Realized P&L
+$140
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
43.8%
Resolved
76
Trades
89
lifetime
Volume
$241
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$30
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 10-26 08:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 38 days
Categories
Other
42% 31% +$77
Politics
33% 38% +$2
Sports
20% 25% +$67
Crypto
4% 0% -$4
Tech
2% 33% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +16 $13 84¢ $14 +$1 10-26 06:28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +8 $6 58¢ $5 -$1 09-28 04:54
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +5 $5 93¢ $5 $0 09-25 05:05
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $5 19¢ $3 -$2 05-31 07:32
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +79 $6 2¢ $2 -$4 05-06 19:17
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +200 $1 0¢ $1 $0 09-17 19:47
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +5 $1 16¢ $1 $0 10-26 08:28
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +167 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-17 19:47
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +1 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 05-31 07:32