Mediocre-Skill — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

-$514

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

82 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$56.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$690

Open exposure

$836

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 11-04 01:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

81% 53% +$6,663

Other

16% 17% -$1,887

Sports

2% 67% +$228

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		+3,359	$1,250	24¢	$794	-$456	10-28 00:32
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes		+1,429	$100	3¢	$42	-$58	09-19 00:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	5	$10.6K	7,667	6,868	+799	Yes	-$730	03-01 23:40
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$7.8K	6,363	6,363	+0	Yes	+$3,308	04-07 22:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$6.6K	3,750	3,750	+0	Yes	+$638	02-28 19:44
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$5.1K	3,260	3,260	+0	Yes	+$924	04-04 23:10
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	2	$3.5K	2,696	2,696	+0	Yes	+$1,454	11-04 01:17
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	2	$3.1K	2,257	2,257	+0	Yes	+$1,077	11-04 01:40
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	1	$2.5K	2,952	0	+2,952	No	+$452	06-14 20:28
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$2.1K	11,935	11,935	+0	No	+$77	03-30 01:46
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	2	$1.8K	1,389	1,389	+0	Yes	+$819	09-27 19:11
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$1.2K	3,359	0	+3,359	open	—	10-28 00:32
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$1.1K	2,864	2,864	+0	No	+$63	07-15 19:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1	$1.0K	2,040	0	+2,040	No	-$1,020	04-05 21:45
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?	1	$1.0K	2,055	0	+2,055	No	-$1,007	10-04 16:31
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	1	$1000	1,370	0	+1,370	Paraguay	-$1,000	06-29 22:43
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$683	2,153	0	+2,153	No	-$683	01-29 23:49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	6	$590	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$590	05-24 13:36
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$550	2,134	0	+2,134	No	-$550	05-16 19:14
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	3	$540	1,750	0	+1,750	Yes	+$1,210	02-27 13:57
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	9	$506	2,100	0	+2,100	No	-$506	05-16 22:45
Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria?	1	$500	2,220	0	+2,220	No	-$500	06-23 21:05
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	1	$500	911	0	+911	Yes	-$500	06-29 22:44
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	1	$500	1,223	0	+1,223	Yes	+$723	02-27 13:57
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	1	$500	1,190	0	+1,190	Yes	+$690	06-23 17:43
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	1	$470	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$470	07-01 20:58
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	4	$383	600	0	+600	No	-$383	05-23 20:43
fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 first corner	1	$300	647	0	+647	Morocco	-$300	06-19 21:57
fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread away 2pt5	2	$300	1,169	0	+1,169	Scotland	-$300	06-19 22:12
Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?	1	$250	1,316	0	+1,316	No	-$250	06-23 21:05
Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)	1	$200	465	0	+465	Colts	+$265	09-21 00:00
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$200	1,538	0	+1,538	No	-$200	01-28 23:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 01:40:22	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,257	92¢	$2,077	0x247960…
11-04 01:17:49	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,696	91¢	$2,454	0x5fed5c…
11-03 23:55:52	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,257	44¢	$1,000	0xcab4c4…
11-03 23:29:10	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,696	37¢	$1,000	0x9dd990…
10-28 00:32:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2,222	45¢	$1,000	0x0cf333…
10-27 14:44:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1,136	22¢	$250	0x57bd08…
10-04 16:31:14	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04?	Yes	BUY	2,055	49¢	$1,007	0x6ac8fa…
09-27 19:11:57	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	SELL	1,389	95¢	$1,319	0x934301…
09-27 18:55:39	Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	1,389	36¢	$500	0xdb86e2…
09-21 00:00:13	Spread: Chiefs (-3.5)	Colts	BUY	465	43¢	$200	0x2db7be…
09-19 00:49:57	trump vetoes russia sanctions bill	Yes	BUY	613	1¢	$5	0xaa9bfc…
09-19 00:48:42	Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0x148123…
09-19 00:47:57	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x807395…
07-15 19:33:28	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,864	20¢	$563	0x2f2b05…
07-05 22:36:43	Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 England?	Yes	BUY	1,818	11¢	$200	0xcfc480…
07-03 23:32:59	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xee82dd…
07-03 23:32:37	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x0ad79a…
07-03 23:31:52	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,864	17¢	$500	0xcef17f…
07-01 22:42:08	Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x3c001d…
07-01 22:41:53	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x776326…
07-01 22:40:50	Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?	Yes	BUY	3,030	3¢	$100	0xe6be88…
07-01 22:36:32	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3,333	3¢	$100	0x1f36ee…
07-01 20:58:20	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1,000	47¢	$470	0x921f35…
06-29 22:44:16	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	BUY	911	55¢	$500	0xc51a08…
06-29 22:43:52	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	1,370	73¢	$1,000	0xf0b9a1…
06-23 21:05:29	Exact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	2,220	23¢	$500	0x4a16e3…
06-23 21:05:16	Exact Score: Algeria 0 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	1,316	19¢	$250	0x932465…
06-23 17:43:38	Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1,190	42¢	$500	0x927f96…
06-19 22:12:08	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread away 2pt5	Morocco	BUY	369	27¢	$100	0xa7640b…
06-19 22:09:20	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread away 2pt5	Morocco	BUY	800	25¢	$200	0x2e73fb…
06-19 21:57:17	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 first corner	Scotland	BUY	647	46¢	$300	0x335f0b…
06-14 20:28:57	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2,952	85¢	$2,500	0x941618…
05-24 13:36:32	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	164	59¢	$97	0xca014c…
05-24 03:03:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	336	59¢	$198	0x793b6c…
05-24 03:03:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0xffd9f0…
05-24 02:48:06	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x9939ce…
05-24 02:46:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	Yes	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0x248a2a…
05-23 20:43:12	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x10b60c…
05-23 20:43:08	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	173	69¢	$120	0x8f946e…
05-23 20:43:08	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x53ab14…
05-23 20:43:08	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	BUY	417	62¢	$257	0x5173d9…
05-16 22:45:00	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	916	24¢	$221	0xb3b9c6…
05-16 22:44:58	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	24¢	$6	0xa7791a…
05-16 22:44:58	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	24¢	$28	0xa0c58d…
05-16 22:44:56	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	24¢	$42	0xef97a0…
05-16 22:44:53	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	24¢	$20	0x18ddea…
05-16 22:44:51	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	659	24¢	$159	0xaee9a2…
05-16 22:44:49	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0x51f8ce…
05-16 22:44:49	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	24¢	$20	0x48e8ac…
05-16 22:44:47	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0xdebadd…
05-16 19:14:53	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	875	29¢	$250	0x0390ce…
05-16 11:46:53	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,400	6¢	$200	0x1ef049…
05-16 11:46:35	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,259	24¢	$300	0xe7254c…
04-07 22:54:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	2,417	95¢	$2,296	0x035f5a…
04-07 22:54:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x3d6c72…
04-07 22:54:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	745	95¢	$707	0xed1c7e…
04-07 22:52:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	3,182	80¢	$2,545	0x798cb2…
04-07 22:37:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	1,220	82¢	$1,000	0x473bfb…
04-07 20:36:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	2,143	35¢	$750	0xc65066…
04-06 13:00:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	3,000	17¢	$510	0x30302a…
04-05 21:45:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,040	50¢	$1,020	0x945798…
04-04 23:10:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	34	92¢	$31	0x2fb62a…
04-04 23:10:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3,226	92¢	$2,968	0xa02fa5…
03-31 20:14:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,724	58¢	$1,000	0x1fb44f…
03-30 01:48:08	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,536	70¢	$1,075	0x7e9922…
03-30 01:46:28	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	11,935	9¢	$1,077	0x392478…
03-29 17:25:06	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	11,935	8¢	$1,000	0xc21d22…
03-01 23:40:59	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	No	BUY	799	25¢	$200	0xe1c6d1…
03-01 23:40:25	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	Yes	SELL	3,944	84¢	$3,333	0xf15d2d…
03-01 23:05:25	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	Yes	BUY	3,944	88¢	$3,467	0x9b4a2e…
03-01 23:02:59	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	No	SELL	2,924	55¢	$1,604	0xc40237…
03-01 22:03:27	hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	No	BUY	2,924	68¢	$2,000	0x608c74…
02-28 19:44:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	3,750	97¢	$3,638	0xbc6bf3…
02-28 19:12:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	3,750	80¢	$3,000	0x5f093f…
02-27 13:57:55	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	31¢	$40	0x009943…
02-27 13:57:27	US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,223	41¢	$500	0x611e31…
02-27 13:57:07	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,619	31¢	$500	0x86d016…
02-27 13:56:17	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xedf6d6…
01-29 23:49:12	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	1,463	33¢	$483	0xaf5c5c…
01-28 23:23:28	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	1,538	13¢	$200	0x747716…
01-28 23:23:18	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	690	29¢	$200	0xe95722…