Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.59K

Unrealized P&L

-$78

Hit rate

94.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$170.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.86K

Open exposure

$59.2K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 09-20 12:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

81% 75% +$2,225

Other

18% 76% +$1,240

Crypto

1% 0% -$1,668

Sports

0% 33% -$206

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+54,232	$51,520	96¢	$51.9K	+$353	09-20 12:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-7,500	-$6,750	96¢	$-7196	-$446	06-21 14:16
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	-159	-$132	73¢	$-116	+$16	08-19 03:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	22	$75.9K	77,734	0	+77,734	No	+$1,867	03-17 02:05
Trump out as President before 2027?	2	$51.5K	54,232	0	+54,232	open	—	09-20 12:32
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	9	$16.2K	11,926	11,926	+0	Yes	+$2,042	01-31 00:25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$6.8K	0	7,500	-7,500	open	—	06-21 14:16
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$4.4K	2,427	2,427	+0	No	+$422	04-02 00:57
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$4.3K	3,054	3,054	+0	Yes	+$260	03-27 10:34
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$2.6K	2,349	2,349	+0	No	-$1,449	02-13 13:10
will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	5	$1.5K	902	902	+0	No	+$218	02-14 00:45
will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 321 977 231 512 671 595	2	$1.4K	728	728	+0	No	+$44	02-14 00:45
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$1.1K	3,531	3,531	+0	No	-$875	03-27 10:34
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$1000	3,279	0	+3,279	Yes	-$1,000	05-11 01:12
will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	3	$774	400	400	+0	No	+$18	01-30 05:41
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	1	$500	893	0	+893	Yes	+$393	04-02 01:01
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$500	595	0	+595	No	+$95	03-05 08:09
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 131 166 287 285 292 389	2	$496	417	417	+0	No	+$296	02-14 00:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	1	$206	242	0	+242	Yes	-$206	02-10 14:01
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$200	881	0	+881	No	-$200	07-15 10:03
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	2	$200	1,357	0	+1,357	No	-$200	02-06 02:35
moltbook shutdown by feb 28	2	$192	100	100	+0	No	+$6	02-24 05:38
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	1	$132	0	159	-159	open	—	08-19 03:29
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	1	$125	0	126	-126	No	-$1	06-21 14:21
will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	1	$100	2,123	0	+2,123	No	-$100	02-06 10:05
will solana reach 120 in february 2026	1	$100	588	0	+588	No	-$100	02-06 10:00
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	1	$100	104	0	+104	No	+$4	01-30 15:33
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	1	$100	116	0	+116	Yes	+$16	03-16 01:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$100	122	0	+122	No	+$22	04-14 09:58
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$96	100	0	+100	No	+$4	06-21 14:25
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	1	$87	100	0	+100	No	+$13	02-02 03:35
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$42	500	500	+0	Yes	-$38	01-30 12:03
will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	2	$40	49	0	+49	Yes	-$40	02-05 10:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 12:32:27	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	24,232	95¢	$23,020	0xa8f9f8…
08-19 03:40:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	30,000	95¢	$28,500	0xde5496…
08-19 03:29:58	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	SELL	159	83¢	$132	0x1b2ac6…
07-15 10:03:16	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	881	23¢	$200	0x37dd1e…
07-03 23:10:26	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x99a7f5…
07-03 15:27:07	Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x5ee44d…
07-03 15:23:20	Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xc24fc8…
06-21 14:25:56	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x6b3ecb…
06-21 14:21:49	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	126	99¢	$125	0x3cac1a…
06-21 14:16:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	7,500	90¢	$6,750	0xe48be3…
05-11 01:12:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,279	30¢	$1,000	0x1bdcc4…
04-14 09:58:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x5449fb…
04-02 01:02:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x0ad6ab…
04-02 01:01:45	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	BUY	893	56¢	$500	0xa06bcd…
04-02 00:57:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	2,427	100¢	$2,422	0xea1de5…
03-27 10:34:39	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	3,054	74¢	$2,260	0xc0193f…
03-27 10:34:09	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	3,531	4¢	$125	0xbfafb8…
03-24 15:55:57	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,054	65¢	$2,000	0x04e75b…
03-24 15:55:29	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3,531	28¢	$1,000	0x43672a…
03-23 11:25:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1,111	90¢	$1,000	0xfbf7e5…
03-17 02:05:59	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x61665f…
03-17 01:47:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1,316	76¢	$1,000	0x1e5931…
03-16 01:43:03	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xe4628d…
03-10 04:04:49	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	10,132	99¢	$10,000	0xd0375f…
03-05 08:09:27	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0x820827…
03-04 12:25:25	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	2,043	98¢	$2,000	0xbf22a3…
03-03 15:36:01	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	72	97¢	$70	0x902112…
03-03 15:35:11	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	411	97¢	$400	0x5dbe06…
02-24 05:38:28	moltbook shutdown by feb 28	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x6e6761…
02-24 05:36:08	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	5,112	98¢	$5,000	0xa857c4…
02-20 07:20:30	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	3,083	97¢	$3,000	0x72a7c4…
02-18 06:38:12	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	30,801	97¢	$30,000	0xa63365…
02-18 06:37:58	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1,439	97¢	$1,400	0xd4a38c…
02-18 03:27:40	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1,028	97¢	$1,000	0x7a9d3a…
02-18 03:24:42	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	9,250	97¢	$9,000	0x478c06…
02-18 03:22:50	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x8be2f6…
02-18 03:20:40	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1,852	97¢	$1,800	0x4b9dbd…
02-14 00:45:11	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	No	SELL	902	95¢	$858	0x2632d4…
02-14 00:45:03	will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 321 977 231 512 671 595	No	SELL	728	98¢	$714	0x145828…
02-14 00:44:43	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 131 166 287 285 292 389	No	SELL	417	95¢	$396	0xcffb37…
02-13 13:12:51	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	3,487	97¢	$3,400	0x0c8928…
02-13 13:10:41	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	SELL	2,349	24¢	$552	0x17d0f9…
02-12 15:32:43	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	820	98¢	$800	0x8f7982…
02-12 15:31:35	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 131 166 287 285 292 389	No	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xf90615…
02-12 15:30:57	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	769	91¢	$700	0x653603…
02-12 09:49:45	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1,005	98¢	$980	0xa53496…
02-12 09:49:33	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	103	98¢	$100	0x7e7839…
02-12 01:50:17	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	1,446	83¢	$1,200	0x1d7f21…
02-12 01:49:47	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	3,183	97¢	$3,100	0x6da96e…
02-12 01:47:39	will the government shutdown last 30 days or more 321 977 231 512 671 595	No	BUY	728	92¢	$670	0xecfb30…
02-12 01:47:07	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	No	BUY	338	59¢	$200	0x6eac04…
02-11 14:40:27	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	No	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x17dcef…
02-11 14:39:55	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0xbdfc1b…
02-11 14:39:35	will the government shutdown last 14 days or more 222 434 555 498 766	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0x502a3f…
02-11 14:30:23	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x830f1a…
02-10 14:01:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	242	85¢	$206	0x87abd6…
02-06 10:05:55	will ethereum reach 3000 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,123	5¢	$100	0x7801df…
02-06 10:00:33	will solana reach 120 in february 2026	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x55805b…
02-06 02:35:09	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0xc110c8…
02-06 02:02:17	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0xdf9627…
02-05 10:13:11	will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0x84b66c…
02-05 10:12:51	will bitcoin reach 110k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0xcd4e1b…
02-05 10:12:09	will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	No	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0xd4ca44…
02-04 02:00:30	will bitcoin reach 120k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	480	0¢	$2	0xd13a88…
02-04 01:51:02	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3ed593…
02-03 07:47:02	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	2,062	97¢	$2,000	0xd31cf4…
02-03 07:30:40	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	136	97¢	$132	0x49378b…
02-03 04:08:42	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x6d22cb…
02-02 13:07:34	will bitcoin dip to 60k in february 2026 394 616	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x755bc7…
02-02 03:43:24	moltbook shutdown by feb 28	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x549c3c…
02-02 03:36:36	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	500	97¢	$485	0xc7d1e4…
02-02 03:35:00	Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x85eb6c…
01-31 00:25:46	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	5,031	93¢	$4,679	0x3a939a…
01-30 15:34:06	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xf722ab…
01-30 15:33:10	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xbf77e7…
01-30 15:31:46	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x591fae…
01-30 15:20:56	will gold gc hit low 4900 by end of february 837 718 553 296 868 122 264 951 762	Yes	SELL	24	77¢	$18	0x83b1b7…
01-30 15:19:46	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	1,677	76¢	$1,275	0x391542…
01-30 12:03:56	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x642a29…
01-30 05:41:10	will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	No	SELL	400	99¢	$396	0xf7a805…
01-30 04:17:56	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	42	62¢	$26	0xd130a4…
01-30 04:17:26	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	2,194	62¢	$1,360	0xdc71ad…
01-30 04:12:26	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	2,982	60¢	$1,802	0x473bec…
01-30 03:06:56	will gold gc hit low 4900 by end of february 837 718 553 296 868 122 264 951 762	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xfab9a6…
01-30 03:05:56	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0xd3ff15…
01-30 02:41:06	si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x83bff7…
01-30 01:33:44	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	3,137	64¢	$2,000	0x43ded9…
01-30 01:32:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	5,085	59¢	$3,000	0x11644c…
01-30 01:31:58	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	3,448	58¢	$2,000	0x686184…
01-30 00:33:36	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x80b5de…
01-26 05:37:20	will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	No	BUY	300	94¢	$284	0x810f66…
01-26 05:36:38	will the government shutdown last 60 days or more 286 461 927 735 666	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x2dffbb…