Past-Carboxyl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9.98K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.66K

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

Trades

386

lifetime

Volume

$502.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.30K

Open exposure

$2.11K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 05-28 16:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Politics

63% 60% +$17,758

Other

29% 50% -$10,534

Sports

8% 71% +$2,732

Tech

0% 100% +$43

Crypto

0% 0% -$20

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-28).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		-11,429	-$3,771	18¢	$-2114	+$1,657	04-28 16:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	56	$159.7K	107,141	107,126	+15	Yes	+$21,153	04-05 13:37
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	4	$33.4K	17,757	17,757	+0	No	+$607	03-11 16:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$24.1K	16,409	16,409	+0	No	+$1,675	03-23 12:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	7	$22.1K	17,717	17,539	+178	Yes	-$4,415	04-14 18:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	7	$17.3K	22,063	2,474	+19,589	Yes	-$14,731	04-06 12:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	1	$17.1K	20,805	0	+20,805	No	+$3,701	04-15 16:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$15.9K	9,188	8,545	+643	Yes	+$1,613	04-15 16:09
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$14.7K	13,683	13,683	+0	Yes	-$4,090	03-23 12:55
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	18	$12.8K	19,570	0	+19,570	Yes	+$6,757	02-19 02:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	25	$10.7K	8,511	8,511	+0	Yes	+$617	04-01 02:35
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	7	$10.5K	10,202	10,202	+0	No	-$970	03-18 22:13
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	8	$9.8K	8,411	8,411	+0	No	-$2,675	03-20 23:36
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$9.6K	9,406	9,406	+0	No	-$388	05-19 19:05
will the houston rockets win more than 52pt5 regular season games in 202526	3	$9.4K	10,373	0	+10,373	No	+$934	04-06 16:51
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$8.1K	6,913	3,253	+3,660	Yes	+$562	03-24 13:14
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	1	$6.6K	10,000	0	+10,000	Yes	-$6,600	04-05 13:56
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	7	$6.5K	11,646	0	+11,646	Yes	+$5,106	02-19 20:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	2	$5.5K	13,886	13,886	+0	No	-$2,474	04-08 01:36
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	8	$5.3K	5,175	1,035	+4,140	Yes	+$857	04-12 15:02
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$4.9K	2,516	2,516	+0	No	+$42	01-26 17:33
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 460 479	2	$4.1K	2,180	2,180	+0	No	+$74	01-26 17:34
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$4.0K	2,208	2,208	+0	No	+$29	03-09 20:24
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$4.0K	2,778	2,778	+0	Yes	+$6	04-12 02:16
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	2	$4.0K	2,037	2,037	+0	No	+$6	01-30 22:22
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	2	$4.0K	2,222	2,222	+0	No	-$44	03-10 16:58
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$3.9K	4,007	4,007	+0	No	-$2,053	03-18 22:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$3.8K	0	11,429	-11,429	open	—	04-28 16:05
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.6K	29,001	29,001	+0	No	-$373	03-07 00:01
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	1	$3.0K	3,320	0	+3,320	No	+$320	04-05 13:40
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$3.0K	2,632	2,632	+0	Yes	+$957	02-28 14:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 16:56:36	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	SELL	674	73¢	$493	0x522066…
05-28 16:56:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,031	43¢	$443	0x35fd4e…
05-28 16:56:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,031	43¢	$443	0xee3a8b…
05-21 17:45:34	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	Yes	BUY	674	59¢	$400	0xba20af…
05-21 17:45:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,063	48¢	$1,000	0x2faec1…
05-19 19:05:25	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	9,406	49¢	$4,612	0x39afc3…
05-19 00:15:28	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	761	39¢	$300	0x1626b5…
04-29 03:14:16	Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Spurs	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x89ceb6…
04-28 16:05:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11,429	33¢	$3,771	0xcf3cdd…
04-26 21:54:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0xbcc7ff…
04-26 21:53:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	543	92¢	$500	0xa999b0…
04-26 21:53:42	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	263	95¢	$250	0x4f871b…
04-21 14:46:06	nba nyk atl 2026 04 23	Knicks	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0x396df5…
04-15 16:10:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	No	BUY	20,805	82¢	$17,104	0x3c4046…
04-15 16:09:50	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	8,545	99¢	$8,417	0x2e4add…
04-14 18:19:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	2,236	54¢	$1,204	0x96caf7…
04-14 16:45:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	2,149	44¢	$954	0x73e851…
04-14 16:45:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	13,155	51¢	$6,704	0x05c3ad…
04-12 15:07:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	151	84¢	$127	0x3086be…
04-12 15:02:55	military action against iran ends by april 30 2026 239	No	BUY	9,189	3¢	$300	0x397fa7…
04-12 15:02:47	military action against iran ends by june 30 2026	No	BUY	7,321	4¢	$300	0x4dda76…
04-12 15:02:39	military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	No	BUY	7,225	4¢	$300	0xfad850…
04-12 15:02:23	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	1,035	99¢	$1,027	0x2ffb4d…
04-12 14:07:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	6,259	85¢	$5,320	0x51f4a7…
04-12 14:07:19	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	BUY	4,537	7¢	$300	0x9a0b4a…
04-12 14:06:59	military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	No	BUY	5,407	6¢	$300	0xb6fe1e…
04-12 13:12:41	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	BUY	6,085	5¢	$300	0xed66e4…
04-12 13:12:03	military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	No	BUY	10,071	3¢	$300	0x87c157…
04-12 13:11:37	military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	No	BUY	8,282	2¢	$200	0x430a2c…
04-12 13:11:27	military action against iran ends by june 30 2026	No	BUY	16,176	2¢	$400	0xb6873a…
04-12 02:16:11	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	SELL	2,778	72¢	$2,006	0xda40d3…
04-12 02:15:57	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	747	53¢	$398	0x826ecb…
04-12 02:15:49	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	SELL	1,291	29¢	$374	0xd786c8…
04-12 02:15:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	2,433	48¢	$1,159	0xe7f3fb…
04-11 17:07:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	2,433	62¢	$1,500	0xbec708…
04-11 14:54:39	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1,770	85¢	$1,500	0xbfec99…
04-11 14:54:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	2,778	72¢	$2,000	0xc67e2e…
04-11 14:50:17	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	2,778	72¢	$2,000	0xff3566…
04-11 14:47:43	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	747	67¢	$500	0x2961f2…
04-11 14:47:01	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	1,291	39¢	$500	0xb4914c…
04-09 19:57:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	2,701	69¢	$1,877	0x42f78d…
04-09 17:26:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	3,416	59¢	$2,000	0x10eed6…
04-09 16:31:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	1,600	62¢	$1,000	0x019926…
04-08 01:36:41	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,230	14¢	$168	0x91aeed…
04-08 01:36:35	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	13,886	11¢	$1,526	0x0a68c9…
04-06 16:51:05	will the houston rockets win more than 52pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	373	92¢	$342	0x26b1d1…
04-06 16:48:29	Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,230	41¢	$500	0x8d3f85…
04-06 16:47:11	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13,886	29¢	$4,000	0xf65a40…
04-06 16:30:49	will the houston rockets win more than 52pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	9,701	91¢	$8,828	0x5f840d…
04-06 12:52:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x0a887a…
04-06 12:51:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	9,589	73¢	$7,000	0x81a105…
04-05 22:12:45	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	9,406	53¢	$5,000	0x7500d9…
04-05 16:43:55	will the minnesota timberwolves win more than 49pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	32	67¢	$21	0x250a2f…
04-05 13:59:15	will the minnesota timberwolves win more than 49pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5a584a…
04-05 13:58:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	6,670	80¢	$5,336	0xcc9b54…
04-05 13:57:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	10,000	84¢	$8,400	0x72e1f2…
04-05 13:57:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd73045…
04-05 13:56:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	1,498	80¢	$1,199	0x207498…
04-05 13:56:29	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	10,000	66¢	$6,600	0x1a6ebc…
04-05 13:55:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	1,826	80¢	$1,461	0x7f51e8…
04-05 13:45:11	will the houston rockets win more than 52pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	299	90¢	$269	0x47222c…
04-05 13:44:35	will the minnesota timberwolves win more than 49pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x7d9103…
04-05 13:44:33	will the minnesota timberwolves win more than 49pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xe5301e…
04-05 13:44:29	will the minnesota timberwolves win more than 49pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x818577…
04-05 13:44:25	will the minnesota timberwolves win more than 49pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xbf088d…
04-05 13:44:23	will the minnesota timberwolves win more than 49pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xe491fe…
04-05 13:44:19	will the minnesota timberwolves win more than 49pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x84f93c…
04-05 13:44:15	will the minnesota timberwolves win more than 49pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x817faf…
04-05 13:44:13	will the minnesota timberwolves win more than 49pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xdba3d4…
04-05 13:44:13	will the minnesota timberwolves win more than 49pt5 regular season games in 202526	No	BUY	167	61¢	$102	0xb24274…
04-05 13:40:23	Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	3,320	90¢	$3,000	0xe3cba3…
04-05 13:37:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	58,313	100¢	$58,110	0xb3b313…
04-03 15:50:11	Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	1,411	10¢	$140	0xcceb5a…
04-02 00:45:33	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	19,744	66¢	$13,007	0x0070fe…
04-01 16:08:03	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	38,584	65¢	$25,000	0xb9b5f2…
04-01 02:35:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	41	66¢	$27	0x15cd14…
04-01 01:56:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	25	66¢	$16	0xb5b416…
04-01 01:34:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	451	66¢	$298	0xf0651e…
04-01 01:33:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x3b083a…
04-01 01:33:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xe356b2…
04-01 01:33:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x2fec69…
04-01 01:26:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	7,103	66¢	$4,688	0xc09967…
03-31 23:14:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xa0b286…
03-31 23:14:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x4b2cfe…
03-31 23:13:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	40	66¢	$26	0x379786…
03-31 23:06:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x9b0cf0…
03-31 22:44:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0xdb3947…
03-31 22:43:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x599813…
03-31 22:34:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0x8f6dbf…
03-31 22:22:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	73	66¢	$48	0xc4d509…
03-31 22:12:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	76	66¢	$50	0xc0b3d6…
03-31 22:11:41	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12,157	64¢	$7,789	0x4ea6ca…
03-31 22:11:19	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12,157	65¢	$7,846	0x782134…
03-31 22:07:09	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	23	67¢	$16	0x79b57e…
03-31 22:02:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	337	67¢	$226	0x73592d…
03-31 22:01:29	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	70	67¢	$47	0x65c183…
03-31 21:21:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	31	71¢	$22	0xc985a7…
03-31 21:11:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	Yes	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x3c340c…
03-31 21:05:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21,396	68¢	$14,549	0x6445dd…
03-31 21:05:49	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x884e69…