Realized P&L (90d)
-$74
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
52.5%
Resolved (90d)
904
Trades (90d)
3,647
3,647 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$11.9K
$11.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$151
21 positions
First seen
2026-08-08
last 10-29 19:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Other
63% 56% -$115
Crypto
17% 43% -$39
Sports
12% 51% -$21
Politics
7% 67% +$103
Tech
0% 67% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 204 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +53 $47 96¢ $50 +$3 10-21 09:02
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? Yes +15 $15 96¢ $15 $0 10-25 02:34
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +13 $12 92¢ $12 +$0 10-25 22:51
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +32 $3 36¢ $11 +$8 10-28 15:39
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 10-09 13:59
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +12 $9 86¢ $10 +$1 10-22 06:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 10-25 02:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7 $6 80¢ $6 $0 10-29 19:52
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 81¢ $6 +$1 09-21 20:39
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +7 $5 84¢ $6 +$1 10-20 23:38
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +6 $5 79¢ $5 +$0 09-13 22:03
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +16 $5 25¢ $4 -$1 10-04 13:47
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31? No +3 $3 93¢ $3 $0 10-20 01:59
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,435 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 09-19 20:13
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +9 $3 19¢ $2 -$1 10-22 18:09
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +6 $3 15¢ $1 -$2 09-20 15:38
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +218 $3 0¢ $1 -$3 10-04 17:10
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) Yes +11 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 09-25 12:46
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +12 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 10-04 18:10
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +11 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 10-04 12:03
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +58 $10 0¢ $0 -$9 10-02 01:38