Realized P&L
+$3.72K
Unrealized P&L
+$136
Hit rate
92.5%
Resolved
171
Trades
4,757
lifetime
Volume
$298.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$63
Open exposure
$8.08K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 09:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Politics
58% 70% +$3,275
Other
42% 74% +$440
Crypto
0% 100% +$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No -2,900 -$2,662 91¢ $-2650 +$12 06-17 23:32
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? Yes +7,536 $3,727 29¢ $2.1K -$1,579 10-06 17:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,283 $1,368 72¢ $1.7K +$288 07-05 03:32
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? Yes +1,546 $135 49¢ $758 +$623 08-25 13:09
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,283 $720 28¢ $628 -$92 10-26 15:16
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +100 $56 96¢ $96 +$40 05-17 03:48
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +11,532 -$590 1¢ $81 +$670 10-27 10:08
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +35 $31 99¢ $35 +$3 06-26 04:17
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -229 -$62 11¢ $-25 +$37 06-08 06:18
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +100 $35 4¢ $4 -$30 04-28 15:56
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +35 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 07-04 10:19
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +0 -$168 45¢ $0 +$168 07-19 17:56