Honest-Paintwork — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.09K

Unrealized P&L

-$246

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$130

Open exposure

$94

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-21

last 07-29 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

46% 27% +$109

Other

27% 40% -$1,243

Sports

21% 59% -$144

Crypto

7% 100% +$189

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-29).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+2,807	$350	2¢	$51	-$299	07-03 08:47
Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes		-1,386	-$97	3¢	$-44	+$53	07-29 17:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$1.7K	1,497	1,497	+0	No	+$1,151	05-24 20:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$924	5,066	5,066	+0	No	-$118	03-26 22:38
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	4	$822	4,236	127	+4,109	No	-$612	03-28 19:55
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$712	692	435	+257	No	+$189	03-23 18:15
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$578	429	429	+0	Yes	+$278	05-30 18:26
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$500	151,926	0	+151,926	Yes	-$500	03-18 17:51
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	4	$358	124,955	0	+124,955	No	-$358	05-30 18:47
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$350	2,807	0	+2,807	open	—	07-03 08:47
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$287	6,667	6,667	+0	No	+$87	07-01 16:07
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$275	8,333	8,333	+0	No	+$75	07-09 15:42
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$273	617	617	+0	No	+$73	06-30 13:34
shl roe oer 2026 02 28	3	$273	214	214	+0	Oerebro HK	+$153	02-28 20:21
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	4	$245	147,855	0	+147,855	No	-$245	05-30 18:47
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$231	2,706	2,706	+0	Yes	-$68	04-07 13:09
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$217	1,852	1,852	+0	No	+$17	06-15 23:22
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$209	179	179	+0	Yes	+$9	03-26 22:38
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$200	556	0	+556	No	-$200	03-26 06:49
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$200	4,545	4,545	+0	No	$0	07-07 06:53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$190	80,000	0	+80,000	No	-$190	07-29 17:47
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$166	629	629	+0	No	+$28	07-07 20:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$150	587	0	+587	Yes	-$150	07-29 17:13
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?	1	$150	2,259	0	+2,259	No	-$150	05-30 15:08
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	2,500	0	+2,500	No	-$100	06-08 19:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$100	16,667	0	+16,667	Yes	-$100	06-15 23:31
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	10,000	0	+10,000	No	-$100	06-08 19:41
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	7,692	0	+7,692	No	-$100	06-08 19:40
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$100	1,190	0	+1,190	No	-$100	06-08 19:39
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$100	154	0	+154	Yes	+$54	03-26 06:50
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$99	391	0	+391	No	-$99	07-29 17:15
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$97	0	1,386	-1,386	open	—	07-29 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 17:47:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30,000	0¢	$90	0xe3cb94…
07-29 17:47:17	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,386	7¢	$97	0x59eeef…
07-29 17:15:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	391	25¢	$99	0x4ed7ed…
07-29 17:14:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x36f85a…
07-29 17:13:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	587	26¢	$150	0x9dcc94…
07-09 15:42:22	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	8,333	2¢	$175	0x1cc7c8…
07-07 20:45:25	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	629	15¢	$97	0x92dd6d…
07-07 06:53:58	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	4,545	2¢	$100	0x34e2e0…
07-03 08:47:26	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,807	12¢	$350	0x757973…
07-01 16:07:26	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6,667	3¢	$187	0xae8d58…
06-30 13:34:46	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	617	28¢	$173	0xeff9ac…
06-16 06:52:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x967395…
06-15 23:31:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16,667	1¢	$100	0x4a1ea0…
06-15 23:22:45	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,852	6¢	$117	0x9f09d4…
06-11 20:33:25	Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	631	5¢	$29	0xdd95ab…
06-11 20:32:46	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0xb0e8bb…
06-08 19:41:57	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	629	11¢	$69	0x3f2239…
06-08 19:41:18	Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$100	0x72e340…
06-08 19:41:03	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	617	16¢	$100	0xf0213d…
06-08 19:40:39	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,500	4¢	$100	0x108b5b…
06-08 19:40:31	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4,545	2¢	$100	0x2305dd…
06-08 19:40:01	Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7,692	1¢	$100	0x8ffa6d…
06-08 19:39:52	Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,852	5¢	$100	0x523dbb…
06-08 19:39:42	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,190	8¢	$100	0xbdda91…
06-08 19:39:27	Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8,333	1¢	$100	0x94df5e…
06-08 19:39:10	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6,667	1¢	$100	0x12075d…
05-30 18:47:27	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	3,935	0¢	$8	0x2fd75e…
05-30 18:47:14	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	8,000	0¢	$8	0xc296ef…
05-30 18:32:34	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	93,823	0¢	$100	0x4a756a…
05-30 18:31:59	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	66,500	0¢	$100	0x9ed8a0…
05-30 18:29:09	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0x03059a…
05-30 18:29:01	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	50,000	0¢	$100	0xe484ae…
05-30 18:26:55	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	429	100¢	$428	0x8b4c65…
05-30 15:10:20	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	97	38¢	$37	0xe98945…
05-30 15:08:45	Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	2,259	7¢	$150	0x47cac0…
05-30 15:07:58	Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	429	35¢	$150	0xf0a6b6…
05-30 15:06:51	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	455	33¢	$150	0x53ca7c…
05-24 20:22:13	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	SELL	1,497	97¢	$1,449	0x1d64ce…
05-23 20:43:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	1,497	20¢	$298	0xa9249e…
04-07 13:09:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	2,706	3¢	$82	0x1e9c96…
04-06 09:36:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	2,706	6¢	$149	0x26260d…
03-28 19:55:16	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,168	10¢	$117	0xab0ef9…
03-26 22:39:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	2,941	17¢	$500	0x43be1f…
03-26 22:38:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	SELL	4,952	6¢	$297	0xaedabe…
03-26 22:38:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	179	61¢	$109	0x861dc5…
03-26 22:38:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	127	83¢	$105	0x29c33d…
03-26 22:37:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	114	93¢	$106	0x0609a2…
03-26 22:36:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,447	7¢	$171	0x598091…
03-26 20:46:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,005	10¢	$100	0xcd73e2…
03-26 16:50:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,500	10¢	$150	0xd9847a…
03-26 06:50:13	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xf2d42c…
03-26 06:49:53	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	556	36¢	$200	0x9fd3c2…
03-24 11:16:39	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x5a4955…
03-24 11:16:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0xa74e26…
03-24 11:15:59	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x29d3ac…
03-23 18:15:03	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	257	74¢	$190	0x878e21…
03-23 17:54:05	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	435	74¢	$322	0xd29c7f…
03-19 21:00:01	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0xc1b0ef…
03-18 17:51:31	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	51,926	0¢	$200	0x4dda45…
03-18 16:30:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100,000	0¢	$300	0x21ab6f…
03-13 18:29:03	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	90	55¢	$50	0xe925f5…
03-01 08:56:01	nba phi bos 2026 03 01	Celtics	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xd8d855…
03-01 08:54:47	nba det orl 2026 03 01	Pistons	BUY	45	66¢	$30	0x48d0b9…
03-01 08:53:47	nba nop lac 2026 03 01	Clippers	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xdf5c5c…
03-01 08:52:43	nba por atl 2026 03 01	Hawks	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x9dedf9…
03-01 08:51:41	nba cle bkn 2026 03 01	Cavaliers	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x96abef…
03-01 08:50:47	nhl las pit 2026 03 01	Golden Knights	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0xa3b1c7…
02-28 20:46:25	nhl nyi cbj 2026 02 28	Blue Jackets	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0xc4be67…
02-28 20:45:51	nhl buf tb 2026 02 28	Lightning	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x22b5f6…
02-28 20:44:11	nhl edm sj 2026 02 28	Oilers	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xa5d7b5…
02-28 20:42:31	nba nop uta 2026 02 28	Pelicans	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xda4ec1…
02-28 20:41:39	nba tor was 2026 02 28	Raptors	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe5f40e…
02-28 20:40:27	nba lal gsw 2026 02 28	Lakers	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x927f02…
02-28 20:21:47	shl roe oer 2026 02 28	Oerebro HK	SELL	214	100¢	$213	0x097702…
02-28 11:21:33	shl roe oer 2026 02 28	Oerebro HK	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0xdbee1c…
02-28 11:21:23	shl roe oer 2026 02 28	Oerebro HK	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0xfd705d…
02-28 11:21:09	shl tim hv 2026 02 28	HV 71	BUY	96	31¢	$30	0xe6d1cb…
02-28 11:19:35	shl dju lek 2026 02 28	Djurgaarden	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x1fa895…
02-22 13:15:28	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0x1d9cd9…
02-21 21:17:50	ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 juv	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0x2e3ef0…
02-21 21:17:22	ucl rma1 ben 2026 02 25 rma1	Yes	BUY	44	68¢	$30	0xc725f1…