Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$1.15K

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

236 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$59.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$253

Open exposure

$1.80K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 09-14 10:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

75% 67% +$3,633

Politics

25% 57% +$328

Crypto

0% 0% -$37

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+20,000	$820	5¢	$990	+$170	06-30 07:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	+2,000	$1,300	20¢	$390	-$910	06-16 12:15
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+10,000	$200	2¢	$185	-$15	07-03 12:30
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	+155	$107	80¢	$124	+$17	08-12 11:16
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+40,000	$320	0¢	$60	-$260	06-25 13:30
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+20,000	$200	0¢	$50	-$150	06-24 15:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	25	$27.7K	16,097	16,097	+0	No	+$4,174	04-24 14:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	5	$6.5K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$292	06-25 13:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$4.9K	6,000	0	+6,000	No	+$1,128	05-08 12:04
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	25	$4.4K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	09-14 10:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2.4K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$650	05-21 17:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	4	$1.6K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	+$360	05-27 14:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$1.5K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	-$1,464	06-14 01:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	11	$1.3K	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$1,340	06-25 14:24
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	7	$1.3K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	06-16 12:15
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	13	$1.1K	1,000	400	+600	Yes	+$70	03-04 03:03
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$1.1K	1,700	700	+1,000	Yes	+$971	02-20 16:14
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	47	$820	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	06-30 07:00
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	4	$730	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$730	05-14 17:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$544	800	0	+800	No	+$256	04-05 14:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	1	$486	600	0	+600	No	+$114	04-08 17:32
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	3	$435	500	0	+500	No	+$65	01-15 04:04
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	1	$415	500	0	+500	No	+$85	03-19 08:59
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	1	$330	500	0	+500	Yes	+$170	03-03 18:46
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	2	$322	700	0	+700	No	-$322	01-31 15:29
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$320	40,000	0	+40,000	open	—	06-25 13:30
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	10	$241	1,700	0	+1,700	No	-$241	01-20 07:28
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$234	900	900	+0	No	+$18	03-22 20:48
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	9	$200	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	06-24 15:15
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	28	$200	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	07-03 12:30
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$188	4,000	0	+4,000	Yes	-$188	04-08 17:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$184	400	400	+0	No	-$24	04-01 17:05
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	2	$107	155	0	+155	open	—	08-12 11:16
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$100	333	0	+333	No	-$100	01-10 13:00
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$100	139	0	+139	No	+$39	01-10 13:00
bitcoin above 96k on january 17	14	$37	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$37	01-17 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-14 10:32:45	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	4,000	69¢	$2,745	0x3b0636…
08-12 11:16:15	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	152	69¢	$105	0x9e3403…
08-12 11:11:37	will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x0fd6ba…
07-05 07:30:02	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x12e6f6…
07-05 06:23:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	105	45¢	$47	0x4fd347…
07-05 06:00:05	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x617f9b…
07-04 21:56:41	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	107	45¢	$48	0x678c51…
07-04 17:49:07	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1,428	45¢	$642	0xa5f4be…
07-04 12:31:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	117	45¢	$53	0x77b450…
07-04 12:23:26	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xb481e9…
07-04 12:20:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x57d5e0…
07-04 12:18:56	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd5028f…
07-04 12:17:53	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x72ece3…
07-04 12:16:28	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb2b610…
07-04 12:15:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8593e6…
07-04 12:14:14	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x62e9ef…
07-04 12:13:41	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x35403d…
07-04 12:13:04	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2d3af3…
07-04 12:12:10	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x336d5f…
07-04 12:11:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x294591…
07-04 12:10:05	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xdda163…
07-04 12:08:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xae5579…
07-04 10:39:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	38	45¢	$17	0xad6c28…
07-04 10:38:31	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x2f2f4f…
07-03 12:30:28	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7,637	2¢	$153	0x70fdc9…
06-30 07:00:01	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,115	4¢	$85	0x085520…
06-30 06:59:59	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7,885	4¢	$315	0xf2c8ea…
06-28 15:19:55	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	960	4¢	$40	0x714591…
06-28 06:17:19	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	465	4¢	$20	0x692ba5…
06-28 05:05:32	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x12372f…
06-28 01:46:07	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	38	4¢	$2	0x46e6f6…
06-27 22:26:11	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0xe41983…
06-27 22:01:29	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x847c7d…
06-27 15:07:38	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0x4cdd6b…
06-27 06:22:37	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xbfbbf5…
06-27 06:14:05	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0x794a4e…
06-27 06:10:26	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x066e57…
06-27 05:51:01	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xd41790…
06-27 05:12:28	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x6ba55e…
06-27 02:28:11	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0xa4974b…
06-27 01:47:25	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x0360c4…
06-27 01:36:49	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xb30ba7…
06-27 01:13:35	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x435997…
06-26 17:35:28	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x1d6eac…
06-26 17:22:07	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$1	0xeb23b8…
06-26 15:52:13	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x185bc1…
06-26 11:12:17	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x5ced0b…
06-26 10:58:58	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xcadf82…
06-26 09:51:22	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	3,967	4¢	$167	0xe680da…
06-26 09:29:31	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,962	4¢	$82	0x68b8da…
06-26 08:30:34	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xcbce6b…
06-26 08:17:34	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xd44fc5…
06-26 08:04:05	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb77554…
06-26 07:33:41	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x8ba6a2…
06-26 07:32:38	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x8094ee…
06-26 07:18:10	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x7a18a2…
06-26 06:21:08	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x60060e…
06-26 05:44:41	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x6caca0…
06-26 04:03:38	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xd8c187…
06-26 02:56:11	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x942a39…
06-26 02:51:04	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$1	0xc2d99c…
06-26 02:50:29	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x5966df…
06-26 02:34:20	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb2038b…
06-26 00:06:19	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x206a81…
06-25 23:25:29	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xf8009b…
06-25 23:24:41	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$1	0x47df01…
06-25 18:16:25	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x378992…
06-25 18:08:19	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x2142a3…
06-25 17:17:37	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x587657…
06-25 16:52:20	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$1	0x137ae3…
06-25 16:21:10	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xad5950…
06-25 14:24:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xfdb9e0…
06-25 14:24:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	302	67¢	$203	0xbb539a…
06-25 14:19:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xcd6cda…
06-25 14:18:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x220535…
06-25 14:08:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x222455…
06-25 14:08:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x22f3f2…
06-25 14:07:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	67¢	$0	0x4311db…
06-25 13:51:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	265	67¢	$178	0xef55d5…
06-25 13:32:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	400	67¢	$268	0x577cdf…
06-25 13:32:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	185	67¢	$124	0xa1887c…
06-25 13:31:46	Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,065	4¢	$87	0x6d8f48…
06-25 13:31:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	805	67¢	$539	0xf9ac4c…
06-25 13:30:44	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	20,000	1¢	$160	0xdcf46e…
06-25 13:30:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	4,000	84¢	$3,372	0xe335af…
06-25 13:26:52	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	20,000	1¢	$160	0xed2aba…
06-24 15:15:49	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	18,823	1¢	$188	0x7fe009…
06-24 14:58:32	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0x407d07…
06-24 14:56:31	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x732470…
06-24 14:52:14	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0xe9180d…
06-24 14:20:08	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0x624ed5…
06-24 14:15:20	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0x283d1e…
06-24 14:09:13	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x0f8b83…
06-24 13:49:29	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x32be73…
06-24 13:39:29	Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	411	1¢	$4	0xf3adf8…
06-22 01:07:05	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x2b26a1…
06-22 00:57:28	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x89f21a…
06-22 00:51:52	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	58	2¢	$1	0xf1f0d6…
06-22 00:31:08	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0xc055d6…
06-21 21:31:46	Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0xfc18f2…