Realized P&L
-$59.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$449
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
112
Trades
1,196
lifetime
Volume
$754.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$630
Open exposure
$26
2 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 07-10 16:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Politics
45%
55%
+$13,157
Sports
28%
68%
-$6,489
Crypto
15%
20%
-$73,999
Other
11%
56%
+$7,834
Tech
0%
0%
-$191
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-10).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | +1,186 | $100 | 2¢ | $26 | -$74 | 04-30 18:06 | |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | No | +0 | -$523 | 97¢ | $0 | +$523 | 07-10 16:57 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nfl sea ne 2026 02 08 | 110 | $79.0K | 95,235 | 95,235 | +0 | Seahawks | +$861 | 02-09 02:46 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 73 | $75.1K | 90,906 | 12,183 | +78,723 | No | -$65,681 | 06-01 12:34 |
| nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 | 68 | $57.6K | 220,375 | 220,375 | +0 | Knicks | -$351 | 06-11 02:34 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? | 3 | $40.0K | 50,176 | 0 | +50,176 | Yes | +$10,176 | 02-27 19:23 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 39 | $30.0K | 54,588 | 54,588 | +0 | Yes | +$18,970 | 04-07 23:46 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | 3 | $29.2K | 23,233 | 23,233 | +0 | Yes | +$17,210 | 05-09 11:38 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026 | 4 | $27.8K | 27,741 | 3,129 | +24,612 | No | +$750 | 04-21 16:52 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 23 | $26.9K | 19,750 | 19,750 | +0 | Yes | -$1,808 | 05-30 15:57 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026 | 1 | $25.0K | 25,050 | 0 | +25,050 | No | +$50 | 04-23 16:59 |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | 1 | $22.2K | 25,954 | 0 | +25,954 | No | -$22,222 | 05-26 14:45 |
| us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026 | 11 | $21.5K | 14,162 | 14,162 | +0 | No | -$57 | 04-24 15:50 |
| Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? | 45 | $20.6K | 10,930 | 10,930 | +0 | No | +$602 | 05-23 14:12 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? | 2 | $20.2K | 20,877 | 0 | +20,877 | No | +$685 | 05-26 00:28 |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May? | 2 | $19.6K | 19,780 | 0 | +19,780 | Yes | +$161 | 05-16 15:13 |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31? | 27 | $17.3K | 18,832 | 5,337 | +13,495 | Yes | +$5,983 | 05-29 17:18 |
| will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show | 2 | $16.5K | 16,528 | 0 | +16,528 | Yes | +$17 | 02-09 01:27 |
| will anthropic run an ad during super bowl lx | 3 | $15.1K | 15,123 | 0 | +15,123 | Yes | +$22 | 02-09 02:18 |
| spx opens up or down on february 9 2026 | 8 | $13.5K | 13,943 | 2,014 | +11,929 | Down | -$4 | 02-09 14:20 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? | 6 | $13.2K | 20,679 | 0 | +20,679 | Yes | +$2,905 | 02-27 19:00 |
| will travis scott perform during the super bowl lx halftime show | 7 | $9.8K | 4,922 | 4,922 | +0 | No | -$10 | 02-09 01:37 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | 60 | $8.9K | 21,866 | 21,866 | +0 | No | -$1,989 | 04-24 15:50 |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? | 4 | $8.7K | 8,837 | 0 | +8,837 | No | +$172 | 05-09 20:47 |
| Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026? | 1 | $8.2K | 8,183 | 0 | +8,183 | Yes | +$28 | 05-16 15:12 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 70 | $8.0K | 40,000 | 0 | +40,000 | No | -$8,000 | 06-12 05:28 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026? | 8 | $7.6K | 7,675 | 7,675 | +0 | No | -$2,405 | 04-24 17:16 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | 84 | $7.5K | 16,081 | 6,081 | +10,000 | Spurs | +$554 | 05-31 02:29 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 47 | $7.0K | 6,977 | 6,977 | +0 | No | +$1,047 | 05-30 08:27 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | 3 | $6.8K | 12,363 | 12,363 | +0 | No | -$1,156 | 05-28 21:09 |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | 14 | $6.5K | 5,682 | 5,682 | +0 | open | — | 07-10 16:57 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? | 2 | $6.4K | 8,038 | 0 | +8,038 | Yes | -$6,426 | 02-27 19:23 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||