Gracious-Acoustics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.08K

Unrealized P&L

-$814

Hit rate

82.5%

Resolved

Trades

531

lifetime

Volume

$101.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$191

Open exposure

$1.89K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 08-21 08:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 63% +$334

Other

13% 56% +$2,358

Tech

4% 100% +$225

Politics

2% 100% +$161

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No		-2,005	-$1,078	94¢	$-1891	-$814	05-15 12:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	31	$13.3K	18,252	18,252	+0	open	—	08-20 07:38
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	35	$6.2K	4,499	3,781	+718	No	+$22	05-01 07:16
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	5	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$86	02-23 15:28
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	16	$5.6K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$153	04-29 07:51
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$4.1K	2,500	2,000	+500	No	+$185	03-04 16:18
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	29	$4.1K	2,000	2,438	-438	Yes	+$39	03-06 16:37
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	12	$3.4K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$1,458	05-01 00:44
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$3.1K	2,000	1,574	+426	No	+$51	03-22 10:10
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	3	$2.7K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$38	04-26 05:36
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?	15	$2.2K	1,437	1,437	+0	No	+$76	04-29 23:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	9	$2.1K	2,221	2,221	+0	open	—	08-21 08:36
Tria FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$2.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$59	02-04 15:08
Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch?	19	$2.1K	1,643	1,643	+0	No	+$110	02-11 14:19
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	10	$2.1K	1,533	1,333	+200	No	-$143	03-05 13:35
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,544	772	+772	Yes	+$208	04-23 05:48
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	10	$1.9K	2,000	1,750	+250	Yes	-$167	02-24 11:14
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$137	02-02 20:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$1.8K	2,850	850	+2,000	No	-$403	06-02 13:40
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	1	$1.8K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$184	06-10 17:06
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$161	06-17 19:43
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$120	02-01 13:55
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?	21	$1.7K	1,223	1,223	+0	Yes	+$261	05-05 17:51
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	3	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$40	06-12 15:31
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	20	$1.6K	2,770	3,170	-400	Yes	-$247	04-21 12:35
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	5	$1.6K	880	880	-0	No	+$92	02-03 08:17
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	12	$1.4K	1,396	1,147	+249	Yes	-$88	04-13 15:16
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$1.3K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$245	03-19 22:29
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	14	$1.2K	883	881	+2	No	+$14	05-26 13:46
Fabric FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$1.1K	1,143	0	+1,143	No	+$49	02-28 02:38
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	8	$1.1K	0	2,005	-2,005	open	—	05-15 12:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 08:36:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	690	24¢	$166	0xea2905…
08-21 08:30:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	24¢	$16	0x71fc7c…
08-21 08:28:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	256	24¢	$61	0x04cb33…
08-20 07:38:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,027	18¢	$365	0xb4bd0e…
08-20 07:02:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$1	0x57f167…
08-20 06:12:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	697	18¢	$125	0x701917…
08-20 03:38:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	186	18¢	$34	0x533a66…
08-19 21:17:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0xa59be8…
08-19 21:17:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,365	18¢	$246	0xc25b09…
08-12 09:29:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	22¢	$110	0xb112f1…
08-05 21:52:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	596	56¢	$334	0xc3212f…
08-04 19:29:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	612	55¢	$338	0xa33d34…
08-01 22:27:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	533	55¢	$293	0x2f1477…
08-01 21:04:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	212	55¢	$117	0x10d7b7…
08-01 17:12:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	255	55¢	$140	0x4ac540…
07-28 13:44:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,221	55¢	$671	0x970b12…
07-23 19:38:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,979	26¢	$515	0xcf6e56…
07-16 09:08:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	23¢	$457	0xb24758…
07-15 13:15:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,059	25¢	$515	0x2e9c67…
07-14 17:52:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	29¢	$9	0x40cdae…
07-14 15:37:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	29¢	$28	0x6df341…
07-06 21:16:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	282	34¢	$96	0x822f8c…
07-06 17:21:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xe69c73…
07-06 16:16:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,885	35¢	$1,010	0xcf2d94…
07-04 16:38:26	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	36¢	$720	0x56c857…
07-02 13:45:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	40¢	$79	0xbb162a…
07-02 11:22:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	40¢	$13	0xb8ad89…
07-02 09:09:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,695	40¢	$1,078	0xbea0d9…
07-02 09:00:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x9afee8…
07-02 08:44:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,113	40¢	$445	0x819154…
07-01 05:01:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	199	44¢	$87	0xa94a3d…
06-30 18:02:07	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	169	57¢	$96	0x3eeaef…
06-30 18:00:40	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	42	57¢	$24	0x8cf74d…
06-30 17:52:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,672	46¢	$1,229	0xb97f48…
06-30 17:49:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	760	46¢	$350	0x3bf17a…
06-30 17:47:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,592	44¢	$701	0x8af2a3…
06-30 17:02:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,992	46¢	$1,376	0xe06465…
06-30 14:22:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,784	46¢	$3,121	0x493f28…
06-30 13:46:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4f776e…
06-30 13:38:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x496b7f…
06-30 13:38:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	710	46¢	$327	0x8389df…
06-30 13:35:29	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	SELL	79	57¢	$45	0x6e7075…
06-29 20:57:20	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	87	58¢	$50	0x5b4e1b…
06-29 19:42:13	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	372	58¢	$216	0x7971b0…
06-29 19:42:02	over 5m committed to the laso finance public sale	Yes	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0xa3bc94…
06-23 11:19:50	Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	36	12¢	$4	0x4ac521…
06-23 11:19:16	Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0x0b5515…
06-23 06:07:19	Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	332	85¢	$282	0xf41771…
06-23 02:30:41	Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x40020e…
06-23 02:25:41	Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	82¢	$123	0x5153a6…
06-23 02:20:50	Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	82¢	$33	0x121c4e…
06-22 22:16:32	Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0xfe9a82…
06-22 15:17:14	Arcium FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	308	86¢	$265	0x3008a5…
06-22 14:41:55	Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	57¢	$23	0x707c5f…
06-22 14:29:13	Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	260	65¢	$168	0xa8fe8e…
06-17 19:43:55	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$499	0x362b19…
06-15 18:12:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	500	97¢	$484	0xd72574…
06-14 23:16:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x633f99…
06-14 23:16:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	800	82¢	$658	0xa519bf…
06-12 15:51:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	327	71¢	$232	0xdf081b…
06-12 15:31:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	1,000	86¢	$860	0x0ac529…
06-12 15:31:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	SELL	173	63¢	$109	0xaf5124…
06-12 04:06:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	500	68¢	$340	0x1e84a8…
06-11 22:51:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0x8fd02c…
06-10 17:24:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x8d7db3…
06-10 17:06:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	2,000	91¢	$1,816	0x27e0dd…
06-09 03:10:55	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xb03c89…
06-08 19:30:12	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	316	100¢	$315	0x9dbac7…
06-03 22:14:37	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x1ae9aa…
06-02 16:11:18	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	14	95¢	$13	0x8cb192…
06-02 15:06:33	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0xc4a30f…
06-02 13:40:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0xc208a6…
06-02 04:43:32	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x6261dd…
06-01 20:10:12	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0x306e8c…
06-01 17:56:52	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x8d81fe…
06-01 14:04:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	58¢	$87	0xcb8ac9…
06-01 12:56:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	70¢	$281	0xfb7fa1…
06-01 12:31:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	82¢	$329	0xc8e1e0…
06-01 12:24:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	70¢	$281	0xa013f2…
06-01 12:16:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	450	84¢	$379	0xbb468b…
06-01 12:10:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	70¢	$351	0x98a85e…
06-01 12:05:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf9fc90…
06-01 12:05:25	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	195	41¢	$80	0x232cdb…
06-01 10:03:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	170	27¢	$46	0xc38ddc…
06-01 09:34:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3983ca…
06-01 09:34:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x8fd2d8…
06-01 09:34:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0xfe2de9…
06-01 09:27:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xae74f0…
06-01 09:27:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$19	0x094803…
06-01 09:23:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xa8b84e…
06-01 09:23:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	27¢	$22	0xe2e83b…
06-01 09:21:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xe565ab…
06-01 09:21:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd3219b…
06-01 09:21:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x60d13b…
06-01 04:37:55	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xf26f8b…
05-31 13:38:32	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf5dd3d…
05-30 17:45:24	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	SELL	100	19¢	$19	0xff1d46…
05-30 16:11:47	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xcdede7…
05-28 16:12:09	Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?	Yes	BUY	500	81¢	$405	0x67c937…
05-26 13:46:25	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	168	76¢	$128	0xa3a257…