Harmful-Loyalty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

213

lifetime

Volume

$6.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

$104

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-07 23:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

40% — —

Crypto

29% — —

Politics

25% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-76

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No		+121	$94	86¢	$104	+$10	05-31 06:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	6	$756	462	462	+0	open	—	05-29 20:04
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$334	251	122	+129	open	—	06-07 23:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$276	697	412	+286	open	—	04-21 19:08
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	7	$229	135	135	+0	open	—	04-21 15:35
will nigeria win the caf africa cup of nations morocco 2025	4	$219	922	231	+692	open	—	01-12 11:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	2	$202	125	124	+1	open	—	04-22 08:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	4	$183	99	98	+0	open	—	04-29 22:12
will bitcoin reach 74k february 16 22	6	$140	74	74	+0	open	—	02-20 18:36
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	2	$139	81	81	+0	open	—	01-21 01:28
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	5	$136	186	66	+120	open	—	04-22 08:56
gc hit 5500 high jan 2026	2	$131	69	69	+0	open	—	01-31 08:50
will bitcoin reach 74k february 9 15	4	$130	70	70	+0	open	—	02-15 15:32
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	2	$118	66	66	+0	open	—	02-10 06:31
will bitcoin reach 96k january 26 1	2	$115	59	59	+0	open	—	01-29 15:00
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by january 31 853	3	$112	91	60	+31	open	—	01-28 22:11
will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	2	$111	65	65	+0	open	—	06-07 19:05
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	4	$105	61	61	+0	open	—	04-15 20:50
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$100	345	0	+345	open	—	04-10 08:44
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$100	192	0	+192	open	—	05-30 06:28
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$98	58	58	+0	open	—	02-01 04:20
bitcoin above 68k on february 15	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	02-15 15:53
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$96	64	64	+0	open	—	02-28 18:38
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$94	121	0	+121	open	—	05-31 06:19
will xrp reach 1pt6 february 9 15	2	$93	48	48	+0	open	—	02-13 19:57
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$91	63	63	+0	open	—	04-27 04:58
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	02-26 21:17
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	2	$85	48	48	+0	open	—	02-23 11:30
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	2	$82	0	88	-88	open	—	05-30 16:59
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	9	$78	47	47	+0	open	—	05-15 09:08
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	3	$77	56	56	+0	open	—	04-21 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 22:44:31	will wti crude oil wti hit low 85 in june 342	No	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x3d2f0b…
06-07 23:16:24	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x714c7e…
06-07 19:05:42	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	65	94¢	$61	0xcaa6d0…
06-06 16:15:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	63	93¢	$59	0xa8458b…
06-06 16:07:30	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x01acc5…
06-06 09:53:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0xb57d7d…
06-06 09:50:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	88	94¢	$83	0x575167…
05-31 06:19:01	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	121	78¢	$94	0x53ed7e…
05-31 06:18:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x6a5632…
05-31 06:17:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x5f074d…
05-30 16:59:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$52	0xc34bdc…
05-30 06:28:23	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x0b6a46…
05-30 06:23:43	Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	219	23¢	$50	0x399c9d…
05-30 06:17:13	Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo	Moise Kouame	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xcb8b09…
05-29 20:04:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	202	94¢	$190	0xb97fda…
05-28 13:54:22	Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0x845333…
05-28 10:32:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x2eb04f…
05-28 10:18:10	Roland Garros ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x40d889…
05-28 05:21:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	74	81¢	$60	0xd38ae5…
05-27 18:27:06	Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	86	41¢	$35	0x59fc32…
05-27 17:56:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	33	89¢	$29	0x1c9226…
05-26 18:57:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	260	78¢	$203	0xa0f263…
05-24 17:00:38	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xc1da03…
05-24 11:09:06	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x7a764f…
05-21 11:04:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	229	78¢	$179	0x67e2db…
05-16 17:16:12	MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	Lins	BUY	62	11¢	$7	0x7ebcab…
05-15 20:26:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0xcc762a…
05-15 09:08:10	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x37b654…
05-15 09:07:28	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xadd8c0…
05-15 08:25:02	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xb897be…
05-15 08:18:30	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x6cf35c…
05-14 21:35:40	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x44524b…
05-14 11:54:33	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xd08c75…
05-14 11:41:44	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xf2f31a…
05-14 11:31:00	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	13	93¢	$13	0x706925…
05-12 21:15:11	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	21	69¢	$14	0x223e4c…
05-05 19:48:28	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	90	16¢	$14	0x482d72…
05-05 19:47:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0xc5f369…
05-05 03:19:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0xa3489c…
04-29 22:12:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0x4fc3c6…
04-27 21:39:02	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x4d90dd…
04-27 05:00:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xc9ce59…
04-27 04:58:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	63	63¢	$40	0x1449f6…
04-26 16:49:44	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	BUY	63	82¢	$52	0xd818bb…
04-26 16:49:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	56	92¢	$52	0x008d4f…
04-24 05:13:58	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	59	36¢	$21	0x810d06…
04-22 09:04:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$51	0x1fbbeb…
04-22 08:56:50	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xb8b5e3…
04-22 08:53:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	124	82¢	$102	0xb75c9b…
04-21 22:48:06	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x528355…
04-21 19:26:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x004d15…
04-21 19:08:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x6fc69a…
04-21 15:40:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x9247b6…
04-21 15:36:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	56	73¢	$41	0xddce87…
04-21 15:35:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	75	93¢	$70	0x3ca1f2…
04-21 15:03:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	47	93¢	$44	0x35f80d…
04-21 15:02:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x997d66…
04-21 15:02:50	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xfdebe5…
04-19 16:59:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	36	81¢	$29	0xf74f03…
04-19 16:57:10	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	56	52¢	$29	0xc12172…
04-18 09:38:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0xf29b21…
04-18 09:36:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	85	33¢	$28	0x7e7a7f…
04-17 11:48:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	85	28¢	$24	0xd9a771…
04-17 11:48:04	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0x72d6e9…
04-16 07:55:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0xb4d76f…
04-15 22:12:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	39	67¢	$26	0x7ddad6…
04-15 20:50:12	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0xf9cc1d…
04-15 20:01:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	16	65¢	$11	0x43843c…
04-15 20:00:22	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x2a9d94…
04-15 19:42:02	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0x51cf23…
04-15 09:49:28	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	33	86¢	$28	0x3bf4c3…
04-15 07:30:10	will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	No	SELL	29	94¢	$28	0x3aeb29…
04-15 07:17:44	will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x62f322…
04-14 06:04:43	will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	No	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x700b0f…
04-14 05:58:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	105	25¢	$26	0xecd602…
04-10 13:00:41	Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x7f11bc…
04-10 12:58:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	105	21¢	$22	0x7ef360…
04-10 12:57:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	112	20¢	$22	0x7dda23…
04-10 08:44:23	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	345	29¢	$100	0xc1c8af…
04-08 07:05:53	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	56	87¢	$48	0xe23016…
04-08 07:04:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	110	48¢	$53	0xef3c4b…
04-07 12:22:07	Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xf7e569…
04-07 12:21:43	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xa329af…
04-04 16:31:55	efa sot ars 2026 04 04 sot	No	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0xe08a22…
03-31 11:31:45	US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x72ec18…
03-31 11:24:07	Will Marco Rubio be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,057	2¢	$25	0x873c1f…
03-31 11:14:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	222	18¢	$40	0xff9df7…
03-26 09:31:23	will bitcoin reach 78k march 23 29	No	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x59e9c2…
03-24 05:40:59	will bitcoin reach 78k march 23 29	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x176fb4…
03-24 05:06:01	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x489ffd…
03-18 21:14:13	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	Yes	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xf723fd…
03-18 21:14:13	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	Yes	SELL	9	96¢	$8	0x228b4f…
03-18 21:14:11	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x99afa1…
03-18 21:14:11	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x8613ab…
03-18 21:14:11	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x390390…
03-18 19:18:15	ucl bay1 ata1 2026 03 18 bay1	Yes	BUY	15	71¢	$10	0x5735e5…
03-18 19:07:31	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc85ccd…
03-18 14:28:03	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xc36f0e…
03-18 14:07:35	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0xb47aea…
03-17 19:49:49	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x995d6f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	66	$9.46K	1,864	06-07 05:01
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	60	$62.3K	11,846	06-09 19:24
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	55	$103.1K	796	06-08 23:17
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	52	$554.4K	8,970	06-10 00:14
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	52	$13.9K	4,142	04-16 19:42
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	47	$60.8K	4,989	03-28 06:06
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	47	$12.0K	4,104	06-10 00:19
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	45	$147.6K	1,461	06-08 01:29