Incompatible-Vase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$534

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$242

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 10-07 07:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

89% 71% +$534

Politics

11% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No		+8	$5	88¢	$7	+$2	09-04 13:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+3	$2	87¢	$3	+$0	10-07 07:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	2	$745	381	381	+0	No	$0	05-17 05:42
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	3	$710	363	363	+0	open	—	05-16 05:42
Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	2	$686	352	352	+0	No	-$2	05-15 08:36
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	2	$637	339	339	+0	open	—	07-04 09:08
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	2	$636	350	350	+0	open	—	07-03 03:41
Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	1	$372	400	0	+400	CD Huachipato	+$28	05-17 05:44
Spread: SV Werder Bremen (-2.5)	1	$356	373	0	+373	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	+$17	05-16 05:52
Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)	1	$342	358	0	+358	Shanghai Haigang FC	+$16	05-15 08:42
j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	1	$314	319	0	+319	Vanraure Hachinohe FC	-$314	04-08 07:57
sea udi com 2026 04 06 spread home 1pt5	1	$301	315	0	+315	Como 1907	+$14	04-06 04:47
sea rom pis 2026 04 10 spread away 1pt5	1	$300	304	0	+304	AS Roma	+$4	04-10 11:05
lal ala osa 2026 04 05 spread away 2pt5	1	$291	301	0	+301	Deportivo Alavés	+$10	04-05 07:24
chi tie bgu 2026 04 04 spread home 2pt5	1	$252	260	0	+260	Beijing Guoan FC	+$8	04-04 05:12
chi ron qin 2026 04 03 spread away 1pt5	1	$246	252	0	+252	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	+$6	04-03 06:30
lol hrts use1 2026 03 23	1	$206	528	0	+528	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	+$322	03-23 08:57
dota2 aur1 pain 2026 03 25	2	$99	472	0	+472	Aurora	-$99	03-25 09:40
uef svk kvx 2026 03 26 total 4pt5	2	$39	564	0	+564	Over	+$525	03-26 07:39
china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	09-04 13:50
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	10-07 07:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 07:18:35	Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x938df0…
09-04 13:50:39	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xad03b4…
07-04 09:08:23	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	339	94¢	$317	0x2c043f…
07-04 05:52:58	Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	339	94¢	$320	0xbd0be6…
07-03 03:41:46	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	350	90¢	$316	0x50ad45…
07-03 02:48:50	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	350	92¢	$320	0xb61bf6…
05-17 05:44:37	Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	CD Huachipato	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0x29287a…
05-17 05:42:20	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	SELL	381	98¢	$372	0xcc4a9b…
05-17 03:03:09	Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?	No	BUY	381	98¢	$373	0xa74ea5…
05-16 05:52:06	Spread: SV Werder Bremen (-2.5)	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	BUY	373	96¢	$356	0xf065d8…
05-16 05:42:11	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	SELL	353	98¢	$345	0x26b2ef…
05-16 02:46:57	Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?	No	BUY	363	98¢	$356	0xd441c7…
05-15 08:42:40	Spread: Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5)	Shanghai Haigang FC	BUY	358	95¢	$342	0xf10db1…
05-15 08:36:07	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	No	SELL	352	97¢	$342	0x004e6f…
05-15 05:11:57	Will Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?	No	BUY	352	98¢	$344	0xacafa2…
04-10 11:05:11	sea rom pis 2026 04 10 spread away 1pt5	AS Roma	BUY	304	99¢	$300	0x126dbe…
04-08 07:57:53	j2100 tsc van 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	Tochigi SC	BUY	319	98¢	$314	0x86ca52…
04-06 04:47:55	sea udi com 2026 04 06 spread home 1pt5	Como 1907	BUY	315	96¢	$301	0x0d94e1…
04-05 07:24:33	lal ala osa 2026 04 05 spread away 2pt5	Deportivo Alavés	BUY	301	97¢	$291	0x8dd603…
04-04 05:12:23	chi tie bgu 2026 04 04 spread home 2pt5	Beijing Guoan FC	BUY	260	97¢	$252	0x0438e2…
04-03 06:30:43	chi ron qin 2026 04 03 spread away 1pt5	Chengdu Rongcheng FC	BUY	252	98¢	$246	0xdf6be4…
03-26 07:39:49	uef svk kvx 2026 03 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	328	7¢	$23	0x26a426…
03-26 07:39:11	uef svk kvx 2026 03 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	236	7¢	$17	0x288c0c…
03-25 09:40:53	dota2 aur1 pain 2026 03 25	paiN Gaming	BUY	304	21¢	$64	0xb9e797…
03-25 09:40:53	dota2 aur1 pain 2026 03 25	paiN Gaming	BUY	168	21¢	$35	0x107105…
03-23 08:57:59	lol hrts use1 2026 03 23	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	BUY	528	39¢	$206	0x040a45…