Animated-Diagnosis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$220

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

689

Trades

1,607

lifetime

Volume

$4.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 08-10 05:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Other

65% 42% +$55

Crypto

17% 58% -$193

Sports

16% 53% -$81

Politics

2% 40% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	-5	-$5	66¢	$-4	+$1	04-30 06:24
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	-2	-$2	99¢	$-2	$0	05-19 10:05
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	$0	05-17 12:28
Discord IPO before 2027?	Yes	-12	-$6	6¢	$-1	+$6	05-19 10:04
Ledger IPO before 2027?	Yes	-7	-$1	4¢	$-0	+$1	07-06 06:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 16:15 UTC	1	$105	202	0	+202	Up	-$105	01-28 15:57
ethereum up or down march 1 10am et	2	$101	198	0	+198	Down	-$101	03-01 14:15
nba mem dal 2026 02 27	1	$100	154	0	+154	Grizzlies	-$100	02-27 15:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 09:45 UTC	2	$91	175	0	+175	Up	+$84	03-01 09:39
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 28?	4	$85	99	99	+0	Yes	-$2	05-28 13:45
chi hen yun 2026 03 15 hen	1	$71	120	0	+120	Yes	+$49	03-15 05:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 14:15 UTC	1	$60	118	0	+118	Down	-$60	01-28 14:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 08:00 UTC	1	$57	112	0	+112	Down	-$57	02-10 07:37
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	0	51	-51	No	$0	05-27 12:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 09:15 UTC	1	$50	100	0	+100	Up	+$50	03-02 08:58
ethereum up or down february 27 12pm et	1	$50	97	0	+97	Up	+$47	02-27 16:23
bitcoin up or down february 28 10am et	1	$50	98	0	+98	Up	-$50	02-28 14:37
nba nop det 2026 03 26	1	$50	77	0	+77	Pistons	+$27	03-26 13:03
nba nop nyk 2026 03 24	1	$50	65	0	+65	Knicks	+$15	03-24 16:19
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	0	51	-51	No	-$1	05-27 12:16
nba chi phi 2026 03 25	1	$45	65	0	+65	76ers	+$20	03-25 07:57
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 27?	6	$40	47	47	+0	Yes	+$14	07-27 04:21
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 2?	8	$40	35	30	+5	Yes	+$22	07-02 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on June 20?	9	$40	32	32	+0	Yes	+$22	06-20 08:19
bitcoin up or down february 7 5am et	1	$39	78	0	+78	Down	+$39	02-07 09:27
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 24?	5	$38	30	30	+0	Yes	+$20	07-24 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 27?	9	$36	66	66	+0	No	+$3	07-27 04:22
nba tor was 2026 02 28	1	$35	40	0	+40	Raptors	+$5	02-28 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 4?	5	$35	42	28	+14	Yes	+$32	07-04 07:02
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	03-02 14:11
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 5?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	07-05 02:13
trump approval up or down this week 857	7	$30	25	25	+0	Down	+$3	03-16 00:33
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 28?	5	$30	26	26	+0	Yes	+$11	07-28 05:11
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on July 19?	5	$27	23	23	+0	Yes	+$15	07-19 06:14
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 6?	3	$26	15	15	+0	No	-$4	07-06 06:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 05:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 10?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x419a6e…
08-10 00:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf96440…
08-05 01:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x52f951…
08-05 01:18:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x12f5a0…
08-05 01:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0xc5a3a6…
08-05 01:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	13	5¢	$1	0xced97c…
08-05 01:12:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc51b14…
08-04 23:23:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x96af92…
08-04 23:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x42ef75…
08-04 23:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x36f1ca…
08-04 12:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xfbc3ed…
08-04 12:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x40206f…
08-04 12:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc5ca20…
08-04 05:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x8e97a2…
08-04 03:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xa0a770…
08-04 01:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 4?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xb5c2f1…
08-04 01:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 4?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xbcfcc3…
08-04 00:48:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xea41bf…
08-04 00:45:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xfa3fdc…
08-04 00:45:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x2cd71a…
08-04 00:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3f8cac…
08-04 00:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x63e9c0…
08-03 12:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 4?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc4ea90…
08-03 02:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3dec3d…
08-02 00:29:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 2?	No	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x7fa39f…
08-02 00:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x859f12…
08-01 15:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 2?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4c986f…
08-01 15:23:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xedf82b…
08-01 14:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 2?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6133e5…
08-01 06:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xc6906c…
08-01 06:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0xdf34d5…
08-01 02:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x4be76f…
08-01 02:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x057c1a…
08-01 01:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xf580b0…
08-01 01:53:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xea7d83…
08-01 01:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xc8b6b9…
08-01 01:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x84cae1…
08-01 01:40:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x180247…
08-01 01:38:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 1?	Yes	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0x485443…
08-01 01:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x9ed989…
08-01 01:32:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xb64251…
08-01 01:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 1?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x1cb6b5…
08-01 01:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xc91e49…
08-01 01:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x9f7db2…
08-01 01:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x059a89…
08-01 01:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x48ecde…
08-01 01:22:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x18b7c2…
08-01 01:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2f3fab…
08-01 01:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 1?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x0458a4…
08-01 01:20:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 1?	No	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x6989cc…
08-01 01:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb99d90…
08-01 01:19:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfd23f3…
08-01 01:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x44d886…
08-01 01:07:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 1?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3d165f…
08-01 01:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x6a3f53…
08-01 01:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 1?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x621b26…
07-31 08:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x43fd30…
07-31 07:40:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on August 1?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc4ef8d…
07-31 03:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 38°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x240e9e…
07-29 06:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x64eb67…
07-29 03:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x08acc8…
07-29 01:15:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x9780f0…
07-28 11:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc264cb…
07-28 11:59:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xce813d…
07-28 09:40:05	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x594805…
07-28 09:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x52f354…
07-28 06:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0x1a5023…
07-28 06:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x98c3d2…
07-28 06:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xb73655…
07-28 06:13:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 29?	Yes	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xfc8426…
07-28 05:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	16	18¢	$3	0x11d614…
07-28 05:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	26	77¢	$20	0xccf040…
07-28 03:16:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x732348…
07-28 02:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xa456b3…
07-28 01:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xf195a6…
07-28 01:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x22f682…
07-28 01:10:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x44327f…
07-28 00:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x019e1d…
07-27 13:46:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x985c6d…
07-27 13:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0xbc22bc…
07-27 13:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x1ed84e…
07-27 13:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x36d4fe…
07-27 12:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb6b315…
07-27 12:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x438f3b…
07-27 07:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb0f15e…
07-27 07:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x76001c…
07-27 07:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x595f35…
07-27 04:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	34	35¢	$12	0x5aba7c…
07-27 04:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	31	56¢	$17	0x87400e…
07-27 04:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x2a40bc…
07-27 04:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x2bf541…
07-27 03:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x54d87e…
07-27 03:58:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0xeab679…
07-27 00:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xb06fab…
07-26 13:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x520645…
07-26 13:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 27?	Yes	SELL	41	21¢	$9	0x4acc5c…
07-26 13:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x70eff9…
07-26 13:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x4f14f9…
07-26 13:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x018286…
07-26 12:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa5adce…