Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$324

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

119

Trades

481

lifetime

Volume

$23.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 17:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

49% 58% -$320

Politics

18% 67% +$13

Crypto

16% 60% -$22

Tech

13% 71% +$16

Sports

4% 38% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes		-25	-$1	3¢	$-1	$0	05-04 05:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	37	$2.0K	1,065	1,181	-116	No	-$10	04-27 10:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	23	$1.5K	1,062	1,062	+0	Yes	+$10	04-11 09:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	10	$1.1K	970	970	+0	No	+$4	04-28 13:35
us x iran meeting by april 11 2026 678	4	$898	490	490	+0	Yes	+$14	04-11 11:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	6	$848	660	660	+0	Yes	-$1	04-12 01:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$770	720	720	+0	Yes	+$6	04-10 09:44
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	14	$614	600	600	+0	No	+$0	05-01 18:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$541	417	414	+3	No	+$3	04-09 15:22
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	7	$531	400	400	+0	No	-$9	04-30 12:49
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	8	$466	375	230	+145	Yes	-$74	01-05 02:35
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	5	$454	252	252	+0	Yes	+$11	01-10 15:11
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	3	$440	227	227	+0	No	+$13	01-21 11:29
bitcoin above 90k on january 12	2	$437	220	220	+0	Yes	+$2	01-12 16:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	3	$417	450	450	+0	No	-$132	04-14 04:36
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$396	240	240	+0	No	-$12	04-09 13:30
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	9	$395	214	214	+0	No	+$31	02-03 12:21
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 14 2026	4	$391	200	200	+0	No	$0	04-14 05:17
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$387	205	205	+0	Yes	+$3	01-16 10:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?	17	$374	217	217	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 19:46
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	8	$371	220	220	+0	No	+$8	04-22 10:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	2	$359	210	210	+0	No	+$2	04-08 06:01
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	9	$358	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	04-26 14:50
spx up or down on april 23 2026	7	$299	250	150	+100	Down	+$30	04-23 11:46
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	9	$297	170	170	+0	Yes	+$2	04-23 03:33
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 27?	8	$291	300	300	+0	Up	-$31	04-27 19:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	6	$282	200	200	+0	No	+$0	04-28 14:34
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	2	$278	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	04-08 06:43
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$239	263	220	+43	Yes	+$24	07-14 21:18
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	4	$236	150	150	+0	Yes	+$63	10-30 15:41
over 120m committed to the ranger public sale 394 737 727 472 842	1	$231	233	0	+233	No	+$2	01-10 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:04:34	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x85c0a4…
10-30 16:36:13	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0x383e2f…
10-30 16:22:04	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xceb391…
10-30 15:41:49	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x6452f8…
10-21 14:30:56	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x771952…
10-18 23:25:06	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	BUY	125	58¢	$73	0x0f4313…
10-18 23:14:45	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	BUY	19	58¢	$11	0x86e6f4…
09-27 07:12:21	dota2 lgd navi 2026 09 27	LGD Gaming	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0ad21e…
09-20 08:32:36	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0xf7f571…
07-14 21:18:59	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	43	57¢	$25	0x0b65ce…
07-14 14:41:52	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	120	22¢	$26	0x44bda4…
06-17 08:05:56	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	51	76¢	$39	0xbddf07…
06-15 08:06:34	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	39	71¢	$28	0xb064bd…
06-14 12:11:18	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0xc2c362…
06-14 12:09:19	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	600	5¢	$30	0x8e11f0…
06-14 08:58:21	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	28	50¢	$14	0xa1ec22…
06-13 15:59:00	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	40	64¢	$25	0x0d083c…
06-03 15:45:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x19acb2…
06-02 03:16:52	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	705	10¢	$68	0xcd3d5e…
06-01 13:12:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	71¢	$32	0x997e9e…
05-30 09:41:56	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	170	58¢	$98	0xd60e9c…
05-04 13:52:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0xdb1cd2…
05-04 13:52:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5ff283…
05-04 13:52:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x22df83…
05-04 13:29:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x11783b…
05-04 13:08:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	56	68¢	$38	0x3d8a33…
05-04 13:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x595227…
05-04 06:10:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	95¢	$47	0x9071ff…
05-04 06:08:52	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x29f014…
05-04 06:00:06	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	23¢	$46	0x8a8d42…
05-04 05:59:38	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0xd772f1…
05-04 05:59:08	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	90	65¢	$58	0x673d09…
05-03 09:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or higher on May 3?	No	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0xb57f02…
05-03 08:42:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 3?	No	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0xbfb1a9…
05-03 07:31:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 3?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xec8f4e…
05-03 07:19:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 3?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5d159c…
05-03 07:00:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 3?	No	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x704378…
05-03 06:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or higher on May 3?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x5da2df…
05-03 06:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or higher on May 3?	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xdcb0dd…
05-03 06:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or higher on May 3?	No	BUY	43	54¢	$23	0x231f5d…
05-03 06:50:42	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 3?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x67dca7…
05-03 06:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or higher on May 3?	No	SELL	50	56¢	$28	0x10ffde…
05-03 06:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or higher on May 3?	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xe03f7e…
05-03 06:32:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?	Yes	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0x2fb990…
05-03 06:31:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	46	90¢	$41	0x3387d3…
05-03 06:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 3?	Yes	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xd1624e…
05-03 06:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or higher on May 3?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x67a0bf…
05-03 05:35:02	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xe7e0b3…
05-03 05:31:14	Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xa85308…
05-03 01:42:10	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	82	36¢	$29	0x48be21…
05-03 00:00:18	Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	No	SELL	9	71¢	$7	0xc0e5b8…
05-02 23:29:46	Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	No	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x7d7c9f…
05-02 17:35:28	Will Iran Play in the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x5573d6…
05-02 07:07:48	Critical Discord Incident by May 31?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x27e47a…
05-02 04:51:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	100	58¢	$58	0x945381…
05-01 20:07:36	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x407c0c…
05-01 18:30:14	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	184	52¢	$95	0x16e2c0…
05-01 15:00:36	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0xa35bec…
05-01 14:39:20	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xf7414c…
05-01 06:08:42	Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?	No	SELL	39	71¢	$28	0xecbb5e…
04-30 12:49:38	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	71	68¢	$49	0x00fe37…
04-30 08:19:26	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	187	52¢	$97	0x368667…
04-30 08:11:04	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x5602d7…
04-30 07:52:04	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x4ac91b…
04-30 07:51:08	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$103	0xfbc59b…
04-30 07:44:14	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xa5832c…
04-30 07:28:20	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0xf4dd01…
04-30 07:18:18	Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x392c18…
04-30 07:10:52	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	26	61¢	$16	0x49ce53…
04-30 07:09:50	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	102	61¢	$62	0x9ea345…
04-29 10:51:12	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	92	50¢	$46	0xe1ab35…
04-29 10:50:42	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x779874…
04-29 10:39:02	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xfa816f…
04-29 10:22:08	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xce2541…
04-29 10:12:24	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xe03108…
04-29 09:49:38	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x45207d…
04-29 09:19:44	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	80	50¢	$40	0x5cc7f0…
04-29 09:18:06	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x002f63…
04-29 08:43:32	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x9a0fb4…
04-29 08:12:16	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0xa4d539…
04-29 06:49:38	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x9690ee…
04-29 06:49:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0xbd981f…
04-29 06:28:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x416af4…
04-29 06:25:10	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x697317…
04-29 06:19:06	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x92bac5…
04-29 06:03:32	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0x79b8fe…
04-29 05:58:02	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xf68298…
04-29 05:56:52	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	63	36¢	$23	0x96ed52…
04-28 15:12:16	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xc3f053…
04-28 14:56:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x9025be…
04-28 14:34:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x527100…
04-28 14:21:28	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	75	98¢	$74	0xc88755…
04-28 14:17:04	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xcd698c…
04-28 14:06:20	Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x29d312…
04-28 13:53:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$5	0x3e499c…
04-28 13:53:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0x258db7…
04-28 13:50:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	82	70¢	$57	0xf1df43…
04-28 13:46:34	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x359718…
04-28 13:43:02	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0x2bc87b…
04-28 13:39:46	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x0f5583…