Realized P&L
+$59
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
75.7%
Resolved
84
Trades
969
lifetime
Volume
$1.27K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$171
23 positions
First seen
2026-05-25
last 10-29 17:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Politics
71% 57% -$11
Other
28% 75% +$68
Sports
0% 67% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? No +65 $19 48¢ $31 +$12 09-24 21:24
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +64 $25 40¢ $26 +$1 07-20 08:06
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +59 $25 40¢ $24 -$1 09-23 12:55
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +32 $10 48¢ $15 +$6 10-20 18:40
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +19 $14 80¢ $15 +$1 10-27 13:57
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +19 $8 70¢ $13 +$5 10-15 10:38
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +17 $8 70¢ $12 +$4 10-10 01:26
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +15 $4 34¢ $5 +$1 10-15 14:12
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 $0 10-08 10:18
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +5 $4 87¢ $4 $0 09-22 00:09
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 10-27 17:12
Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? No +6 $3 65¢ $4 +$1 10-15 17:36
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +4 $3 80¢ $3 +$0 10-27 04:53
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +5 $2 50¢ $3 +$0 09-16 03:09
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? Yes +17 $5 14¢ $2 -$2 08-05 17:04
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +4 $2 47¢ $2 $0 10-29 17:52
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $2 28¢ $1 -$1 09-10 21:46
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +7 $1 7¢ $0 -$1 10-26 22:43
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +2 $1 18¢ $0 -$1 05-26 21:47
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +4 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 06-24 15:47
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? Yes +13 $5 1¢ $0 -$4 10-23 16:15
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +10 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 05-29 04:48
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +0 -$1 71¢ $0 +$1 09-22 06:21