Previous-Riser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

96.5%

Resolved

112

Trades

127

lifetime

Volume

$1.01K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-27 19:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

42% 96% +$2

Politics

37% 89% -$27

Crypto

13% 100% +$1

Tech

5% 100% +$0

Sports

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+2	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	10-27 19:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$0	10-08 05:39
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	08-17 13:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	09-07 13:03
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	09-29 06:55
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$1	10-01 06:05
LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	2	$42	32	11	+21	Yes	+$0	09-10 08:01
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$39	39	0	+39	Yes	+$0	09-15 17:57
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$39	39	0	+39	No	+$0	09-01 06:22
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	1	$36	36	0	+36	No	+$0	08-05 15:21
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	1	$35	35	0	+35	Yes	+$0	09-23 09:36
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$35	35	0	+35	No	+$0	08-21 10:01
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$34	38	0	+38	Yes	-$34	10-09 23:59
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-26 21:03
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$23	23	0	+23	Yes	+$0	07-30 05:32
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	09-01 01:42
nvda above 200 on march 31 2026	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-31 10:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	1	$16	17	0	+17	No	+$1	08-27 14:46
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in August?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	08-27 06:47
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	09-11 04:47
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-30 03:38
aapl above 290 on february 27 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	02-25 18:59
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	05-31 02:17
will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-28 19:49
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	2	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	01-17 19:19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	06-29 09:30
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	10-17 12:09
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-30 21:32
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-09 17:39
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-23 12:49
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-07 09:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 19:40:29	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x5ebaa6…
10-20 21:56:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x2fa80b…
10-17 12:09:20	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	7	62¢	$4	0xb91f7f…
10-14 11:43:53	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x0223ab…
10-09 23:59:14	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	38	89¢	$34	0x44462d…
10-08 05:39:40	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xaa96a9…
10-06 00:43:43	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x99221d…
10-01 06:05:47	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xca88c7…
09-30 20:45:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0bb361…
09-29 19:23:56	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xb97179…
09-29 06:55:48	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x94b235…
09-28 18:07:57	Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xc87a53…
09-27 05:19:47	will xrp reach 3 in september 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x33d0b9…
09-23 09:36:04	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x4e996a…
09-23 09:08:04	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbcd8b7…
09-15 17:57:43	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x9cf314…
09-11 04:47:07	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$7	0xba70f8…
09-10 08:01:21	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf0a5f4…
09-09 18:53:21	LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x897f8c…
09-07 13:03:36	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x498113…
09-05 12:37:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	32	99¢	$31	0x3c2a9c…
09-03 11:04:18	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xaad830…
09-01 06:22:49	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x478e77…
09-01 01:42:37	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa93b20…
08-27 14:46:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x9547da…
08-27 06:47:36	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in August?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc331f2…
08-25 15:54:06	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xcceac5…
08-24 20:15:07	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcab601…
08-23 20:35:39	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x9f610d…
08-21 10:01:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x041c8d…
08-17 13:51:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x62bf16…
08-11 03:57:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x308b90…
08-10 08:51:07	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd96a41…
08-08 02:56:19	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1562d6…
08-05 15:21:39	Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x3ae5d1…
08-03 15:20:45	will wti reach 150 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf02536…
07-30 05:32:21	GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x322b31…
07-29 14:53:38	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x766f47…
07-29 01:56:03	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e1205…
07-29 00:33:34	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbab9f2…
07-28 09:41:23	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa2931b…
07-26 16:54:13	will xauusd dip to 3500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5a0efa…
07-25 11:58:24	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3f846e…
07-25 08:15:51	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x05e0dd…
07-23 21:22:55	will xagusd dip to 48 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x19b1d8…
07-23 19:45:55	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2643cf…
07-23 08:05:34	will ethereum dip to 1400 in july 2026 711 181	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb6442c…
07-22 12:28:49	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5659bf…
06-30 03:38:47	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6b2e67…
06-29 09:30:25	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8bdec…
06-28 19:49:08	will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x9c2756…
06-26 22:08:22	Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4e1e05…
06-26 21:03:29	Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe6a78f…
06-26 17:22:49	Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x7018bc…
05-31 02:17:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x28e5e2…
05-22 04:17:50	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3dbaca…
05-12 07:53:11	Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe16486…
05-09 17:39:04	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x76e712…
05-09 04:32:40	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x71c46b…
05-08 14:09:54	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x59746a…
05-08 00:53:25	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x043911…
05-07 09:33:32	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x39e732…
05-06 16:28:35	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x497f9c…
05-06 05:24:34	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x31cf73…
05-05 23:22:44	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0ff7cb…
05-05 19:36:54	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x17d62a…
05-05 15:41:50	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0ce6f0…
05-05 07:04:48	Will Ethereum dip to $400 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1318cb…
04-30 21:32:24	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfdc461…
04-27 04:51:16	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf427ba…
04-23 14:30:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6b80d1…
04-23 06:16:48	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0198b4…
04-21 12:54:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa476c0…
04-21 01:56:26	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8a5030…
04-19 11:51:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7c6a06…
04-19 00:32:40	Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xeb6e47…
04-18 07:05:48	Will XRP reach $2.60 in April?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x317a06…
04-15 14:03:38	Will BNB reach $1,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x553738…
04-15 06:11:48	Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x42ded5…
04-14 15:32:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x4e2eac…
04-13 16:51:11	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6d8b74…
04-13 06:31:59	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xec8be1…
04-05 19:06:01	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf1bad5…
03-31 10:18:03	nvda above 200 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9c5113…
03-30 19:28:51	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa24c7c…
03-27 05:47:11	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf3d7eb…
03-24 09:17:21	nvda above 130 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x16b259…
03-22 23:50:35	aapl above 290 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x62e65a…
03-21 20:15:29	nvda above 200 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x53a86d…
03-21 02:46:11	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9c0221…
03-19 14:59:37	nflx above 200 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x457816…
03-18 09:44:35	will chainlink dip to 2 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18fe31…
03-15 00:34:15	will zai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 189	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6233f4…
03-13 15:43:15	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa0f251…
03-13 05:31:11	will ethena dip to 0 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x068839…
03-11 22:10:17	bank of england increases interest rates after march 2026 meeting 393	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x22de0d…
03-09 19:43:29	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8baa4f…
03-08 11:01:15	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfa195d…
03-06 20:32:11	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa5fbda…
03-06 10:50:05	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x746904…