Outgoing-Boxspring — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

107

lifetime

Volume

$2.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-20 21:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

45% 100% +$9

Other

32% — —

Crypto

23% 100% +$22

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$305	312	+312	open	—	05-20 01:46
Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$265	307	+307	open	—	05-16 07:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$258	265	+265	open	—	05-15 07:00
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$258	259	+259	open	—	05-12 13:42
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$258	258	+258	open	—	05-14 18:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$251	261	+261	No	+$9	05-09 17:34
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$236	258	+258	Yes	+$22	05-05 00:14
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	1	$181	181	+181	open	—	04-30 21:35
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	1	$51	58	+58	open	—	05-03 01:00
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$35	37	+37	open	—	04-14 02:39
gc hit 4200 low jan 2026 289 371 251 294	1	$25	26	+26	open	—	01-24 04:22
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	01-06 17:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$17	21	+21	open	—	04-21 02:42
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	01-07 05:52
aapl above 320 on january 30 2026	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	01-08 17:28
tsla above 550 on january 30 2026	1	$12	13	+13	open	—	01-11 18:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	04-25 19:41
si hit 40 low jan 2026 159 697 786	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	01-19 11:17
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 115	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	01-14 00:05
will chainlink hit 23 in january	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	01-20 19:48
will zai have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	01-13 06:32
aapl above 310 on january 30 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-15 03:50
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-21 12:18
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$6	6	+6	Yes	+$0	05-05 14:23
will hyperliquid hit 46 in january	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-16 16:36
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	04-23 16:46
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 23:55
msft above 360 on february 27 2026	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	02-20 10:41
will xrp reach 2pt4 in february 2026	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	02-20 12:33
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	1	$4	4	+4	open	—	04-12 22:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 21:14:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x9dda3f…
05-20 01:46:35	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	312	98¢	$305	0x84664d…
05-16 07:41:46	Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	86¢	$265	0x1a61c8…
05-15 07:00:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	265	97¢	$258	0xa0b4a8…
05-14 18:35:42	Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	258	100¢	$258	0xbb15ae…
05-12 14:00:46	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc84746…
05-12 13:42:57	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	259	100¢	$258	0x300d9c…
05-09 18:25:28	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3b3dca…
05-09 17:34:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	261	97¢	$251	0xb4e970…
05-06 23:55:15	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb9e15b…
05-05 14:23:40	Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xac4190…
05-05 00:14:40	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x3e10d1…
05-04 22:42:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x653518…
05-04 09:50:24	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x87fed2…
05-04 06:19:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc22370…
05-04 00:37:24	Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	164	87¢	$143	0xc79336…
05-03 01:00:14	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	58	88¢	$51	0x2e59c4…
05-02 23:12:36	Will Solana reach $130 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf46b18…
04-30 21:35:32	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	181	100¢	$181	0x223602…
04-29 07:07:10	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6992d1…
04-25 19:41:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x12907d…
04-24 18:08:06	Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x42e0e9…
04-23 16:46:16	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x94b3c5…
04-23 08:41:56	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x0ab7ee…
04-21 08:15:08	Will Ethereum dip to $600 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb6c374…
04-21 02:42:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	21	83¢	$17	0xcaae93…
04-21 00:17:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5d1c24…
04-18 23:29:10	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x550af4…
04-18 08:38:36	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x03bda6…
04-18 02:29:14	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x52a7af…
04-16 23:04:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x14a68c…
04-16 12:18:56	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x503444…
04-15 10:42:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5e40fc…
04-15 10:32:40	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x993004…
04-14 21:23:52	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d01c5…
04-14 02:39:07	Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x95b437…
04-14 01:12:39	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7c58ee…
04-13 03:58:23	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x89ad27…
04-13 03:41:31	Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x13864e…
04-12 22:34:09	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x15accc…
04-12 07:46:37	Will Meta (META) close above $420 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x196891…
04-12 03:13:51	Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3b4af6…
04-11 21:09:41	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc8f51e…
04-11 06:44:23	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4db13d…
04-10 13:53:23	Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xde1ebd…
03-27 21:46:43	nflx above 80 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbee79e…
03-27 18:17:03	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb23381…
03-27 01:32:21	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xcaeda5…
03-26 15:54:05	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e7c06…
03-26 14:33:33	will bnb reach 800 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x460943…
03-25 19:11:07	will ethena reach 0pt24 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8bf0d2…
03-25 18:33:35	will ethena reach 0pt16 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x332411…
03-25 18:15:19	nflx above 180 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe39733…
03-24 22:06:49	will xrp reach 3 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x34b098…
03-24 18:34:51	googl above 250 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa682b6…
03-24 18:05:25	googl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8436d1…
03-24 07:04:09	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1f2904…
03-23 09:09:55	nflx above 200 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa39274…
03-23 04:12:23	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0e03fe…
03-21 18:13:31	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 336	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x14b7e2…
03-21 12:56:21	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x03dcc2…
03-21 02:28:39	will chainlink dip to 2 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd3f269…
03-21 01:45:05	tsla above 450 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0619ee…
03-12 14:16:11	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb889a3…
03-12 12:24:31	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa4c46f…
03-10 00:14:51	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9cc258…
03-09 22:32:49	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xccc30f…
03-09 18:42:55	will saudi aramco be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x11f933…
03-09 02:42:51	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac4045…
03-09 01:24:27	nvda above 120 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xb22612…
03-09 01:00:05	will solana reach 150 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x754761…
03-08 00:30:47	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x91b62a…
03-07 17:09:41	aapl above 210 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf093ed…
03-07 04:26:55	nflx above 180 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2bba10…
03-06 08:24:15	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9fbca6…
03-06 05:30:31	nflx above 60 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x34dcd7…
03-05 21:13:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ed45c…
03-05 17:46:51	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x14facf…
03-05 08:03:13	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x63eb8f…
03-05 06:39:29	nflx above 20 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5ec1f8…
03-05 04:08:23	nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x278d21…
03-04 22:36:19	will bnb dip to 300 in march	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0x47d5fb…
03-04 21:37:47	will bnb dip to 200 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xba1432…
03-04 02:55:27	will the ecb announce a 50 bps decrease at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9a0d7b…
02-24 07:44:06	msft above 480 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb208fe…
02-24 06:23:38	googl above 280 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x29f119…
02-23 15:14:58	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f805c…
02-23 09:35:18	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb971af…
02-23 05:50:02	will xrp reach 2pt8 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6f793c…
02-21 22:32:38	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x803124…
02-20 12:33:26	will xrp reach 2pt4 in february 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x978cdd…
02-20 11:27:28	nvda above 240 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe79061…
02-20 10:41:58	msft above 360 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$4	0xe0566d…
02-06 00:19:11	msft above 510 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x45a8ee…
02-03 00:05:24	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x3468a7…
01-24 04:22:32	gc hit 4200 low jan 2026 289 371 251 294	No	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0x221400…
01-21 12:18:48	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x019a8e…
01-20 19:48:48	will chainlink hit 23 in january	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xec0f1b…
01-19 11:17:32	si hit 40 low jan 2026 159 697 786	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb0fd48…
01-16 16:36:54	will hyperliquid hit 46 in january	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf0d228…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	71	$1.45K	1,521	05-10 09:18
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	65	$220.3K	3,580	05-26 09:14
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	60	$12.8K	8,271	04-26 14:42
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	53	$2.87K	967	05-25 14:10
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	51	$1.41K	1,140	05-14 22:45
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	50	$46.8K	429	05-24 13:37
Obedient-Population 0x6c37…d40f	47	$1.49K	1,029	05-14 05:53
Secondary-Lobotomy 0x250c…2774	46	$2.01K	2,808	05-26 07:07