Far-Off-Log — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-29 11:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 100% +$1

Other

20% 100% +$2

Sports

15% 100% +$2

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	4	$475	238	238	+0	open	—	03-17 04:18
Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$252	127	127	+0	open	—	04-19 07:44
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$252	126	126	+0	open	—	03-24 09:15
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by january 31	2	$252	126	126	+0	open	—	02-01 07:11
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$251	126	126	+0	open	—	03-24 09:37
will nicolai hojgaard win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$238	120	120	+0	open	—	03-02 09:01
Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$234	117	117	+0	open	—	04-25 11:55
Will Donna Vekić win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$231	116	116	+0	open	—	04-23 12:08
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$225	113	113	+0	open	—	01-18 03:21
Will Athletic Club win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$223	112	112	+0	open	—	01-19 06:10
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$222	111	111	+0	open	—	02-10 09:07
Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	04-23 12:40
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	01-27 06:28
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$219	110	110	+0	open	—	01-27 07:08
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$200	100	100	+0	open	—	02-10 09:32
bitcoin above 70k on april 4	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	04-04 12:23
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	03-27 14:26
bitcoin above 62k on april 3	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	04-03 04:58
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 2	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	04-02 10:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	1	$136	136	0	+136	open	—	04-01 04:51
bitcoin above 62k on march 30	1	$131	132	0	+132	open	—	03-30 10:11
ethereum above 1800 on march 29	1	$131	131	0	+131	open	—	03-29 07:20
bitcoin above 72k on march 28	1	$131	131	0	+131	open	—	03-28 07:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	04-15 07:40
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$129	129	0	+129	open	—	03-25 11:56
bitcoin above 62k on april 6	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	04-06 05:41
bitcoin above 70k on march 31	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	03-31 12:50
bitcoin above 80k on april 17	1	$126	126	0	+126	open	—	04-17 02:55
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 22	1	$126	126	0	+126	open	—	03-22 10:16
will the price of ethereum be between 2800 2900 on february 1	1	$126	126	0	+126	open	—	02-01 07:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-29 11:14:16	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $430 in May?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x4e212e…
05-28 12:12:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x1372c1…
05-25 11:04:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xfd34bd…
05-24 11:28:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xa14041…
05-24 11:19:51	LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	RED Canids	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x515791…
05-23 11:42:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x061bb0…
05-20 08:34:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x09c97e…
05-19 09:24:34	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	116	99¢	$115	0x09651d…
05-19 05:26:48	Geneva Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Raphael Collignon	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xae530c…
05-18 06:45:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x21e545…
05-18 05:17:30	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xb8cc58…
05-17 11:33:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xa42417…
05-16 07:09:56	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	6	44¢	$2	0x4898ac…
05-14 10:05:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x400dc4…
05-13 06:17:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x772cac…
05-12 08:24:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xaeaadf…
05-11 08:32:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x39af8d…
05-11 08:22:17	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Seattle Mariners	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x9140e8…
05-10 06:16:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xca53d2…
05-09 04:28:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xcb29bf…
05-08 04:27:08	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x25081e…
05-06 07:07:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x9df567…
05-06 06:14:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Taylor Townsend vs Nuria Brancaccio	Taylor Townsend	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0x8a1504…
05-05 02:43:24	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x82aeb5…
05-04 05:05:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x733432…
05-02 04:43:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xbcf17a…
05-01 07:35:54	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x6f49f8…
04-30 09:40:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x415d7f…
04-28 06:42:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 28?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0xc97f6d…
04-27 05:47:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x98049e…
04-26 07:26:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xcfbe88…
04-25 12:37:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 25?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xd8191f…
04-25 12:07:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	1,540	0¢	$3	0xf96808…
04-25 11:56:12	New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x80dbd6…
04-25 11:55:26	Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x30a463…
04-25 11:34:46	Will Georgia win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xc05abd…
04-24 09:08:20	bitcoin above 82k on april 24	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xb4c4f6…
04-24 08:55:42	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Natus Vincere	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x994377…
04-23 12:47:44	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x091a55…
04-23 12:40:42	Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x852470…
04-23 12:17:32	Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xa7916f…
04-23 12:14:58	Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x9b6df0…
04-23 12:08:08	Will Donna Vekić win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	SELL	116	100¢	$115	0x57ca0f…
04-23 11:22:42	Will Donna Vekić win the 2026 Women’s French Open?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$115	0x105143…
04-22 09:15:44	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x1eef3a…
04-21 04:02:24	solana above 100 on april 21	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x31f00e…
04-20 09:56:28	ethereum above 2500 on april 20	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x9967b9…
04-19 11:37:56	bitcoin above 72k on april 19	No	BUY	1,033	0¢	$3	0xac0af9…
04-19 11:36:48	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 19	Yes	BUY	1,010	0¢	$2	0x9f63c6…
04-19 10:13:44	ethereum above 2500 on april 19	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2b8bc8…
04-19 07:55:44	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	975	0¢	$2	0x21c432…
04-19 07:53:16	ethereum above 2500 on april 19	Yes	BUY	1,555	0¢	$3	0x4aafed…
04-19 07:44:46	Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	SELL	127	100¢	$126	0xb34231…
04-19 07:27:22	Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$126	0x6de4c1…
04-17 02:55:30	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x34c35a…
04-16 09:13:14	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	No	BUY	803	0¢	$2	0xc92e5d…
04-16 09:09:26	will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	660	0¢	$1	0x5e628d…
04-15 07:40:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x7f1a45…
04-14 03:58:09	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x9a2c0b…
04-14 03:50:03	mlb tb cws 2026 04 14	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0xf434a9…
04-14 03:48:41	mlb tb cws 2026 04 14	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	6	56¢	$4	0x0d3aac…
04-13 02:45:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on april 13	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xb4b93f…
04-12 10:04:47	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 12	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x4c7ae5…
04-11 04:03:09	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 11	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x40e952…
04-10 08:28:23	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 300 319	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x48fd9c…
04-09 11:53:13	ethereum above 2000 on april 9	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xf33d32…
04-08 03:55:17	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 8	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x296dba…
04-07 12:25:51	ethereum above 1800 on april 7	Yes	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x491211…
04-07 12:18:21	nba mia tor 2026 04 07	Heat	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xc014b3…
04-06 05:41:59	bitcoin above 62k on april 6	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x31a610…
04-05 06:49:59	will ethereum dip to 1600 march 30 april 5	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0b2337…
04-05 04:08:19	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 5	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$2	0x8b94ae…
04-05 04:04:15	bitcoin above 72k on april 5	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x18587a…
04-05 04:02:39	solana above 70 on april 5	No	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x9dac7e…
04-05 04:02:13	lol jdg blg 2026 04 05	JD Gaming	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x2c5b6b…
04-04 12:23:23	bitcoin above 70k on april 4	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xab9487…
04-03 04:58:09	bitcoin above 62k on april 3	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x2a313b…
04-02 10:09:47	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 2	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x0feda2…
04-01 04:51:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xfaa8bb…
03-31 12:50:39	bitcoin above 70k on march 31	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x2601c9…
03-31 12:45:15	cricipl pun guj 2026 03 31	Punjab Kings	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0xa2648e…
03-30 10:11:02	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0x9d9be1…
03-29 07:20:10	ethereum above 1800 on march 29	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xe573f1…
03-28 07:23:59	bitcoin above 72k on march 28	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x24753a…
03-28 07:17:21	nhl phi det 2026 03 28	Red Wings	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0xa9e7fc…
03-27 14:26:21	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 300 319	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x38e361…
03-25 11:56:27	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0xf341ed…
03-25 11:40:37	khl avt sal 2026 03 25	Salavat Yulaev Ufa	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x869949…
03-24 09:49:09	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 420 439	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x2f4bdf…
03-24 09:38:37	nhl tor bos 2026 03 24	Maple Leafs	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x9017ab…
03-24 09:37:07	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x7f1c81…
03-24 09:17:19	Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xd00396…
03-24 09:15:33	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$126	0x5817a3…
03-24 08:52:07	Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x76c620…
03-22 10:16:19	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on march 22	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0xab4795…
03-21 10:20:55	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	Yes	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x63281d…
03-20 07:34:39	ethereum above 2400 on march 20	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x14ae74…
03-18 07:45:07	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0xd7b327…
03-17 04:24:43	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 17	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x15ff2e…
03-17 04:18:55	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	116	100¢	$116	0xd3c418…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	67	$136.5K	2,249	05-28 11:04
(anonymous) 0x90bb…531f	64	$817	2,810	04-28 07:37
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	60	$6.20K	3,359	04-16 20:34
Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e	60	$2.53K	61	05-28 11:46
Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965	58	$238.9K	2,164	05-28 09:51
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f	52	$53.6K	965	05-25 10:26
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	52	$1.87K	869	05-23 14:56
(anonymous) 0xb6fe…7394	50	$246.0K	2,673	04-28 03:53