Glum-Hop — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$436

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$4.97K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$145

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 07-09 20:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

75% 100% +$436

Other

15% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No		-143	$-116	84¢	$-121	$-5	06-12 04:04
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No		-25	$-24	97¢	$-24	$-0	06-26 18:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$494	410	410	+0	open	—	02-28 07:11
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$473	366	366	+0	open	—	03-05 07:07
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	13	$387	1,197	885	+313	open	—	03-01 18:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$293	234	234	+0	open	—	02-28 13:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$270	6,436	200	+6,236	open	—	03-02 23:44
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$195	634	634	+0	open	—	03-06 11:05
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	3	$124	455	230	+225	open	—	07-06 20:37
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$116	0	143	-143	open	—	06-12 04:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	3	$110	869	0	+869	open	—	05-25 13:02
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	2	$103	57	57	+0	open	—	03-08 10:35
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	1	$100	115	0	+115	open	—	05-12 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$100	167	0	+167	open	—	04-30 18:42
will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	2	$100	416	0	+416	open	—	06-15 18:12
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$98	84	84	+0	open	—	03-06 11:05
will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	2	$94	78	78	+0	open	—	06-21 22:38
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$90	125	125	+0	open	—	03-06 11:05
will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	3	$90	926	729	+197	open	—	03-08 21:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$80	381	0	+381	open	—	04-30 19:05
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$75	133	119	+14	open	—	03-07 18:37
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	1	$62	0	86	-86	open	—	06-12 04:05
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$60	125	0	+125	open	—	03-24 20:58
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 0pt5	2	$58	250	250	+0	open	—	07-09 20:50
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	1	$56	0	64	-64	open	—	06-12 04:05
will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	1	$55	112	0	+112	open	—	06-21 15:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$53	0	200	-200	open	—	06-12 04:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$51	107	0	+107	open	—	03-08 08:03
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$50	278	0	+278	open	—	03-01 18:10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	1	$50	88	0	+88	open	—	05-23 14:34
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	1	$50	80	0	+80	open	—	05-13 18:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	1	$50	111	0	+111	open	—	05-20 20:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 20:50:31	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	250	15¢	$38	0x60579c…
07-09 20:01:13	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x1da688…
07-06 20:37:59	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xa15525…
07-06 20:25:05	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	Under	SELL	180	29¢	$52	0x4d81d1…
07-06 19:36:35	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xe4ba9b…
06-26 18:55:35	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x3089d9…
06-26 18:55:22	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xee8efe…
06-21 22:38:07	will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	No	SELL	78	56¢	$44	0x4e3357…
06-21 15:31:47	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	112	49¢	$55	0x256542…
06-15 18:12:36	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	Yes	BUY	199	25¢	$50	0x6eb7f2…
06-12 04:05:19	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	86	72¢	$62	0xbb6cbe…
06-12 04:05:03	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	SELL	64	87¢	$56	0x3440f4…
06-12 04:04:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	143	81¢	$116	0x313731…
06-12 04:03:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$53	0xb7cb29…
06-06 14:15:00	wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	94	29¢	$27	0xe1fe4f…
06-06 13:58:48	will germany reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134483	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xa8cde8…
06-06 13:58:30	will japan reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134488	Yes	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0x6fdea1…
05-25 13:02:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	364	11¢	$40	0xbeec92…
05-25 13:01:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0x0d8a97…
05-23 18:07:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0x9d41db…
05-23 18:07:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x8c6dc4…
05-23 14:34:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?	Yes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xf2aafe…
05-20 20:53:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x899ecd…
05-20 20:41:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x4a01cd…
05-20 14:30:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x514a36…
05-13 18:59:29	Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?	Yes	BUY	90	56¢	$50	0xf2903f…
05-13 18:57:37	Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?	Yes	BUY	80	63¢	$50	0x6ac3ea…
05-12 19:16:27	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x3b1247…
05-11 20:58:13	Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xebbc6d…
05-01 22:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x851d16…
05-01 22:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x5338dd…
05-01 22:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x1519c3…
05-01 21:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x7e5c0e…
05-01 13:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x8ce383…
05-01 13:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x4c13ed…
04-30 19:08:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	375	8¢	$30	0x9babb0…
04-30 19:05:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	381	21¢	$80	0xe74508…
04-30 18:51:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x2ff55c…
04-30 18:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0x488bf3…
04-30 18:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x2ed416…
04-30 18:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x752dea…
04-30 18:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x1ea2da…
04-30 10:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xe493bb…
04-30 10:40:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x9fe6c1…
04-08 03:27:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0x521224…
03-24 20:58:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	41	23¢	$10	0x8db543…
03-15 13:55:21	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	877	6¢	$50	0x859f8d…
03-08 21:54:49	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	197	9¢	$17	0x92c41d…
03-08 21:51:39	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	729	2¢	$17	0xa6c922…
03-08 21:35:27	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	729	8¢	$56	0x186b1f…
03-08 10:35:37	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0x66f43e…
03-08 08:03:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	107	48¢	$51	0x558a0a…
03-07 18:37:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xdc0022…
03-07 18:36:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	119	10¢	$12	0x77581b…
03-07 10:22:59	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	57	67¢	$38	0x5eeb72…
03-06 11:59:43	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	38	85¢	$32	0x88074f…
03-06 11:06:17	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xe127c2…
03-06 11:06:09	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xebca49…
03-06 11:05:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	125	32¢	$40	0xaa3b61…
03-06 11:05:11	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	84	57¢	$48	0x92cad0…
03-06 11:05:01	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	SELL	53	91¢	$48	0xb0492e…
03-06 11:04:23	will the us invade iran by march 31	No	BUY	53	92¢	$48	0x5cd957…
03-06 11:04:03	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	581	8¢	$48	0x22ddf1…
03-06 09:47:27	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	No	BUY	57	83¢	$47	0x98d66f…
03-06 09:45:15	will iran strike cyprus in march	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x7fff68…
03-05 17:07:01	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	84	60¢	$50	0x539380…
03-05 17:06:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x1e828b…
03-05 17:00:23	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	581	9¢	$50	0x63d688…
03-05 07:07:17	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	266	80¢	$213	0xaf62bc…
03-03 14:49:49	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x0eaec3…
03-02 23:44:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x285d39…
03-02 20:48:31	will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of march 216 621 736 725 922 826 757	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x72f19e…
03-02 20:46:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xca6261…
03-02 20:20:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x7c8bbc…
03-02 20:16:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x336d56…
03-02 20:16:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x2abc87…
03-02 16:45:43	btc updown 5m 1772469900	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x89fe69…
03-02 14:53:39	btc updown 5m 1772463000	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xa39d23…
03-02 14:14:35	btc updown 5m 1772460600	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x181002…
03-02 14:12:49	btc updown 5m 1772460600	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xdcf348…
03-02 13:32:05	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xb837f0…
03-02 10:23:45	will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x004c4d…
03-01 19:13:37	btc updown 5m 1772392200	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xed8c1c…
03-01 19:01:25	btc updown 5m 1772391600	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x18827e…
03-01 18:54:15	btc updown 5m 1772391000	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd99f52…
03-01 18:48:47	btc updown 5m 1772390700	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x95312a…
03-01 18:13:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	BUY	312	3¢	$10	0x5ea4b3…
03-01 18:10:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	84	60¢	$50	0xda974a…
03-01 18:10:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xe2afa4…
03-01 14:34:41	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	91	60¢	$54	0x1d9647…
03-01 14:33:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	9	60¢	$6	0x6674c8…
02-28 22:25:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	SELL	71	15¢	$11	0x813496…
02-28 22:21:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x0045fd…
02-28 22:01:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	SELL	84	33¢	$28	0xb9bcf8…
02-28 21:40:47	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	769	3¢	$20	0x28bc55…
02-28 21:37:11	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	SELL	35	33¢	$12	0xfe087b…
02-28 21:37:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	SELL	47	33¢	$15	0xd333dd…
02-28 21:36:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	SELL	258	33¢	$85	0xcb0cdf…
02-28 21:36:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xca99b9…
02-28 21:36:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x524dfa…