Judicious-Luncheonette — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

151

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$88

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-01 07:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 100% +$3

Sports

30% — —

Other

12% 100% +$2

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$232	116	116	+0	open	—	01-16 09:42
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$232	116	116	+0	open	—	01-16 10:07
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$232	116	116	+0	open	—	01-16 10:40
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$232	116	116	+0	open	—	01-17 06:11
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$231	116	116	+0	open	—	03-14 06:23
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$229	115	115	+0	open	—	01-21 03:47
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$229	115	115	+0	open	—	01-21 04:40
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$229	115	115	+0	open	—	01-24 09:28
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$229	115	115	+0	open	—	01-24 09:51
Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$229	115	115	+0	open	—	01-27 04:19
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$229	114	114	+0	open	—	01-24 10:15
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$229	115	115	+0	open	—	01-27 04:35
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$228	115	115	+0	open	—	01-27 04:54
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$223	112	112	+0	open	—	02-03 08:25
Will Girona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$222	111	111	+0	open	—	02-03 08:53
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$221	111	111	+0	open	—	02-10 08:29
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$205	103	103	+0	open	—	02-13 07:33
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$134	134	0	+134	open	—	05-22 10:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	1	$133	133	0	+133	open	—	05-21 09:22
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $457.50 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$131	131	0	+131	open	—	05-15 08:15
ethereum above 1700 on march 4	1	$130	131	0	+131	open	—	03-04 08:52
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	1	$127	127	0	+127	open	—	03-09 03:42
bitcoin above 62k on march 8	1	$127	127	0	+127	open	—	03-08 05:53
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 165 189	1	$127	127	0	+127	open	—	03-07 11:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 6	1	$127	127	0	+127	open	—	03-06 11:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	1	$126	127	0	+127	open	—	05-23 04:22
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$126	127	0	+127	open	—	05-24 09:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	1	$124	124	0	+124	open	—	05-17 10:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	1	$124	124	0	+124	No	+$0	05-13 09:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	1	$124	124	0	+124	No	+$0	05-12 05:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 07:44:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x449be2…
06-01 07:38:52	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Cincinnati Reds	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0xe21aff…
05-30 05:04:13	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs	Team Nemesis	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x151454…
05-29 03:55:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x0d83e4…
05-28 07:10:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x4a38dd…
05-27 06:38:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xd56a58…
05-27 06:36:06	Dota 2: OG vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Tundra Esports	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x36603e…
05-26 05:34:02	Chisinau: Pavel Kotov vs Gauthier Onclin	Gauthier Onclin	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x83b1de…
05-24 09:29:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0x11cd7a…
05-23 04:22:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0xb0f0f5…
05-23 04:17:36	Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x9abbcc…
05-22 10:52:00	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $248 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x569d34…
05-21 09:22:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x86b16c…
05-20 06:35:04	Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Learner Tien	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xba905e…
05-19 07:03:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x126a86…
05-19 06:57:23	Cervia: Federico Arnaboldi vs Carlo Alberto Caniato	Carlo Alberto Caniato	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0x1d3bb9…
05-18 06:13:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x31c362…
05-18 05:47:19	Internationaux de Strasbourg: McCartney Kessler vs Jaqueline Cristian	Jaqueline Cristian	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xc023d0…
05-17 10:51:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x6a8285…
05-16 04:40:45	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x0a7b64…
05-15 08:15:03	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $457.50 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x2151c0…
05-14 10:46:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xb3ddf3…
05-14 10:44:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc3c54…
05-14 10:40:35	Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs	Leviatán Esports	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x3e0a63…
05-13 09:50:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xd09633…
05-12 05:33:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x3ebe49…
05-10 04:01:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 May 4-10?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0xed951b…
05-09 07:39:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0x61b212…
05-09 07:13:33	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Shanghai Sharks	Shanghai Sharks	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0xcc9ad3…
05-08 03:59:34	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $156 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x9f053f…
05-07 11:45:47	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0x6d95cb…
05-05 04:02:54	Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on May 5?	No	BUY	121	98¢	$119	0xa87880…
05-01 06:21:20	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xca541c…
04-30 10:20:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xb428e9…
04-28 09:09:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0x4ae375…
04-26 12:30:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x330c3e…
04-25 12:36:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xb0ec41…
04-24 07:27:42	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x953fda…
04-23 05:53:24	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xc1ef7a…
04-22 03:31:56	bitcoin above 72k on april 22	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xb5b81e…
04-21 04:02:08	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0x19b10d…
04-20 04:56:26	ethereum above 2600 on april 20	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xf21379…
04-20 04:54:02	Madrid Open, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Jan Choinski	Henrique Rocha	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x3eabd9…
04-19 08:31:42	bitcoin above 70k on april 19	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x7b156e…
04-19 08:29:10	Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics	Chicago White Sox	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0x64f614…
04-16 08:40:30	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0xcbd84f…
04-16 08:39:46	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x793a25…
04-15 05:51:22	will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on april 15	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xdc843f…
04-14 04:49:57	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 380 399	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x47b0f6…
04-14 04:42:49	atp fils atmane 2026 04 14	Terence Atmane	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0xe32d4b…
04-12 05:34:51	bitcoin above 76k on april 12	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x1e5bc7…
04-09 06:26:59	bitcoin above 76k on april 9	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x268b72…
04-08 05:23:39	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 8	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x145d1c…
04-08 05:18:49	atp augeral cilic 2026 04 08	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x4ed1d5…
04-07 12:37:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 7	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x6514c5…
04-05 07:29:47	solana above 70 on april 5	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x9925c9…
04-05 07:24:39	nhl wsh nyr 2026 04 05	Capitals	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xe75107…
04-04 11:40:53	will the price of ethereum be between 2200 2300 on april 4	No	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x9cc57f…
04-03 03:34:55	ethereum above 1800 on april 3	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$112	0x3d26ab…
04-02 05:17:55	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 2	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xc865c6…
04-01 06:26:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 1	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x508c9f…
03-30 04:36:58	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 30	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x6fdfde…
03-29 10:47:28	bitcoin above 70k on march 29	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x095d30…
03-28 09:13:31	bitcoin above 62k on march 28	Yes	BUY	98	100¢	$97	0xac0711…
03-28 09:08:33	nba sas mil 2026 03 28	Spurs	BUY	14	95¢	$14	0x1a09a7…
03-28 02:05:19	will bitcoin reach 69k on march 27	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x32477c…
03-27 10:41:55	bitcoin above 72k on march 27	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x4800f6…
03-25 05:13:49	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xd1ad32…
03-24 06:35:27	bitcoin above 64k on march 24	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xef6b75…
03-22 11:25:11	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 22	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x2763f3…
03-21 05:39:07	bitcoin above 66k on march 21	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0xaf0fa6…
03-20 12:05:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 20	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xd1f726…
03-19 11:36:11	ethereum above 1900 on march 19	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x3d7560…
03-18 05:18:31	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x3b9f1d…
03-17 04:58:11	bitcoin above 82k on march 17	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x6cd0e0…
03-17 04:54:09	nhl car cbj 2026 03 17	Hurricanes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xcf6ae0…
03-16 08:28:13	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 115 139	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xcaaf71…
03-14 06:30:05	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0x5622da…
03-14 06:23:23	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$115	0x1fc79a…
03-13 05:46:55	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0x2d1e4b…
03-13 05:45:29	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 13	Yes	BUY	675	0¢	$1	0x001b98…
03-13 05:43:53	ethereum above 2400 on march 13	Yes	BUY	618	0¢	$2	0xaeb409…
03-12 12:06:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 12	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x7face8…
03-12 12:00:29	nba den sas 2026 03 12	Spurs	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xcc53c0…
03-10 06:55:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 10	Yes	BUY	725	0¢	$1	0xc7179e…
03-10 06:51:33	bitcoin above 76k on march 10	Yes	BUY	633	0¢	$2	0xb25d89…
03-09 03:42:05	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x23dc82…
03-08 05:53:21	bitcoin above 62k on march 8	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x70b325…
03-07 11:34:21	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 165 189	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xd12e16…
03-06 11:27:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 6	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xeaecd3…
03-05 12:41:05	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 5	Yes	BUY	960	0¢	$4	0xd25de5…
03-04 08:52:11	ethereum above 1700 on march 4	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x182972…
03-03 16:48:59	ethereum above 2100 on march 3	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa98f1a…
03-03 11:13:13	bitcoin above 56k on march 3	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x69f080…
03-02 04:44:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 2	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x717e71…
03-01 10:34:27	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x187dda…
02-28 08:14:21	will gta 6 cost 100	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xffb134…
02-27 03:42:30	solana above 70 on february 27	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xec813c…
02-27 03:33:56	nba bkn bos 2026 02 27	Nets	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xeccad6…
02-25 06:36:18	ethereum above 2100 on february 25	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xe42dee…