168	200	-32	Yes	+$92	03-27 13:44
highest temperature in seoul on march 29 2026 16c	15	$226	409	207	+202	Yes	+$139	03-29 04:30
highest temperature in dallas on april 4 2026 74 75f	3	$148	150	0	+150	Yes	+$2	04-04 17:41
highest temperature in dallas on april 4 2026 76 77f	2	$138	140	0	+140	No	+$2	04-04 15:53
highest temperature in dallas on march 27 2026 82 83f	1	$125	142	0	+142	No	+$17	03-26 05:57
highest temperature in seoul on march 25 2026 14c	5	$100	222	0	+222	No	-$100	03-25 03:49
highest temperature in seoul on march 25 2026 12c	14	$99	1,483	1,483	+0	No	-$92	03-25 03:29
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 19c	14	$93	340	0	+340	No	-$93	03-29 05:42
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	12	$90	362	303	+59	No	+$24	03-27 11:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 08:08:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	11,500	21¢	$2,415	0xe583ff…
09-14 08:07:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	15,000	21¢	$3,150	0x333999…
09-14 07:59:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2,000	21¢	$420	0x1dda8c…
09-14 07:59:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2,000	21¢	$420	0xe92df4…
09-13 08:13:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2,000	21¢	$420	0x237b9c…
09-11 13:23:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	9,284	19¢	$1,764	0x05ea3b…
09-11 13:23:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	132	19¢	$25	0x0cc3b9…
09-11 13:23:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	153	19¢	$29	0xfd811f…
09-11 13:23:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	160	19¢	$30	0xa3306c…
09-11 13:23:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	158	19¢	$30	0x8a00bc…
09-11 13:23:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x6e28b8…
09-11 13:23:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x24125a…
09-11 13:23:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	250	19¢	$48	0x0b0d55…
09-11 13:23:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,004	19¢	$381	0x0a6928…
09-11 13:23:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	105	19¢	$20	0x01c411…
09-11 13:22:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	771	19¢	$146	0xb84eed…
09-11 13:22:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	618	19¢	$117	0xb2e2bf…
09-02 21:21:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,094	44¢	$481	0xf136ea…
09-02 21:20:07	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	50	57¢	$28	0x76e937…
09-02 21:19:57	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	83	57¢	$48	0xa0d939…
08-28 14:25:16	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	500	42¢	$210	0xb80bd7…
08-28 14:18:34	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	72	42¢	$30	0xefa738…
08-28 14:18:34	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x346116…
08-28 14:18:31	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x46275f…
08-28 14:18:31	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x213918…
08-28 14:18:15	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x4597db…
08-28 14:18:09	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x1beda7…
08-28 14:17:43	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xef4c0a…
08-28 14:17:15	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xd06eda…
08-28 14:17:10	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	29	42¢	$12	0x8d436b…
08-28 14:17:09	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x0030ef…
08-28 14:17:04	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x91c4f6…
08-27 04:13:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xa41fc8…
08-27 04:13:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	450	68¢	$306	0xe1bbbc…
08-27 04:11:21	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xf0e3ec…
08-26 12:56:19	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	233	33¢	$77	0x351b97…
08-26 12:53:49	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	267	33¢	$88	0xac9f4d…
08-26 12:45:15	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	97	32¢	$31	0x1a7313…
08-26 12:44:46	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	403	32¢	$129	0xd0c033…
08-26 08:10:33	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x70e806…
08-26 08:10:33	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	172	31¢	$53	0x6c103a…
08-26 08:10:33	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	2,185	32¢	$691	0x036a79…
08-26 08:10:31	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	21	31¢	$7	0xfe8454…
08-24 22:26:13	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	500	34¢	$170	0x5da0bd…
08-23 14:05:13	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x635deb…
08-23 14:05:07	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	2,307	30¢	$702	0xaf0db8…
08-21 13:33:43	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	555	29¢	$161	0x646e1c…
08-20 20:26:55	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0xeb5fe5…
08-19 13:48:00	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0x10d98d…
08-17 18:15:57	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	73	27¢	$20	0x3436ba…
08-17 18:15:55	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	27	27¢	$7	0x33775e…
08-15 22:53:28	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0xe05e64…
08-13 05:11:09	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xdde8b3…
08-13 05:10:40	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xdb04b3…
08-13 05:10:30	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xf073d6…
08-13 05:05:48	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xd80b46…
08-13 05:04:42	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x1d9dac…
08-13 04:11:36	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0x1847df…
08-13 03:29:31	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	30	33¢	$10	0xf04b6e…
08-13 01:53:24	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	18	33¢	$6	0xacf07a…
08-13 01:53:18	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	92	33¢	$30	0xe6b74c…
08-13 01:51:46	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	2,931	33¢	$967	0xb0ce72…
08-11 16:42:52	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	133	41¢	$55	0xcd5b84…
08-11 15:54:10	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x711fed…
08-11 15:54:10	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x510bd3…
08-11 15:54:10	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	2,964	41¢	$1,216	0x006815…
08-08 08:05:31	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	51	37¢	$19	0x7fc1db…
08-05 13:09:59	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x132bb9…
08-05 11:33:20	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	24	50¢	$12	0x0e8ef2…
08-05 07:46:30	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0x0469a8…
08-04 11:59:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	106	46¢	$49	0xc4f4ec…
08-04 11:59:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	53	46¢	$24	0x90b422…
08-04 11:59:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	78	46¢	$36	0xf78156…
08-04 11:59:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	46	46¢	$21	0xe25a27…
08-04 11:59:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0xc6d9e1…
08-04 11:59:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	46¢	$55	0xbe6170…
08-04 11:59:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	500	46¢	$230	0x825186…
08-04 11:59:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	69	46¢	$32	0x09fba8…
08-04 11:58:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	487	46¢	$224	0xb0aed3…
08-04 07:02:08	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?	No	SELL	1,556	58¢	$902	0xf75924…
08-02 02:19:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,269	39¢	$495	0xe94c50…
08-02 01:54:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x2a11ff…
08-02 01:54:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xdd8dd8…
08-02 01:47:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	35	39¢	$14	0x598654…
08-02 01:41:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	13	39¢	$5	0xcd5e0c…
08-02 01:38:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x30efd6…
08-02 01:28:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0xea1596…
08-02 01:13:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	39¢	$4	0x183923…
08-02 01:09:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x21c1ac…
08-02 01:06:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	103	39¢	$40	0xf856cc…
08-02 00:57:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	128	39¢	$50	0x3ddee8…
08-02 00:56:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	256	39¢	$100	0xe6a74f…
08-02 00:27:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0xd91346…
08-02 00:22:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0xf367e6…
07-30 13:07:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3,000	44¢	$1,320	0x63bced…
07-30 12:29:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,000	39¢	$780	0x6eaa00…
07-30 10:19:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2,774	44¢	$1,221	0x878ecf…
07-30 09:51:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xea7f7d…
07-30 09:44:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0x32479f…
07-30 09:32:56	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x0d5c06…