Realized P&L
+$504
Unrealized P&L
-$23
Hit rate
96.8%
Resolved
1,857
Trades
4,378
lifetime
Volume
$78.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$2.29K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 09-25 19:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 79 days
Categories
Other
73% 94% +$336
Politics
16% 95% +$266
Sports
6% 98% -$6
Crypto
3% 53% -$83
Pop-Culture
1% 86% -$17
Tech
0% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 234 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +478 $474 100¢ $477 +$3 08-03 22:01
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +278 $277 97¢ $269 -$7 08-20 08:57
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +248 $247 100¢ $247 +$0 08-03 17:57
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +130 $130 100¢ $130 +$0 08-03 22:01
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? No +121 $121 100¢ $120 $0 08-06 01:44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +116 $115 97¢ $113 -$2 08-01 10:59
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? No +111 $110 97¢ $108 -$2 07-30 22:52
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +120 $119 89¢ $107 -$12 07-31 20:14
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027? No +92 $92 100¢ $92 +$0 07-30 21:26
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? No +92 $92 100¢ $92 +$0 07-30 21:26
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? No +65 $64 100¢ $64 +$1 07-26 12:20
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? No +48 $47 99¢ $48 +$1 08-06 01:50
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? No +45 $43 99¢ $45 +$1 07-26 12:20
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 +$0 07-16 13:36
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $45 100¢ $45 +$0 07-16 13:36
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +45 $44 98¢ $44 $0 07-16 13:36
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 08-02 20:04
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? No +29 $29 100¢ $29 +$0 08-06 01:50
Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals? No +41 $37 70¢ $29 -$8 07-24 15:07
Will Bologna win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No +25 $25 100¢ $25 +$0 07-26 16:28
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 +$0 07-30 22:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027? No +19 $19 100¢ $19 +$0 07-30 22:52
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 +$0 07-15 07:37
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +16 $14 94¢ $15 +$0 07-24 15:34
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 08-02 08:35
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? No +9 $9 100¢ $9 +$0 08-02 08:35
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? No +9 $8 99¢ $9 +$1 08-02 08:35
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 08-03 19:01
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 08-03 19:01
Will Genoa win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 +$0 07-24 15:13