Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
115
lifetime
Volume
$6.97K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$839
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 07-11 17:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
62% 100% +$6
Politics
29%
Tech
5%
Sports
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -161 $-140 94¢ $-150 $-10 06-14 19:46
Iran nuclear test before 2027? No -150 $-138 96¢ $-143 $-5 06-14 19:45
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +150 $128 89¢ $133 +$6 06-28 11:33
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No -137 $-93 84¢ $-114 $-21 06-14 19:43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -76 $-73 96¢ $-73 +$0 07-11 17:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -72 $-65 92¢ $-67 $-2 06-14 19:43
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -55 $-55 92¢ $-51 +$4 07-11 17:04
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -38 $-38 88¢ $-34 +$4 07-11 17:06
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No -27 $-25 97¢ $-26 $-1 06-14 19:50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +27 $25 92¢ $25 +$0 06-28 21:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -17 $-16 75¢ $-13 +$3 07-11 17:06
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 07-11 17:05