Tan-Messy — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

2,002 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$100

$10.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$127

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-22

last 10-28 23:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 69% -$1,528

Other

22% 34% -$120

Politics

3% 54% -$48

Tech

0% 100% +$12

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+235	$100	40¢	$95	-$5	10-28 23:49
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No		+40	$20	80¢	$32	+$12	05-14 21:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	45	$576	1,280	0	+1,280	Up	-$576	05-18 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	37	$288	640	0	+640	Down	-$288	05-18 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 21:15 UTC	3	$224	127	124	+3	Up	+$22	03-18 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 00:40 UTC	1	$174	178	0	+178	Down	-$174	03-17 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	9	$160	355	0	+355	Down	-$160	05-17 15:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 05:00 UTC	2	$158	90	89	+1	Up	+$19	03-18 05:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	12	$144	320	0	+320	Down	-$144	05-18 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	34	$144	320	0	+320	Down	+$176	05-17 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 00:10 UTC	2	$119	80	79	+1	Up	+$40	03-17 00:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:55 UTC	2	$104	180	0	+180	Up	-$14	03-17 13:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$100	235	0	+235	open	—	10-28 23:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 05:10 UTC	1	$100	301	0	+301	Up	-$100	03-18 05:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 05:15 UTC	1	$100	106	0	+106	Down	+$6	03-18 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 13:50 UTC	2	$91	180	0	+180	Down	-$1	03-17 13:49
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$90	157	0	+157	Yes	+$67	03-13 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 05:20 UTC	4	$85	100	0	+100	Down	+$15	03-18 05:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	17	$80	177	0	+177	Up	-$80	05-17 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	13	$72	160	0	+160	Down	-$72	05-18 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	8	$65	144	0	+144	Up	+$79	05-17 17:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 00:20 UTC	2	$58	39	39	+1	Down	+$19	03-17 00:26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$50	62	0	+62	Yes	+$12	05-14 21:06
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$50	89	0	+89	No	-$50	05-14 18:47
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$46	30	30	+0	Yes	+$6	03-27 11:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$41	27	27	+0	No	+$1	03-20 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$40	88	0	+88	Down	-$40	05-17 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$36	80	0	+80	Up	-$36	05-18 00:55
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or higher on May 9?	2	$33	42	42	+0	No	+$17	05-09 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 11?	7	$31	32	32	+0	No	-$1	05-11 20:00
highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 55forbelow	2	$28	33	32	+1	Yes	+$9	04-21 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 06:45 UTC	2	$27	15	14	+1	Up	+$1	04-17 06:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:49:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	106	47¢	$50	0x96f761…
10-27 22:34:21	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xceb1f1…
07-19 20:49:06	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x843d5b…
07-17 12:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xc61d18…
05-18 03:39:55	Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xfb0189…
05-18 03:39:48	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x12417f…
05-18 03:39:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xa8cd32…
05-18 03:39:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x2e4feb…
05-18 03:39:08	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x1c1cf0…
05-18 03:38:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x37158d…
05-18 01:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf90b5f…
05-18 01:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xdc0d08…
05-18 01:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xbf6a56…
05-18 01:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	99	45¢	$45	0xb9295b…
05-18 01:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa57438…
05-18 01:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x83e1be…
05-18 01:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7a8e91…
05-18 01:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x78a2d2…
05-18 01:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	355	45¢	$160	0x091fcb…
05-18 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	173	45¢	$78	0xf85a5d…
05-18 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xa7c62d…
05-18 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xa583d5…
05-18 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9cc5ba…
05-18 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	79	45¢	$36	0x9a3464…
05-18 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x8310c5…
05-18 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	82	45¢	$37	0x754950…
05-18 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x643b1e…
05-18 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x467cc9…
05-18 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x24d191…
05-18 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x211340…
05-18 01:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x186438…
05-18 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xf07f0d…
05-18 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xee8c03…
05-18 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd13edc…
05-18 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x913621…
05-18 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x906655…
05-18 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x7bca73…
05-18 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	45¢	$14	0x5dc443…
05-18 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x4ed4bd…
05-18 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x49b051…
05-18 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0x4356b5…
05-18 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x3424c0…
05-18 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x334c34…
05-18 01:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x32da40…
05-18 01:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	163	45¢	$73	0x79fc5f…
05-18 01:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4e7872…
05-18 01:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0x22dcfb…
05-18 01:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x9042ce…
05-18 01:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa70871…
05-18 01:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x8704a1…
05-18 01:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x4760b1…
05-18 01:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xd0ff0e…
05-18 01:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x11360f…
05-18 01:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	45¢	$11	0xab60dc…
05-18 01:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x6f4bb4…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xfe66d4…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xef958e…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xee4223…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0xe96b75…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xe1e9e4…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd2f32a…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd2eed9…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xcca37d…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0xc031d8…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xba0d40…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb5ed70…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xaecec2…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	246	45¢	$111	0xa7784c…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xa3ff1a…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xa38cde…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x9c3bc4…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8dd05b…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x869835…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x866167…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x72c221…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6277f3…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5ef15a…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	159	45¢	$72	0x57d0f0…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x4e126c…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x4a6363…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x3ced49…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x365916…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x27bb39…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x2613aa…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x256563…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x1cd5b5…
05-18 01:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x10e7ac…
05-18 01:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc1846a…
05-18 01:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x903890…
05-18 01:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x86bc4a…
05-18 01:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x47e23c…
05-18 01:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x257f5e…
05-18 01:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfb6e38…
05-18 01:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xda2e85…
05-18 01:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$10	0xb2aed2…
05-18 01:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	164	45¢	$74	0x86ef0d…
05-18 01:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6bf50e…
05-18 01:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x63b0f0…
05-18 01:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0x516eab…
05-18 01:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xff7ea3…