Warlike-Produce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$390

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

758

Trades

4,691

lifetime

Volume

$22.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 08-22 19:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 73 days

Categories

Other

54% 55% -$193

Sports

32% 56% -$147

Politics

12% 22% -$47

Crypto

2% 53% -$2

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-0	$0	11¢	$-0	+$0	05-02 18:23
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes		+0	$0	16¢	$0	$0	05-21 14:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	305	$2.2K	9,168	8,804	+364	No	-$81	04-28 10:00
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	104	$837	988	988	+0	No	-$9	04-29 19:57
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	250	$689	1,384	1,384	-0	No	+$0	05-21 14:02
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	60	$459	505	505	+0	Yes	-$5	05-13 02:19
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	256	$445	1,515	1,515	+0	Yes	-$4	05-21 14:16
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	119	$393	587	587	+0	No	-$8	05-21 07:15
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?	18	$304	172	172	+0	Yes	+$4	05-08 20:41
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	74	$228	798	798	+0	open	—	05-14 12:07
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Botic van de Zandschulp	15	$217	114	114	+0	Francisco Cerundolo	+$3	05-25 18:56
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	18	$216	358	358	+0	No	-$5	05-09 17:38
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	61	$189	530	530	+0	No	-$5	05-13 02:33
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	22	$178	752	752	+0	No	-$1	04-16 22:15
FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5	4	$156	88	88	+0	Under	+$21	05-02 19:00
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	41	$155	158	158	+0	cancelled	$0	05-21 14:14
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	11	$155	80	80	+0	Los Angeles Dodgers	+$2	05-26 03:50
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	7	$150	77	77	-0	PARIVISION	+$2	05-23 18:34
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublik	15	$150	76	76	+0	Alexander Bublik	+$1	05-21 20:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	13	$147	14,154	14,154	+0	No	-$25	04-30 23:53
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	4	$146	112	112	+0	Vitality	-$26	05-03 19:01
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	19	$145	506	506	+0	No	+$1	04-30 15:55
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	14	$145	114	114	+0	Yes	-$4	04-16 22:32
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	34	$141	294	294	+0	Yes	-$4	05-13 20:09
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	68	$133	124	124	+0	cancelled	-$1	05-18 18:24
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	83	$129	499	499	+0	Yes	-$4	05-14 03:56
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	7	$120	62	61	+1	Gen.G	+$1	05-24 08:37
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	7	$115	71	47	+23	Atlanta Braves	+$0	05-22 00:55
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic	5	$113	67	50	+17	Viktorija Golubic	+$3	05-25 14:41
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	104	$111	515	515	+0	No	-$5	05-21 14:20
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	17	$105	120	120	+0	No	-$1	05-10 14:39
Roland Garros WTA: Katie Volynets vs Clara Burel	9	$105	54	54	+0	Katie Volynets	+$2	05-24 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-22 19:09:33	Will OGC Nice win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x5e0103…
08-22 19:09:31	Will OGC Nice win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x238b2e…
08-22 19:08:36	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x1974d2…
08-22 19:08:10	Will Lille OSC win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x50a423…
08-22 19:07:51	Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1d896f…
08-22 19:06:12	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf0ac07…
08-22 14:26:07	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-08-22?	Yes	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x791380…
07-09 21:51:53	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x14ed06…
07-09 09:09:56	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x990e96…
06-23 18:30:28	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	1,504	0¢	$2	0x11983f…
06-22 20:11:11	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x9de203…
06-22 20:11:10	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0x436d5d…
06-22 20:11:08	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x4f5dca…
06-18 11:02:31	Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	110	0¢	$0	0xa0dea5…
06-17 20:53:22	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x6b4d5b…
06-17 18:44:01	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xbfb35d…
06-09 18:52:03	will serena williams win return doubles match at hsbc championships 20260609151543890	No	BUY	611	0¢	$1	0xe439de…
06-09 17:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 9?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x9d2e2c…
06-09 17:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 9?	No	BUY	1,100	0¢	$1	0x0e642f…
06-09 15:21:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 9?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1a07c3…
06-08 16:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x876a4c…
06-08 16:21:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x5349c8…
06-08 16:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	No	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xc6afbc…
06-08 15:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	No	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xd6e4ae…
06-08 15:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	No	SELL	214	0¢	$0	0x3b92b2…
06-08 14:44:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?	No	SELL	161	0¢	$0	0x38f7dc…
06-08 14:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8?	No	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x2c78e0…
06-08 14:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x038bda…
06-08 13:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?	No	SELL	32	0¢	$0	0xaa4330…
06-08 13:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?	No	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0xc7497a…
06-08 13:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xca742d…
06-08 13:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	No	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xdec1cc…
06-08 13:10:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	No	SELL	181	0¢	$0	0xece7fc…
06-08 13:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?	No	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0xde722a…
06-08 13:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x92942c…
06-08 13:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x6ce77d…
06-08 13:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0xc0aea9…
06-08 12:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8?	No	SELL	988	0¢	$1	0x5d06c7…
06-08 12:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	No	SELL	97	0¢	$0	0x06713f…
06-08 12:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?	No	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x8529ed…
06-08 12:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?	No	SELL	68	0¢	$0	0x23b63b…
06-08 12:00:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3d4372…
06-08 11:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?	No	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x9fa85d…
06-08 11:52:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xc2ec3b…
06-08 11:45:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?	No	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xcbeda4…
06-08 11:40:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?	No	SELL	223	0¢	$0	0xd033b8…
06-08 11:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x150d62…
06-08 11:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	No	BUY	88	0¢	$0	0xd77d12…
06-08 11:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xe16e3f…
06-08 11:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	No	BUY	70	0¢	$0	0xbd6bc3…
06-08 11:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	No	BUY	642	0¢	$1	0x79e1dd…
06-08 11:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?	No	BUY	135	0¢	$0	0x3637d6…
06-08 11:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?	No	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x0948b1…
06-08 11:13:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xff122c…
06-08 11:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x5078d6…
06-08 11:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?	No	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x7935d0…
06-08 11:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?	No	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x427502…
06-08 11:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?	No	BUY	525	0¢	$1	0x05027d…
06-08 11:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xc69e2a…
06-08 11:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xafa327…
06-08 11:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 8?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x91dbcd…
06-08 11:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x40256d…
06-08 11:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 8?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3a917f…
06-08 11:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 8?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x0c1af8…
06-08 11:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 8?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0d8677…
06-08 11:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 8?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe93e03…
06-06 17:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?	No	SELL	206	0¢	$0	0xdaf732…
06-06 17:25:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2449c1…
06-06 17:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	206	0¢	$0	0xef6c55…
06-06 17:20:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?	No	SELL	841	0¢	$1	0xc8db9e…
06-06 17:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?	No	SELL	206	0¢	$0	0xbb45bb…
06-06 17:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	206	0¢	$0	0xe01836…
06-06 17:18:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?	No	BUY	841	0¢	$1	0x427372…
06-06 17:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 6?	No	SELL	256	0¢	$0	0xf5227d…
06-06 17:04:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?	No	SELL	917	0¢	$1	0x096a98…
06-06 17:04:25	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?	No	SELL	307	0¢	$0	0x1562f8…
06-06 17:04:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?	No	SELL	11	0¢	$0	0x423b58…
06-06 17:03:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1e9491…
06-06 17:01:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x34f84f…
06-06 16:57:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?	No	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0xfa3377…
06-06 16:57:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?	No	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x286b01…
06-06 16:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x260af1…
06-06 16:26:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x334166…
06-06 16:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	312	0¢	$0	0x64973c…
06-06 16:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 6?	No	BUY	256	0¢	$0	0xc8565d…
06-06 16:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x932fd6…
06-06 16:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd6bb4e…
06-06 16:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa5c71b…
06-06 16:21:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1c0b40…
06-06 16:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C or below on June 6?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa1f94a…
06-06 16:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x74429b…
06-06 16:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 6?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5e6462…
06-06 05:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 6?	No	BUY	713	0¢	$1	0xb5ff76…
06-06 05:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 6?	No	BUY	287	0¢	$0	0xb5abc4…
06-05 21:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 68°F or higher on June 5?	No	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x0648e4…
06-05 15:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xdea36a…
06-05 15:05:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?	No	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x047a20…
06-05 15:02:22	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?	No	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0xeac9bd…
06-05 14:58:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc30da5…
06-05 14:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xea9488…