Stiff-Weeder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 08-31 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

80% 93% +$10

Politics

11% 100% +$1

Tech

6% 80% -$22

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Javen Allen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	05-28 08:16
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 or less in march	2	$45	23	23	+0	No	+$0	04-10 12:30
will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	2	$43	22	22	+0	No	+$0	04-07 05:40
will justin bieber feature aap rocky during his coachella performances	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-19 08:02
will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	2	$39	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	06-08 21:06
Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$1	06-01 06:33
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	05-31 05:19
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	2	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	04-24 10:30
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	2	$31	16	16	+0	Yes	+$0	05-17 20:17
will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by march 31	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	04-01 01:25
Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	2	$30	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	06-15 18:50
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 13 2026 31c	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-13 16:55
will jensen huang say million or billion 3 times at the nvidia gtc keynote	2	$29	15	15	+0	Yes	+$0	03-16 19:00
ethereum above 2200 on june 17 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-15 09:03
highest temperature in toronto on march 14 2026 neg 1c	2	$28	14	14	+0	No	+$0	03-14 03:56
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-24 23:37
Will Madison Sheahan be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-04 17:29
Will Lamont McClure be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	05-18 16:43
solana above 100 on july 3 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	07-02 16:06
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	06-25 13:13
Will Ben Flook win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-07 03:28
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 15 2026 16c	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	03-14 22:20
chatgpt outage by april 3	1	$22	23	0	+23	Yes	-$22	04-02 11:34
highest temperature in london on march 13 2026 9c	2	$22	11	11	+0	No	+$0	03-12 21:21
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	1	$21	22	0	+22	Yes	+$1	04-27 23:20
Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-11 18:23
highest temperature in lucknow on march 9 2026 41c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-09 11:59
highest temperature in wellington on march 6 2026 17c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-05 21:36
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 4 2026 37c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-04 15:03
will the us add between 150k and 175k jobs in february	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-06 16:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-31 02:38:10	Will OpenAI be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1cc744…
07-14 00:04:34	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xf8e8c2…
07-02 16:06:55	solana above 100 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8fc137…
06-25 13:13:50	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x6cfb73…
06-24 23:37:44	Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc7fa53…
06-22 23:21:55	Will Anthony Constantino be the Republican nominee for NY-21?	Yes	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x6a51ea…
06-15 18:50:24	Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xcc09f6…
06-15 09:03:18	ethereum above 2200 on june 17 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x2212f0…
06-15 00:05:48	Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x738f1a…
06-14 17:18:43	Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x5b7b8d…
06-08 21:06:21	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8ba7c5…
06-07 18:16:43	will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xa98db6…
06-02 11:44:47	Will Cho Sangho win the 2026 Sejong mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa9f711…
06-01 06:33:04	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x72c229…
05-31 05:19:22	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xc92ccb…
05-30 18:14:15	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x48ed96…
05-29 07:31:17	Will Trump say "Asshole" in May?	No	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x2a27d1…
05-28 08:16:29	Will Javen Allen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x4a465a…
05-27 02:42:46	Will Christian Menefee be the Democratic nominee for TX-18?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x71454f…
05-25 00:02:15	Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb22f76…
05-18 16:43:44	Will Lamont McClure be the Democratic nominee for PA-07?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x36d6ea…
05-17 20:17:36	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x0d4ea4…
05-17 14:26:52	Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 25m?	Yes	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x7ae6dd…
05-11 18:23:59	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x723a40…
05-07 03:28:12	Will Ben Flook win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xf40ad4…
05-04 17:29:54	Will Madison Sheahan be the Republican nominee for OH-09?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc5d486…
05-02 22:28:46	Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Elon" or "Musk" this week?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x96dc52…
04-27 23:20:04	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x3fee5d…
04-24 10:30:16	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x5d7910…
04-23 01:43:54	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x7d33b2…
04-19 08:02:56	will justin bieber feature aap rocky during his coachella performances	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x65ae07…
04-18 16:13:22	will justin bieber feature aap rocky during his coachella performances	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x54d9e6…
04-14 03:29:01	nyc mayor of tweets april 7 april 14 2026 80 99	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf0e10a…
04-10 12:30:35	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 or less in march	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x6adefa…
04-09 18:30:19	will monthly inflation increase by 0pt3 or less in march	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x3e9147…
04-07 19:09:03	will something very bad is going to happen season 1 be the top us netflix show this week	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x482dd0…
04-07 05:40:45	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xe365b8…
04-06 20:26:15	will mrbeasts next video get between 56 and 58 million views on day 3	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x56e145…
04-06 20:12:51	will something very bad is going to happen season 1 be the top us netflix show this week	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x4ee25b…
04-06 00:26:33	will virgin river season 7 be the top global netflix show this week 572	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x9efd4d…
04-02 11:34:47	chatgpt outage by april 3	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0x3769a0…
04-01 01:25:05	will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by march 31	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x53d7ed…
03-31 16:18:47	us evacuates baghdad embassy by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe6dd94…
03-30 08:18:12	will ukraine re enter obratne or temyrivka by march 31	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x5bc76c…
03-16 19:00:15	will jensen huang say million or billion 3 times at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x48db35…
03-15 23:59:41	highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 45forbelow	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x58cf83…
03-15 01:50:27	will jensen huang say million or billion 3 times at the nvidia gtc keynote	Yes	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xc32659…
03-14 22:20:53	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 15 2026 16c	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb08364…
03-14 12:49:35	highest temperature in tel aviv on march 15 2026 16c	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xbbabbd…
03-14 10:53:59	highest temperature in ankara on march 14 2026 16corhigher	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x35ecaf…
03-14 05:19:49	highest temperature in shanghai on march 14 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x865c5c…
03-14 03:56:23	highest temperature in toronto on march 14 2026 neg 1c	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xafeb8c…
03-13 16:55:21	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 13 2026 31c	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xcf8ad2…
03-13 12:07:49	highest temperature in ankara on march 14 2026 16corhigher	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xa28ecf…
03-13 12:07:49	highest temperature in toronto on march 14 2026 neg 1c	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x02dc60…
03-12 22:02:19	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 13 2026 31c	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x194e91…
03-12 21:21:13	highest temperature in london on march 13 2026 9c	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x56af25…
03-12 19:01:39	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 9 be between 70 and 80	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3737d0…
03-12 18:18:41	highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x420aa2…
03-12 13:41:01	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 12 be between 2200000 and 2400000	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xe66f8d…
03-12 12:01:03	highest temperature in london on march 13 2026 9c	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xf443bc…
03-12 12:01:03	highest temperature in lucknow on march 13 2026 38c	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd3e1c8…
03-12 12:01:03	highest temperature in ankara on march 13 2026 10c	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x902901…
03-12 12:01:01	highest temperature in seoul on march 13 2026 7c	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xb6fc21…
03-12 10:43:03	highest temperature in lucknow on march 12 2026 36c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x272c09…
03-12 05:59:25	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 9 be between 70 and 80	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x41b54b…
03-11 19:22:19	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 12 be between 2200000 and 2400000	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x43ef88…
03-11 12:23:55	highest temperature in lucknow on march 12 2026 40c	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc4ba4a…
03-11 05:24:17	highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 42 43f	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xea0cda…
03-09 12:08:13	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 7 be less than 2000000	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb6e5e7…
03-09 11:59:13	highest temperature in lucknow on march 9 2026 41c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa54cf2…
03-09 08:37:05	highest temperature in lucknow on march 9 2026 41c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x56b24a…
03-08 10:40:53	highest temperature in miami on march 8 2026 78 79f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5028fe…
03-08 04:56:49	highest temperature in seoul on march 8 2026 6c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf37417…
03-07 13:49:07	highest temperature in miami on march 8 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7465bc…
03-06 21:50:49	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 7 be less than 2000000	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xad0832…
03-06 16:45:09	will the us add between 150k and 175k jobs in february	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8201c7…
03-06 16:03:43	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 6 2026 26corbelow	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x97a9f9…
03-06 11:39:41	highest temperature in sao paulo on march 6 2026 26corbelow	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe0e5fc…
03-05 21:36:33	highest temperature in wellington on march 6 2026 17c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc9c7bc…
03-05 19:19:43	highest temperature in lucknow on march 6 2026 37c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf06da5…
03-05 14:29:09	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 5 be greater than 2800000	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb57ee2…
03-05 13:39:19	highest temperature in miami on march 5 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6c948f…
03-05 13:27:05	highest temperature in wellington on march 6 2026 17c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x21f45a…
03-05 09:04:55	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 5 2026 24c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x0efda1…
03-05 08:26:45	highest temperature in ankara on march 5 2026 6c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdb79c6…
03-05 02:22:29	will the us add between 150k and 175k jobs in february	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1d094f…
03-04 21:24:39	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 5 2026 24c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x90de2e…
03-04 18:03:37	highest temperature in miami on march 5 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd8327b…
03-04 15:03:03	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 4 2026 37c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9ff61a…
03-04 13:57:21	highest temperature in london on march 5 2026 13c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x36f139…
03-04 12:58:29	will starmer say restore britain during the next prime ministers questions 554	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb96393…
03-04 11:52:41	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 17c	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf26b3a…
03-04 10:25:33	highest temperature in london on march 4 2026 17c	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xde8854…
03-04 00:40:17	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 5 be greater than 2800000	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7e6f32…
03-03 21:15:59	will starmer say restore britain during the next prime ministers questions 554	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe6197a…
03-03 20:58:03	highest temperature in dallas on march 3 2026 80 81f	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xce2168…
03-03 17:02:43	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 3 2026 32c	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf4fce0…
03-03 16:24:21	highest temperature in buenos aires on march 4 2026 37c	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf98dd7…
03-03 09:45:29	highest temperature in dallas on march 3 2026 80 81f	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7d81e3…