Cheap-Bondsman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$585

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

1 position

First seen

2026-04-19

last 06-11 08:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

34% 60% -$50

Other

29% 50% -$36

Politics

19% 55% -$21

Sports

18% 38% -$19

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-11).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No		+19	$14	99¢	$19	+$5	06-01 08:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$21	12	11	+1	No	+$0	04-20 08:32
bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 7pm et	2	$19	19,040	0	+19,040	Down	-$19	04-20 00:06
crint mli3 sle3 2026 05 30 completed match	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	-$15	05-30 08:08
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$15	29	0	+29	Yes	-$15	04-27 18:10
will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	1	$15	23	0	+23	Yes	-$15	06-04 08:07
crict20blast sur ken 2026 05 31 completed match	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	-$15	05-31 18:09
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	1	$15	29	0	+29	Yes	-$15	06-01 18:02
Will Solana dip to $80 April 27-May 3?	1	$15	24	0	+24	No	+$9	04-28 08:10
will ethereum dip to 1700 june 1 7 2026	1	$15	28	0	+28	Yes	-$15	06-04 08:08
will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	1	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$15	06-08 18:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	1	$15	31	0	+31	Yes	-$15	04-27 18:11
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?	1	$15	21	0	+21	Yes	-$15	06-03 08:10
will ethereum dip to 1500 june 1 7 2026	1	$15	20	0	+20	No	+$5	06-05 18:05
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	1	$15	21	0	+21	No	+$7	04-22 08:09
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	1	$14	19	0	+19	Yes	-$14	05-22 08:08
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	1	$14	19	0	+19	open	—	06-01 08:11
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	1	$14	19	0	+19	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$5	04-27 18:09
will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	1	$13	18	0	+18	Yes	-$13	06-07 18:09
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$13	17	0	+17	Yes	-$13	05-29 08:03
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$13	17	0	+17	No	+$4	05-27 08:18
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	1	$13	16	0	+16	No	+$3	06-01 08:10
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	1	$12	15	0	+15	No	+$3	06-06 08:07
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	1	$12	14	0	+14	No	+$2	06-11 08:06
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$1	05-28 08:08
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	1	$12	14	0	+14	No	+$2	06-02 08:10
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$12	14	0	+14	No	+$2	05-24 08:08
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	1	$12	14	0	+14	No	+$2	06-04 08:06
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	1	$12	14	0	+14	No	+$2	06-09 18:02
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$12	14	0	+14	No	+$2	05-27 08:17
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$12	13	0	+13	No	+$2	05-28 08:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 08:06:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x70076c…
06-09 18:02:54	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	14	84¢	$12	0x6ca6dc…
06-08 18:14:22	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x3cf2ef…
06-08 18:02:55	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	13	87¢	$12	0xf32e32…
06-07 18:09:28	will trump agree to unfreeze iranian assets by june 30	No	BUY	18	75¢	$13	0x7b18df…
06-06 08:07:21	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x57bb96…
06-05 18:05:57	will ethereum dip to 1500 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xcbd006…
06-05 18:05:03	will xrp dip to 1 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xbd1adf…
06-04 08:08:07	will ethereum dip to 1700 june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x01157e…
06-04 08:07:09	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0xb0ad84…
06-04 08:06:13	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x20137a…
06-03 08:10:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?	No	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x077d79…
06-02 18:05:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,100 June 1-7?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0x60c880…
06-02 08:10:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x5e6204…
06-01 18:02:58	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	No	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x507c37…
06-01 08:11:16	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0x5c322a…
06-01 08:10:22	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0x2a95d6…
06-01 08:09:19	Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	13	89¢	$11	0xdbcd8f…
05-31 18:09:38	crict20blast sur ken 2026 05 31 completed match	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x01044c…
05-30 18:13:16	Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$11	0x8e30be…
05-30 08:08:17	crint mli3 sle3 2026 05 30 completed match	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x36e6bb…
05-29 08:03:08	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	17	78¢	$13	0x73c6d9…
05-28 08:08:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x3f0559…
05-28 08:07:21	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$12	0x616167…
05-27 08:18:44	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0x8e835b…
05-27 08:17:50	Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x86db5f…
05-24 08:08:49	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xc681fd…
05-22 21:09:22	Will Seamus Power finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 THE CJ CUP Byron Nelson?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xd26c3e…
05-22 16:07:14	Will Bernie's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	27	25¢	$7	0x188171…
05-22 08:08:10	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0xc0ed09…
05-22 06:03:01	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	No	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x7faa0f…
05-21 09:02:50	tsla above 435 on may 22 2026	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x3c78d4…
04-28 08:10:14	Will Solana dip to $80 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x273945…
04-27 18:11:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	No	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x5652be…
04-27 18:10:44	Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	No	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0xe92025…
04-27 18:09:48	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0xcb509d…
04-26 22:02:34	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Oilers	Ducks	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xf8e96e…
04-26 12:10:26	New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros	New York Yankees	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x5e5373…
04-26 00:02:44	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xa0a20e…
04-25 22:07:04	Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	Athletics	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xdb5e56…
04-24 04:03:00	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?	Yes	BUY	33	25¢	$8	0x2fc8a8…
04-22 22:11:02	VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 16.5	Yes	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x36ff13…
04-22 18:02:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0xb94d93…
04-22 12:09:00	Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xa0c947…
04-22 12:08:02	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0xe4c559…
04-22 08:09:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0xafc430…
04-21 10:06:22	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0xb072ed…
04-21 07:09:04	nba orl det 2026 04 22 assists tobias harris 2pt5	Yes	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x2a9bad…
04-21 07:08:08	nba hou lal 2026 04 21 assists alperen sengun 5pt5	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x9d2689…
04-21 02:28:12	tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 22 2026 0pt39	Yes	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0xa91b18…
04-20 08:32:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	SELL	11	89¢	$10	0xb7e07f…
04-20 08:06:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0xfaf421…
04-20 06:12:12	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20 assists cj mccollum 3pt5	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5f1909…
04-20 06:11:18	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20 assists jalen johnson 6pt5	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x24014c…
04-20 06:10:24	nba atl nyk 2026 04 20 assists og anunoby 1pt5	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x931fc7…
04-20 04:05:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0x161366…
04-20 00:06:24	bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	9,520	0¢	$10	0x84c620…
04-20 00:05:30	bitcoin up or down april 19 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	9,520	0¢	$10	0x3830d0…
04-19 12:10:28	nba phx okc 2026 04 19 points luguentz dort 2pt5	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x52668f…
04-19 12:10:20	nba phx okc 2026 04 19 points isaiah hartenstein 2pt5	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xba1b9b…
04-19 12:10:10	nba tor cle 2026 04 20 points james harden 21pt5	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xc7f6d4…
04-19 10:06:26	nba min den 2026 04 20 rebounds aaron gordon 5pt5	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0x36d759…
04-19 08:17:14	nba min den 2026 04 20 rebounds nikola jokic 13pt5	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xf648fd…
04-19 08:17:06	ethereum above 2300 on april 19	Yes	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x337d8d…
04-19 08:17:00	kor uls gwa 2026 04 19 uls	No	BUY	1,260	0¢	$1	0xba49ee…
04-19 08:08:04	nba hou lal 2026 04 18 rebounds luke kennard 3pt5	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x747ff1…