Flat-Markup — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

168 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$10

$32.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$194

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 08-26 10:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Sports

47% 0% -$10

Crypto

29% 43% +$153

Politics

24% 0% -$2

Other

0% 64% -$2

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	2	$4.0K	2,004	2,004	+0	No	-$2	05-19 23:47
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$3.9K	1,986	1,986	+0	No	-$2	05-20 03:57
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$3.9K	1,970	1,970	+0	No	-$2	05-20 00:25
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$3.9K	1,971	1,971	+0	open	—	05-20 03:13
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$3.9K	1,960	1,960	+0	No	-$2	05-20 02:06
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3.8K	1,921	1,921	+0	No	-$2	05-20 01:23
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3.8K	1,902	1,902	+0	No	-$2	05-19 21:24
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3.6K	1,802	1,802	+0	No	-$2	05-19 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET	2	$402	202	202	+0	Up	+$2	05-18 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	18	$210	150	150	+0	Up	+$90	05-18 11:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	5	$119	80	80	+0	Up	+$39	05-20 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	6	$118	90	90	+0	Up	+$46	05-18 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	4	$109	90	90	+0	Up	+$37	05-18 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11PM ET	4	$58	40	40	+0	Up	+$22	05-20 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$46	40	40	+0	Up	+$26	05-18 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	5	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	05-18 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	05-20 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	05-19 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	1	$28	70	0	+70	Down	-$28	05-18 10:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	2	$28	20	20	+0	Up	+$12	05-18 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	4	$28	20	20	+0	Up	+$12	05-18 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	4	$28	20	20	+0	Up	+$12	05-20 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	2	$24	20	20	+0	Up	+$4	05-20 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	4	$22	20	20	+0	Down	+$3	05-20 00:32
will wti reach 115 in july 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-30 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5AM ET	2	$20	50	0	+50	Down	-$20	05-18 09:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	6	$16	40	0	+40	Down	-$16	05-18 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1	$16	40	0	+40	Down	-$16	05-18 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-20 00:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	3	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-18 07:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 10:03:49	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x465b33…
07-30 20:37:59	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfe39db…
06-21 19:50:05	Will England win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd2b77f…
06-21 19:49:58	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8bda1b…
06-21 19:49:52	Will France win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xcbde5c…
06-21 19:49:44	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x95509e…
06-21 19:49:38	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x97acc1…
06-21 19:49:31	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc1a181…
06-21 19:49:23	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x73e075…
06-02 23:38:38	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3d4b05…
06-02 23:38:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x82f7e5…
06-02 23:38:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x38c2dd…
06-02 23:38:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xd1b579…
05-20 04:09:16	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xbdb933…
05-20 04:08:34	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x645182…
05-20 03:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11PM ET	Up	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xb943ab…
05-20 03:57:13	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,986	99¢	$1,968	0xe2e580…
05-20 03:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0xe38588…
05-20 03:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xc64f21…
05-20 03:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x3ffadc…
05-20 03:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x186a3f…
05-20 03:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x8925d2…
05-20 03:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x65467e…
05-20 03:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xe5b252…
05-20 03:19:04	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,986	99¢	$1,970	0x783b45…
05-20 03:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xee1dff…
05-20 03:13:33	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,971	99¢	$1,957	0xe5bfc7…
05-20 03:05:13	Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,971	99¢	$1,959	0x8783de…
05-20 03:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3fe9e5…
05-20 03:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0xf38343…
05-20 03:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb44094…
05-20 03:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4c229d…
05-20 02:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xec16e1…
05-20 02:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x025af5…
05-20 02:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	55	50¢	$28	0xc7674e…
05-20 02:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	50¢	$7	0x7fc700…
05-20 02:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x2a8b45…
05-20 02:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x14012d…
05-20 02:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe12aa7…
05-20 02:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x8d1169…
05-20 02:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8b0452…
05-20 02:06:49	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1,960	100¢	$1,956	0xfbd584…
05-20 02:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x6d150b…
05-20 02:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x6a6d49…
05-20 01:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x69a351…
05-20 01:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xe6f897…
05-20 01:47:53	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,960	100¢	$1,958	0x4e738f…
05-20 01:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xbb1984…
05-20 01:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xc92017…
05-20 01:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd094b2…
05-20 01:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xb1ae13…
05-20 01:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x54196a…
05-20 01:23:53	Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,921	100¢	$1,917	0x198391…
05-20 01:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xd23310…
05-20 01:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa89b4d…
05-20 01:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x393d7e…
05-20 01:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x922fd4…
05-20 01:08:06	Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,921	100¢	$1,919	0xa50df7…
05-20 01:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xad7b7c…
05-20 01:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x2a785f…
05-20 00:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb53978…
05-20 00:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x2ab608…
05-20 00:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x87c1ab…
05-20 00:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x8e219b…
05-20 00:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	20	63¢	$13	0x1802f0…
05-20 00:25:14	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	1,970	99¢	$1,958	0xf38d8f…
05-20 00:24:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0xf4c292…
05-20 00:11:16	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	1,970	99¢	$1,960	0x032863…
05-20 00:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x777939…
05-20 00:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6f4ff0…
05-20 00:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x32f5ac…
05-19 23:47:14	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	SELL	2,004	100¢	$1,998	0x902475…
05-19 23:29:24	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	2,004	100¢	$2,000	0x5bb6fe…
05-19 22:33:37	Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,802	100¢	$1,798	0xcbff77…
05-19 22:14:34	Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,802	100¢	$1,800	0x6c26b9…
05-19 21:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x94f6f3…
05-19 21:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8ce709…
05-19 21:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x52ec14…
05-19 21:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x43b4e9…
05-19 21:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc049c2…
05-19 21:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd07e84…
05-19 21:24:06	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,902	100¢	$1,898	0xc6462f…
05-18 13:07:30	Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,902	100¢	$1,900	0x60f7bc…
05-18 12:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0xb3ea76…
05-18 12:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xee868f…
05-18 11:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xa81fd9…
05-18 11:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x14076d…
05-18 11:55:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x85c274…
05-18 11:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xed0c8e…
05-18 11:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc8997e…
05-18 11:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc59e66…
05-18 11:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc36d77…
05-18 11:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb818d6…
05-18 11:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa9bd15…
05-18 11:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8452c6…
05-18 11:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x81b6c1…
05-18 11:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x74dc09…
05-18 11:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x211fcb…
05-18 11:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x13d28b…
05-18 11:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7AM ET	Up	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfb74eb…