Chilly-Mouth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

459

lifetime

Volume

$2.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-27 20:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% 0% $-1

Politics

27% 0% $-51

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes		+50	$11	12¢	$6	$-5	06-17 04:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$223	371	0	+371	open	—	04-02 14:17
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	2	$141	177	0	+177	open	—	01-23 16:07
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 360 379	3	$105	124	0	+124	open	—	02-13 15:16
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	3	$84	71	71	+0	open	—	05-20 13:05
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	8	$69	503	0	+503	open	—	03-29 19:47
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 320 339	2	$66	263	250	+13	open	—	04-12 21:31
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	3	$64	378	360	+19	open	—	04-12 21:31
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	2	$61	264	251	+13	open	—	04-12 21:30
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$60	126	126	+0	open	—	02-28 14:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	9	$59	404	0	+404	open	—	05-30 20:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$51	150	0	+150	No	$-51	05-05 14:02
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$41	100	0	+100	open	—	02-17 20:55
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	2	$40	61	0	+61	open	—	06-22 17:05
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	7	$36	208	0	+208	open	—	03-11 18:34
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	9	$35	86	0	+86	open	—	03-13 13:45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$32	51	0	+51	open	—	03-16 16:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	7	$31	503	0	+503	open	—	04-25 06:29
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	6	$29	466	0	+466	open	—	03-10 15:57
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$28	100	0	+100	open	—	03-06 17:06
Iran leadership change by April 30?	4	$28	102	0	+102	open	—	04-07 19:34
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 380 399	7	$28	75	0	+75	open	—	03-13 13:47
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	2	$28	250	238	+12	open	—	04-12 21:30
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	3	$27	235	131	+103	open	—	04-03 12:12
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	1	$26	81	0	+81	open	—	03-30 18:40
Solana Up or Down on April 25?	1	$26	53	0	+53	open	—	04-25 10:26
fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 2pt5	2	$25	51	0	+51	open	—	06-23 19:25
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	3	$25	60	0	+60	open	—	01-30 15:31
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 280 299	5	$25	55	0	+55	open	—	03-17 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$24	71	68	+3	open	—	04-28 05:26
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total home 2pt5	1	$22	34	0	+34	open	—	06-21 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 20:48:34	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2b16ba…
06-27 20:46:16	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 btts second half	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xc62944…
06-27 20:45:43	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 first half team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xc52f16…
06-27 20:42:46	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa70ffc…
06-26 22:13:49	fifwc pan eng 2026 06 27 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x9f4176…
06-25 04:21:16	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x02128a…
06-25 04:18:28	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xa27798…
06-23 19:25:34	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xae4508…
06-22 17:54:50	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 goals kylian mbappe gte3	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x68ed10…
06-22 17:53:19	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xe78a3e…
06-22 17:05:47	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xd67ce7…
06-22 17:01:53	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe26391…
06-22 17:00:59	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x6ca7f4…
06-21 19:59:22	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb89271…
06-21 18:15:46	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x135793…
06-21 18:12:41	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x7e76f5…
06-21 17:44:07	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x9be80e…
06-21 17:43:17	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xe27593…
06-21 17:40:23	fifwc ury cvi 2026 06 21 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x864502…
06-21 15:24:35	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	34	65¢	$22	0x384244…
06-21 15:23:26	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x624aed…
06-21 15:20:50	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xda885f…
06-21 15:10:25	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x49d653…
06-20 19:33:08	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xcffa0a…
06-19 10:31:08	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x952dd7…
06-17 22:11:40	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x156725…
06-17 22:10:40	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x421c03…
06-17 16:40:43	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x32ccdc…
06-17 16:39:31	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 assists bruno fernandes gte2	Yes	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x1bc861…
06-17 16:38:47	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte2	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xb47db2…
06-17 16:36:23	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x4574f3…
06-17 04:05:44	Cuban regime falls in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xa06529…
06-01 05:23:42	Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	6¢	$7	0x1a7c27…
06-01 05:22:39	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	107	13¢	$14	0x8a2bc3…
05-30 20:13:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0xb93c8e…
05-29 11:22:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	62	6¢	$4	0xea30ff…
05-29 11:21:42	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	53	11¢	$6	0xbe7bcc…
05-29 06:38:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xcc3572…
05-29 06:38:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0xa42c71…
05-28 16:31:16	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0x502175…
05-28 14:28:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x7e0c38…
05-28 09:34:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	106	8¢	$8	0x54a17f…
05-28 09:28:35	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0x9b9c74…
05-27 19:37:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x790b5d…
05-27 19:37:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x2658ad…
05-27 19:37:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	56	12¢	$7	0x4b2516…
05-24 05:09:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0x536ff4…
05-22 13:50:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xe2c814…
05-20 13:05:12	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	Yes	SELL	71	95¢	$67	0xaeaea5…
05-18 15:48:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xe792bd…
05-17 18:38:51	Will BNB dip to $400 in May?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x374e33…
05-17 18:38:42	Will BNB dip to $300 in May?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x6d4b24…
05-17 18:38:17	Will Chainlink dip to $2 in May?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x79a9d5…
05-17 18:37:53	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 in May?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x614a05…
05-17 18:37:09	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?	Yes	BUY	176	1¢	$1	0xef5605…
05-17 18:36:06	Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in May?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x265354…
05-17 18:34:39	Will XRP dip to $0.80 in May?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x9f8ca0…
05-17 18:34:26	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	210	0¢	$1	0x843036…
05-17 18:24:59	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $240 in May?	Yes	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0x659b98…
05-17 18:21:12	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $285 in May?	Yes	BUY	96	1¢	$1	0xd85c36…
05-17 18:19:32	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $300 in May?	Yes	BUY	148	1¢	$1	0x4e62dd…
05-17 18:14:54	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in May?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xbd5652…
05-17 18:13:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?	Yes	BUY	104	3¢	$3	0x2a5b24…
05-16 13:41:23	World Championships: USA vs. Switzerland	USA	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf98bb3…
05-15 18:08:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	Yes	BUY	109	11¢	$12	0x242f58…
05-14 19:50:13	Will Solana dip to $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0x093751…
05-14 19:48:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	133	2¢	$2	0x2cc2eb…
05-14 19:48:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$3	0x16b65c…
05-14 19:47:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	120	5¢	$6	0x7d40e0…
05-05 14:02:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7eabd1…
05-04 17:48:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x9c5a62…
05-01 19:27:24	Iran leadership change by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x53e029…
05-01 19:24:46	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xb90d80…
04-30 05:31:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0x27ecfa…
04-30 05:31:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xa07549…
04-30 05:30:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in May?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0xf7cb4b…
04-30 05:30:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7e9a45…
04-29 20:28:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x10a611…
04-29 14:10:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x1fb3d3…
04-29 14:09:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x7a327d…
04-28 05:28:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x4cafa2…
04-28 05:27:40	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x3f2d8a…
04-28 05:26:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	28¢	$19	0xf9ecdd…
04-28 05:25:58	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	3¢	$1	0x496bae…
04-28 05:23:30	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0xf61d1e…
04-28 05:23:02	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x4428d4…
04-27 18:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 6°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	76	1¢	$1	0x718d4b…
04-27 18:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x59e7a9…
04-27 13:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x6cbb02…
04-26 21:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x3764db…
04-26 21:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4214d7…
04-26 21:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0f9412…
04-26 21:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x6163be…
04-26 21:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xed324f…
04-26 21:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd184f6…
04-26 21:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x28cfb2…
04-26 21:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x94edb3…
04-26 21:15:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xf66c40…
04-26 05:06:26	XRP Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xc36308…
04-26 05:04:14	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xe0bd3f…