Spectacular-Sonnet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

278 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$115.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$414

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-28 11:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

80% 87% +$640

Politics

12% 80% -$25

Sports

6% 100% +$30

Crypto

2% 50% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by march 31	42	$9.8K	4,335	5,735	-1,400	No	-$33	02-21 00:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$9.1K	6,264	3,192	+3,072	No	+$56	07-02 21:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	13	$7.7K	4,267	4,267	+0	No	+$425	05-05 18:36
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	3	$6.2K	3,097	3,097	+0	No	+$12	07-15 17:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$6.1K	3,164	3,000	+164	No	+$13	07-27 22:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	13	$5.6K	2,815	2,815	+0	No	+$28	06-20 04:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$5.5K	2,760	2,760	+0	No	+$63	06-01 16:25
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	3	$5.4K	2,798	2,798	+0	No	-$26	05-05 23:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$5.4K	2,695	2,695	+0	No	+$16	05-15 15:35
will mrbeasts latest video get 2022 million views on day 1 835 752	16	$3.3K	1,506	1,769	-263	No	+$1	02-22 16:11
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$2.8K	2,783	0	+2,783	No	+$10	06-03 23:45
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$2.8K	2,763	0	+2,763	No	+$6	06-02 13:21
Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	1	$2.7K	2,707	0	+2,707	Yes	+$3	05-06 22:41
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 5?	1	$2.7K	2,695	0	+2,695	No	+$3	05-21 13:08
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 50m and 75m views in its first 7 days	3	$2.6K	1,746	844	+902	No	+$15	02-11 22:27
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 125m and 150m views in its first 7 days	2	$2.5K	1,268	1,268	+0	No	+$9	02-14 12:55
will mrbeasts next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1 974	8	$2.4K	1,181	1,181	+0	No	+$4	01-12 06:29
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	2	$2.1K	2,102	0	+2,102	Yes	+$5	07-21 10:32
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	1	$1.8K	1,803	0	+1,803	Yes	+$2	02-27 15:36
will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	3	$1.8K	1,801	0	+1,801	No	+$2	02-25 16:22
amzn above 270 on february 6 2026	1	$1.7K	1,707	0	+1,707	No	+$19	02-05 15:24
will mrbeasts next video get less than 40 million views on day 2	3	$1.6K	1,594	0	+1,594	Yes	+$10	02-09 14:05
will mrbeasts next video get 51pt0 million or more views on day 6	1	$1.2K	1,257	0	+1,257	No	+$13	02-13 00:42
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 264	8	$1.2K	1,170	0	+1,170	Yes	+$6	01-08 19:30
will mrbeasts next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 437	3	$1.1K	1,105	42	+1,063	No	+$4	01-08 15:28
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$1.1K	1,143	0	+1,143	Yes	+$1	04-08 16:17
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 348	2	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	+$1	01-14 19:38
will mrbeast hit 465 million subscribers by january 31 316 216 943	5	$1.0K	575	575	+0	Yes	+$56	01-31 02:05
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 595	5	$946	1,001	0	+1,001	Yes	+$55	01-30 12:53
aapl above 290 on january 2 2026	1	$933	934	0	+934	No	+$1	01-02 16:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 11:29:27	Will DN SOOPers make a roster change by December?	Yes	BUY	64	76¢	$49	0xad9e81…
09-28 11:19:51	Will Team Heretics make a roster change by December?	No	SELL	70	0¢	$0	0x5cc915…
09-28 01:28:21	Will Team Heretics make a roster change by December?	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xf3a2ca…
09-28 01:26:39	Will Team Heretics make a roster change by December?	No	SELL	90	2¢	$2	0xda78ab…
09-28 01:17:08	Will Team Heretics make a roster change by December?	No	BUY	180	30¢	$54	0x283a66…
09-28 01:04:36	will mrbeast hit 526 million subscribers by september 30 2026	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xf71295…
09-15 22:24:10	Will MrBeast hit 526 million subscribers by September 30?	No	BUY	39	82¢	$32	0xa168aa…
09-15 22:23:27	Will MrBeast hit 523 million subscribers by September 30?	No	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x58cb25…
08-25 17:00:10	Will "Alien" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of August 24?	Yes	SELL	45	60¢	$27	0x838082…
08-24 02:47:57	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x713c32…
08-24 02:46:25	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x67769f…
08-24 02:46:13	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	33	6¢	$2	0x5ad9d5…
08-24 02:42:39	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0x1eb0cb…
08-24 02:42:18	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xedbfb5…
08-24 01:59:22	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x89312a…
08-24 01:59:09	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2?	Yes	SELL	60	13¢	$8	0xd084e5…
08-24 01:57:21	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 2?	Yes	BUY	145	15¢	$22	0xcb066d…
08-22 23:50:46	will alien be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 24	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0xa342c7…
08-22 23:49:51	will alien be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 24	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6b7a9c…
08-21 10:29:30	will mrbeast hit 516 million subscribers by august 31 20260730200401397	No	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xd14d64…
08-21 09:22:52	will mrbeast hit 516 million subscribers by august 31 20260730200401397	No	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x219a0d…
08-21 02:09:39	will mrbeast hit 516 million subscribers by august 31 20260730200401397	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xe7d38c…
08-20 00:12:21	will mrbeast hit 516 million subscribers by august 31 20260730200401397	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc97297…
08-19 13:03:42	will mrbeast hit 140 billion views by august 31 20260731213821979	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x69ba20…
08-19 03:27:27	will mrbeast hit 516 million subscribers by august 31 20260730200401397	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xfaefcd…
08-19 03:11:43	will mrbeast hit 516 million subscribers by august 31 20260730200401397	No	BUY	45	70¢	$31	0x708382…
08-19 02:11:30	will mrbeast hit 516 million subscribers by august 31 20260730200401397	No	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0xdd981d…
07-27 22:54:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,985	0x11179d…
07-24 01:14:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3,164	99¢	$3,136	0x9b3948…
07-21 10:32:24	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1,100	100¢	$1,097	0xaf4522…
07-21 08:22:03	Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?	Yes	BUY	1,002	100¢	$1,000	0x0b4a37…
07-15 17:47:32	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	3,097	100¢	$3,094	0x4b8060…
07-13 00:31:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3,084	100¢	$3,072	0x7c22a2…
07-02 21:48:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,072	100¢	$3,063	0xdc4520…
07-02 21:47:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xbd5986…
06-25 03:02:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,192	96¢	$3,049	0xe7841b…
06-22 00:22:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	529	95¢	$502	0xf877e2…
06-21 21:42:44	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x33fdd1…
06-21 15:06:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	532	94¢	$500	0xe6ca1c…
06-21 15:05:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x6c272f…
06-21 15:05:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1,915	94¢	$1,800	0x10a849…
06-20 04:30:05	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	2,483	100¢	$2,480	0xbf9d6e…
06-20 03:47:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	302	100¢	$302	0xa84185…
06-20 03:21:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9108c1…
06-20 03:21:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6a1760…
06-20 03:21:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd89382…
06-20 03:21:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x56849f…
06-20 03:08:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x950219…
06-20 03:08:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x07d0dc…
06-20 03:08:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd9bdcb…
06-20 03:08:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe3d03c…
06-20 03:08:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x726194…
06-20 03:07:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x818648…
06-20 02:28:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$199	0x77065d…
06-09 00:06:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	BUY	2,815	99¢	$2,784	0x6d647f…
06-04 04:47:54	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0dec95…
06-04 02:35:06	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x2bc369…
06-04 02:34:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 59 and 60 million views on day 5?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x209318…
06-04 02:34:36	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 57 million views on day 5?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xfb120c…
06-03 23:45:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,768	100¢	$2,762	0xadd2a9…
06-02 13:21:30	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	2,763	100¢	$2,757	0x2ae85b…
06-01 16:25:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,760	100¢	$2,757	0xa832ab…
05-26 00:48:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,760	98¢	$2,695	0xf13ee0…
05-21 13:08:01	Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 61 million views on day 5?	No	BUY	2,695	100¢	$2,692	0xa2aa4f…
05-15 15:35:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x610d40…
05-15 15:32:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	281	100¢	$280	0x483115…
05-15 15:28:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	2,306	100¢	$2,304	0xeb3f28…
05-11 04:38:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	2,695	99¢	$2,676	0x4a76b5…
05-11 04:38:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x284bb4…
05-11 04:37:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xa65163…
05-06 22:41:47	Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,707	100¢	$2,704	0x8bae83…
05-05 23:05:44	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	999	98¢	$974	0xa2ebe0…
05-05 22:58:32	Will MrBeast get married by December 31?	Yes	SELL	32	66¢	$21	0xec286f…
05-05 19:15:46	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	1,799	95¢	$1,709	0x630d6d…
05-05 18:37:00	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	2,798	97¢	$2,709	0x899581…
05-05 18:36:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	2,712	100¢	$2,709	0x5f6180…
05-04 14:18:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	659	100¢	$658	0xdf26de…
05-03 16:04:54	Will MrBeast get married by December 31?	Yes	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xac7575…
05-03 16:04:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	684	100¢	$683	0x5488a7…
04-24 13:21:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,437	97¢	$1,396	0x88a577…
04-21 14:33:18	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	561	100¢	$560	0xdb5b48…
04-21 14:26:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x5152fe…
04-21 14:26:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	500	80¢	$400	0xbba8e5…
04-21 14:21:48	will 80 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between april 13 april 19 362	Yes	BUY	665	100¢	$664	0xdfbb38…
04-21 14:20:52	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	170	100¢	$170	0xf5cb1c…
04-20 16:26:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xa5ade3…
04-19 14:45:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	323	72¢	$232	0xc91c72…
04-19 14:44:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x5dc0c0…
04-19 14:42:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	70	72¢	$51	0xd6ff59…
04-19 07:24:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	171	79¢	$135	0xfa8dd9…
04-15 12:24:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,531	75¢	$1,148	0x62023a…
04-15 12:23:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x772b33…
04-11 14:12:29	Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	647	100¢	$647	0x24a812…
04-09 01:44:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	501	100¢	$500	0xee543c…
04-08 16:17:33	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1,143	100¢	$1,142	0xef5ce5…
04-07 22:38:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xeed90e…
03-29 01:04:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	82	93¢	$76	0xd0eaed…
03-25 12:56:27	will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 4	No	BUY	326	99¢	$322	0xaa4ae7…
03-21 01:54:55	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	330	98¢	$322	0x734b9f…
03-20 21:42:43	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	82	87¢	$71	0x852031…