Harmful-Loyalty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

281

lifetime

Volume

$8.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-03 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Politics

21% — —

Crypto

21% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-76

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes		-254	$-23	6¢	$-17	+$6	06-16 19:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	6	$756	462	462	+0	open	—	05-29 20:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	8	$555	315	315	+0	open	—	06-13 21:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$276	697	412	+286	open	—	04-21 19:08
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	4	$243	332	91	+241	open	—	06-12 02:32
fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 1pt5	1	$233	284	0	+284	open	—	06-14 00:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	7	$229	135	135	+0	open	—	04-21 15:35
will nigeria win the caf africa cup of nations morocco 2025	4	$219	922	231	+692	open	—	01-12 11:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$202	125	124	+1	open	—	04-22 08:53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$192	121	121	+0	open	—	06-13 08:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$183	99	98	+0	open	—	04-29 22:12
will bitcoin reach 74k february 16 22	6	$140	74	74	+0	open	—	02-20 18:36
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	2	$139	81	81	+0	open	—	01-21 01:28
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	5	$136	186	66	+120	open	—	04-22 08:56
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	2	$131	69	69	+0	open	—	01-31 08:50
will bitcoin reach 74k february 9 15	4	$130	70	70	+0	open	—	02-15 15:32
fif prt nga 2026 06 10 total 2pt5	2	$125	202	0	+202	open	—	06-10 19:33
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	2	$118	66	66	+0	open	—	02-10 06:31
will bitcoin reach 96k january 26 1	2	$115	59	59	+0	open	—	01-29 15:00
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	3	$112	91	60	+31	open	—	01-28 22:11
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	2	$111	65	65	+0	open	—	06-07 19:05
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 1pt5	2	$108	126	0	+126	open	—	06-12 19:45
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	4	$105	61	61	+0	open	—	04-15 20:50
fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	2	$101	54	54	+0	open	—	06-15 01:09
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$100	345	0	+345	open	—	04-10 08:44
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$100	192	0	+192	open	—	05-30 06:28
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$98	58	58	+0	open	—	02-01 04:20
bitcoin above 68k on february 15	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	02-15 15:53
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$96	64	64	+0	open	—	02-28 18:38
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	2	$93	48	48	+0	open	—	07-01 03:44
will xrp reach 1pt6 february 9 15	2	$93	48	48	+0	open	—	02-13 19:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 23:40:14	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xb4fe74…
07-03 23:36:28	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x9d42a2…
07-03 23:25:29	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x31ac9b…
07-03 22:30:20	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x7fb2ff…
07-03 17:41:26	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xe07b88…
07-03 02:36:49	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 goals breel embolo gte1	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x04cfd9…
07-03 02:36:20	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x2a224a…
07-02 22:39:28	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 spread home 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	59	67¢	$40	0x9359d1…
07-02 18:44:56	will bitcoin reach 66k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0x2f2164…
07-01 20:01:26	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x8063b9…
07-01 17:34:13	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	25	70¢	$17	0x396d29…
07-01 13:05:14	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	25	73¢	$18	0x23487e…
07-01 13:04:53	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	England	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x432d89…
07-01 03:44:08	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	SELL	48	99¢	$47	0xfef045…
07-01 02:33:23	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xe7d374…
06-30 20:43:10	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0xb8b611…
06-30 16:55:20	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xcae628…
06-29 20:06:02	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0x933c69…
06-29 19:56:35	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xc92473…
06-29 16:59:20	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x842b5a…
06-23 22:04:13	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 spread away 1pt5	Croatia	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x60dfaf…
06-23 20:30:49	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xc4cf51…
06-23 19:06:10	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf65460…
06-23 17:34:32	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x30b734…
06-19 22:56:23	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Haiti	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbd6c66…
06-18 23:34:04	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xf343a0…
06-18 23:13:25	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x058c4e…
06-18 20:51:53	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x5d8b8f…
06-18 20:16:41	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x70eb7f…
06-18 20:15:19	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0xf34515…
06-18 17:09:16	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	42	75¢	$32	0x622710…
06-18 15:23:11	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x6ff77a…
06-18 15:22:01	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	42	71¢	$30	0x5d06b1…
06-17 22:03:17	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0xaa3057…
06-17 17:29:14	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	36	91¢	$33	0x164ade…
06-17 17:04:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0x12e68b…
06-16 23:37:35	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xd62601…
06-16 23:33:26	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Iraq	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5f6f50…
06-16 21:57:49	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf332d0…
06-16 19:04:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	SELL	254	9¢	$23	0xfc4b2a…
06-15 02:43:19	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0xc7223c…
06-15 01:09:18	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	Over	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xc9f010…
06-14 22:32:37	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x215378…
06-14 22:32:13	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	54	87¢	$47	0xa9d86f…
06-14 21:20:27	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	SELL	395	1¢	$2	0x2d4ec7…
06-14 00:33:16	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	284	82¢	$233	0x58eeb7…
06-13 21:59:18	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	58	83¢	$48	0xcf9773…
06-13 21:58:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	64	75¢	$48	0x67ab62…
06-13 20:06:24	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	61	82¢	$50	0x832663…
06-13 19:20:40	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	34	68¢	$23	0xd70137…
06-13 17:34:10	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0xaa13be…
06-13 15:29:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x3c9bbc…
06-13 08:53:18	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	121	81¢	$98	0x1c0488…
06-12 22:28:12	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0xda308a…
06-12 22:27:42	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 btts	Yes	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xc4802e…
06-12 19:45:07	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	106	85¢	$90	0x1b665b…
06-12 19:42:18	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x791c37…
06-12 02:32:12	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0x2d0a31…
06-12 02:28:09	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	70	52¢	$37	0xc6bf87…
06-12 01:53:27	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x889b22…
06-11 16:25:22	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	83	86¢	$71	0x91f771…
06-11 00:53:58	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x36536b…
06-11 00:09:30	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	148	67¢	$100	0xfc3005…
06-10 19:33:57	fif prt nga 2026 06 10 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0xa755fb…
06-10 19:33:45	fif prt nga 2026 06 10 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x8e30d2…
06-10 19:30:06	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	91	58¢	$53	0xcdb64b…
06-10 19:28:58	fif prt nga 2026 06 10 btts	Yes	BUY	44	52¢	$23	0x19831d…
06-10 18:58:16	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	SELL	101	23¢	$24	0x6bfff2…
06-10 18:54:10	fif prt nga 2026 06 10 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	27	83¢	$22	0xd50bd4…
06-10 18:53:39	fif prt nga 2026 06 10 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0xedd1d4…
06-10 18:23:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	129	96¢	$123	0xf3c6c1…
06-09 22:44:31	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x3d2f0b…
06-07 23:16:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x714c7e…
06-07 19:05:42	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	65	94¢	$61	0xcaa6d0…
06-06 16:15:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	63	93¢	$59	0xa8458b…
06-06 16:07:30	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x01acc5…
06-06 09:53:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0xb57d7d…
06-06 09:50:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	88	94¢	$83	0x575167…
05-31 06:19:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	121	78¢	$94	0x53ed7e…
05-31 06:18:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x6a5632…
05-31 06:17:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x5f074d…
05-30 16:59:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$52	0xc34bdc…
05-30 06:28:23	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x0b6a46…
05-30 06:23:43	Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	219	23¢	$50	0x399c9d…
05-30 06:17:13	Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo	Moise Kouame	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xcb8b09…
05-29 20:04:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	202	94¢	$190	0xb97fda…
05-28 13:54:22	Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0x845333…
05-28 10:32:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x2eb04f…
05-28 10:18:10	Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x40d889…
05-28 05:21:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	74	81¢	$60	0xd38ae5…
05-27 18:27:06	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	86	41¢	$35	0x59fc32…
05-27 17:56:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	33	89¢	$29	0x1c9226…
05-26 18:57:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	260	78¢	$203	0xa0f263…
05-24 17:00:38	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xc1da03…
05-24 11:09:06	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x7a764f…
05-21 11:04:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	229	78¢	$179	0x67e2db…
05-16 17:16:12	MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	Lins	BUY	62	11¢	$7	0x7ebcab…
05-15 20:26:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0xcc762a…
05-15 09:08:10	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x37b654…
05-15 09:07:28	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xadd8c0…