Violet-Website — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

8.7%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$6.61K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$48

1 position

First seen

2026-03-22

last 06-09 15:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

42% 100% +$3

Other

37% — —

Sports

17% 0% $-4

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes		-125	$-65	38¢	$-48	+$17	05-31 16:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	03-23 02:09
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$1.1K	616	616	+0	No	$-4	04-14 13:08
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	8	$407	312	312	+0	open	—	06-09 00:29
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	6	$397	254	254	+0	open	—	06-08 11:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	8	$393	342	467	-125	open	—	06-02 05:23
Will Alberta join the US?	5	$367	192	192	+0	open	—	06-04 23:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	8	$352	354	354	+0	open	—	06-06 03:41
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	7	$347	436	436	+0	open	—	06-09 12:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$198	101	101	+0	open	—	05-23 19:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	4	$184	150	150	+0	open	—	06-04 17:23
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	6	$176	183	183	+0	open	—	05-29 20:28
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	3	$172	99	99	+0	open	—	05-24 13:37
Iran leadership change by May 31?	2	$171	87	87	+0	open	—	05-26 09:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$150	79	79	+0	open	—	05-16 22:24
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$149	84	84	+0	open	—	04-26 11:48
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	3	$149	84	84	+0	open	—	04-27 01:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$140	75	75	+0	open	—	05-31 06:08
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	3	$125	131	131	+0	open	—	04-22 11:26
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$108	108	108	+0	Yes	+$3	04-24 13:10
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	3	$73	534	534	+0	open	—	03-22 15:01
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	5	$64	2,662	2,662	+0	open	—	04-16 08:59
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	7	$60	2,619	2,619	+0	open	—	04-16 01:26
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	2	$36	95	95	+0	open	—	06-02 16:11
Iran Nuke before 2027?	3	$25	136	136	+0	open	—	06-08 17:25
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$15	33	33	+0	open	—	05-30 05:32
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$15	34	34	+0	open	—	06-09 15:53
Iran leadership change by June 30?	5	$15	185	185	+0	open	—	06-06 12:42
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	3	$11	174	105	+69	open	—	05-27 18:03
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	4	$3	99	99	+0	open	—	06-01 00:19
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3	30	30	+0	open	—	04-16 13:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 15:53:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	34	22¢	$7	0x7f3382…
06-09 14:10:39	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0xd23eb9…
06-09 14:10:39	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0x128650…
06-09 12:24:45	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	128	27¢	$35	0x99a9fc…
06-09 10:09:06	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	128	27¢	$35	0x8fe9b3…
06-09 00:29:58	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	SELL	104	3¢	$3	0x2fd48c…
06-08 22:19:03	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	Yes	BUY	104	2¢	$3	0x634b67…
06-08 17:25:31	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	SELL	136	9¢	$13	0xa25b03…
06-08 15:22:36	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	104	9¢	$10	0xdbb9ed…
06-08 15:22:36	Iran Nuke before 2027?	Yes	BUY	32	9¢	$3	0xa00b8c…
06-08 11:28:12	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd685c3…
06-07 08:39:16	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1b5109…
06-07 02:58:25	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	98	96¢	$95	0x8870be…
06-07 01:15:37	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	103	96¢	$99	0x0578c8…
06-06 12:42:24	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	44	4¢	$2	0x9dc157…
06-06 12:42:24	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	SELL	141	4¢	$5	0x5be817…
06-06 11:03:30	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	113	4¢	$5	0xcafd65…
06-06 11:03:30	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x77e666…
06-06 11:03:30	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x1b34e4…
06-06 08:44:03	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	123	81¢	$99	0x7f245f…
06-06 08:43:18	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$99	0xde2e60…
06-06 03:41:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	162	50¢	$81	0xbca193…
06-06 03:41:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x2513f9…
06-06 01:28:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	170	50¢	$85	0x427d07…
06-05 16:02:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	156	49¢	$76	0xec6ed4…
06-05 16:02:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	49¢	$14	0x9ac6a4…
06-05 14:26:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	69	50¢	$34	0x967a9a…
06-05 14:26:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	50¢	$6	0x6a858d…
06-05 14:26:37	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	102	50¢	$51	0x3646b8…
06-05 09:52:24	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xb8e864…
06-05 07:35:09	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	105	97¢	$101	0x45c6cb…
06-05 05:54:07	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xa36201…
06-05 05:54:06	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x9df444…
06-04 23:06:24	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	73	96¢	$70	0x12a2c5…
06-04 23:06:24	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x0d1ebb…
06-04 19:38:43	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	97	95¢	$92	0x3bc96d…
06-04 17:23:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	150	62¢	$93	0xfe60ee…
06-04 12:34:00	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	64	61¢	$39	0x6f61c5…
06-04 12:33:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	73	61¢	$45	0x948b1a…
06-04 12:33:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x1b8534…
06-02 16:11:52	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	95	19¢	$18	0xc73c19…
06-02 14:24:53	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	95	19¢	$18	0xbc2f04…
06-02 05:23:59	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	47	47¢	$22	0xf6dc38…
06-02 05:23:59	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x09f110…
06-02 05:23:13	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	120	47¢	$56	0x4a5b3a…
06-02 03:18:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	175	47¢	$82	0x7090d5…
06-01 23:29:07	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	95	96¢	$91	0x53e733…
06-01 19:01:27	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0x827e5a…
06-01 00:19:28	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	99	1¢	$1	0xa3ec36…
05-31 21:54:32	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	33	2¢	$0	0x6d6e03…
05-31 21:54:32	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x6600f9…
05-31 21:54:32	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x4e61ef…
05-31 16:31:27	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	125	52¢	$65	0x485f1f…
05-31 13:18:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	127	79¢	$100	0x50e93f…
05-31 12:13:34	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	127	74¢	$93	0x49d81f…
05-31 06:08:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	75	93¢	$70	0xf9f72a…
05-31 03:59:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	75	93¢	$70	0xd3e543…
05-30 05:32:06	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	23¢	$8	0xb494b3…
05-30 03:15:04	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	23¢	$8	0x16e541…
05-29 20:28:43	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	98¢	$85	0xd34b6a…
05-29 17:21:09	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0xe2e121…
05-29 17:12:28	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xd291e5…
05-29 17:12:28	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0xb717a8…
05-29 11:25:09	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x5eb048…
05-29 11:25:09	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	4¢	$2	0x2d2799…
05-29 06:25:43	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	189	29¢	$55	0x631af5…
05-29 05:02:02	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	189	28¢	$53	0x88b90c…
05-28 12:09:57	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	119	71¢	$84	0xc6635d…
05-28 10:06:56	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0xb4b735…
05-28 10:06:56	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	63	72¢	$45	0x59816c…
05-28 04:52:29	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	113	49¢	$55	0x619da0…
05-28 04:52:27	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	54	49¢	$27	0xd549a2…
05-28 01:07:21	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	167	49¢	$82	0xfa6bfa…
05-27 18:03:30	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	SELL	105	4¢	$4	0xf73882…
05-27 16:56:37	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	105	3¢	$4	0x923797…
05-26 09:38:34	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	SELL	87	98¢	$85	0x783bad…
05-26 04:42:31	Iran leadership change by May 31?	No	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0xd00b7e…
05-24 16:52:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	69	5¢	$3	0x65209b…
05-24 13:37:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x5d08a3…
05-24 13:37:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	84	88¢	$74	0xa3d5d4…
05-24 10:54:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	99	85¢	$85	0x59b224…
05-23 19:11:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	101	98¢	$99	0x8d0b84…
05-23 19:11:09	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0x939838…
05-16 22:24:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	79	95¢	$75	0x72daae…
05-16 22:17:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	79	95¢	$75	0x8a97d0…
04-27 01:23:24	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	84	89¢	$75	0x9e434a…
04-26 20:33:48	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	46	89¢	$41	0xb3c50b…
04-26 20:33:48	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0x9548c0…
04-26 11:48:34	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0xa9a337…
04-26 11:48:34	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	65	89¢	$58	0x929748…
04-26 09:26:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	68	89¢	$61	0xc30647…
04-26 09:26:10	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x7bfbfb…
04-24 13:10:18	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	108	51¢	$56	0x397886…
04-24 11:28:50	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	108	49¢	$53	0xf37dd3…
04-22 11:26:10	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	131	49¢	$64	0x4c5f04…
04-22 09:31:16	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	72	47¢	$34	0xf96007…
04-22 09:31:16	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	59	47¢	$28	0x8d8e2e…
04-16 13:11:52	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x0cdad0…
04-16 12:01:00	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xde89df…
04-16 08:59:04	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	SELL	668	1¢	$8	0xfc67e4…