Profitable-Guess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 06-08 06:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 100% +$3

Other

4% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	1	$363	363	0	+363	open	—	05-28 04:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	1	$363	363	0	+363	open	—	05-29 14:45
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	1	$363	363	0	+363	open	—	06-01 03:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	1	$363	363	0	+363	open	—	06-03 07:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	1	$361	361	0	+361	open	—	05-25 14:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	1	$359	360	0	+360	open	—	05-26 09:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	1	$355	355	0	+355	open	—	05-22 02:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	3	$353	354	0	+354	open	—	05-21 08:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	1	$353	353	0	+353	open	—	05-19 13:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	1	$352	353	0	+353	open	—	05-20 05:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	1	$349	350	0	+350	open	—	05-23 07:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	2	$349	350	0	+350	open	—	05-23 18:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	1	$348	349	0	+349	open	—	05-16 04:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	1	$348	349	0	+349	open	—	05-15 10:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$347	347	0	+347	open	—	05-14 02:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	1	$346	350	0	+350	open	—	05-17 17:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	1	$346	347	0	+347	Yes	+$1	05-13 08:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	1	$346	346	0	+346	Yes	+$0	05-12 00:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	1	$345	346	0	+346	No	+$1	05-11 02:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	1	$344	345	0	+345	Yes	+$1	05-10 06:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	1	$344	344	0	+344	open	—	05-04 03:59
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	2	$342	343	0	+343	open	—	05-01 03:44
bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	1	$300	301	0	+301	open	—	06-08 06:14
bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	1	$300	300	0	+300	open	—	06-06 04:53
bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	1	$299	300	0	+300	open	—	06-07 14:27
bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	1	$298	300	0	+300	open	—	06-04 14:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	2	$243	243	0	+243	open	—	04-30 14:15
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$228	120	120	+0	open	—	05-25 13:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	1	$227	227	0	+227	Yes	+$0	05-08 14:40
bitcoin above 76k on april 17	2	$200	101	101	+0	open	—	04-17 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 06:14:37	bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0x003979…
06-07 14:27:37	bitcoin above 64k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0x78e353…
06-07 07:42:21	bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x24d6f6…
06-06 04:53:16	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x362e9f…
06-05 04:12:25	bitcoin above 78k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0x3078cf…
06-04 14:43:16	bitcoin above 72k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	300	100¢	$298	0xbaf7a1…
06-04 09:59:42	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x853b70…
06-03 07:52:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	363	100¢	$363	0x00e6b3…
06-01 03:18:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	363	100¢	$363	0xa65dfd…
05-29 14:45:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	363	100¢	$363	0x2a9529…
05-28 04:51:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	363	100¢	$363	0xb84505…
05-27 04:12:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1206a3…
05-27 04:07:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$61	0x49f498…
05-26 09:47:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	360	100¢	$359	0x894c5b…
05-25 14:42:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	361	100¢	$361	0xf340b4…
05-25 13:20:04	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	120	97¢	$116	0x72f2ea…
05-25 10:04:20	Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	120	93¢	$112	0x9aedcc…
05-23 18:47:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0xad7f02…
05-23 18:46:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xe619e2…
05-23 07:16:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	350	100¢	$349	0x64a75c…
05-22 02:32:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	355	100¢	$355	0x023f8a…
05-21 08:44:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x9fcd98…
05-21 04:16:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x36aa58…
05-21 03:39:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x1c4b80…
05-20 05:10:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	353	100¢	$352	0xb87cb5…
05-19 13:35:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	353	100¢	$353	0x4646a7…
05-17 17:35:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	350	99¢	$346	0x8ddbad…
05-16 04:29:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	349	100¢	$348	0x80c3a4…
05-15 10:02:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	349	100¢	$348	0xae2683…
05-14 02:44:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	347	100¢	$347	0xfa3c9e…
05-13 08:12:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	347	100¢	$346	0xb123db…
05-12 00:02:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	346	100¢	$346	0xfffdf6…
05-11 02:41:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	346	100¢	$345	0x7210dd…
05-10 06:33:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	345	100¢	$344	0xa96615…
05-09 14:14:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xd113e8…
05-08 14:49:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	68	100¢	$67	0xe39454…
05-08 14:40:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	227	100¢	$227	0x1d5152…
05-08 14:39:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb94b71…
05-08 14:39:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1c77e1…
05-08 14:39:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb8d428…
05-08 14:39:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9cd291…
05-04 03:59:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	344	100¢	$344	0xaa4e7c…
05-01 03:44:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	258	100¢	$257	0xc23a5f…
05-01 03:27:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xef6df4…
04-30 14:15:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	231	100¢	$231	0x3b4055…
04-30 14:15:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x62f45a…
04-30 02:21:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x26df4b…
04-30 02:21:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x31b5f7…
04-29 12:49:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x336403…
04-28 15:19:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc93140…
04-26 15:07:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2e4029…
04-23 13:42:58	bitcoin above 74k on april 23	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x385eaa…
04-23 13:41:44	bitcoin above 74k on april 23	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xafc74f…
04-22 14:14:00	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x24171a…
04-21 14:58:30	bitcoin above 72k on april 21	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1372e4…
04-19 15:20:12	bitcoin above 74k on april 19	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x21f767…
04-19 13:59:02	bitcoin above 74k on april 19	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x600f8b…
04-18 15:05:52	bitcoin up or down on april 18 2026	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfa1db5…
04-17 15:09:24	bitcoin above 76k on april 17	Yes	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0x2b0230…
04-17 14:52:44	bitcoin above 76k on april 17	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xcda63d…
04-16 14:01:16	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x07d8ce…
04-15 15:01:26	bitcoin above 76k on april 15	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xf0da84…
04-15 15:01:08	bitcoin above 76k on april 15	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x34bdb0…
04-15 14:58:02	bitcoin above 76k on april 15	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x604fb4…
04-15 14:56:38	bitcoin above 76k on april 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7168f8…
04-14 13:30:27	bitcoin above 72k on april 14	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$99	0xf0b562…
03-05 17:27:21	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 140 159	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x89308a…
03-04 17:52:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4df319…
03-04 17:49:23	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 100 119	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x984497…
03-04 17:46:27	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 100 119	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x468b5f…
03-03 14:30:31	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x012300…
02-28 14:23:33	bitcoin above 68k on february 28	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xa32d60…
02-28 06:59:59	will opinion launch a token on march 5	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x848524…
02-20 15:06:40	bitcoin above 70k on february 20	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xc7ca45…
02-15 08:00:35	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 80 99	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xe5dc98…
02-13 21:20:09	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 120 139	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xb60ec8…
02-13 16:47:43	bitcoin above 68k on february 13	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x3faff5…
02-13 09:25:01	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xbb3e94…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502	50	$1.43K	2,952	06-08 05:53
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	49	$86.1K	1,829	06-03 06:54
Respectful-Clan 0x6e1d…d0fa	46	$846.0K	7,226	06-06 18:48
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	46	$453.1K	2,795	06-08 07:05
(anonymous) 0x86a2…73a8	46	$117.1K	8,908	06-08 09:11
Overlooked-Means 0xfdf3…2583	46	$71.5K	4,022	06-07 18:09
Imperturbable-Orchid 0x8113…288b	45	$13.0K	3,516	06-07 22:38
Shy-Asphalt 0xbc54…2eec	45	$8.61K	1,182	06-07 12:18