Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$65.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.46K

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved

126

Trades

1,343

lifetime

Volume

$1.62M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.20K

Open exposure

$38.0K

16 positions

First seen

2026-07-02

last 11-01 07:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

92% 67% +$62,603

Politics

8% 52% +$2,597

Crypto

0% 57% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	+17,474	$16,081	96¢	$16.7K	+$607	11-01 05:09
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	+12,244	$11,387	97¢	$11.9K	+$520	11-01 05:24
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+7,257	$5,878	80¢	$5.8K	-$109	11-01 07:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	+2,668	$2,252	98¢	$2.6K	+$355	10-30 03:33
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	+917	$826	99¢	$909	+$83	10-30 03:52
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	+10	$9	98¢	$10	+$0	08-28 03:08
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?	No	+10	$9	98¢	$10	+$0	08-28 03:04
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+10	$9	97¢	$10	+$1	08-30 02:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+10	$10	97¢	$10	+$0	08-28 03:06
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+10	$9	94¢	$9	+$0	08-30 08:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+10	$9	84¢	$8	$0	08-29 08:25
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	10-26 12:05
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+5	$4	95¢	$5	+$0	10-10 01:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	+5	$5	94¢	$5	$0	10-02 14:46
Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	+5	$5	93¢	$5	+$0	10-27 22:23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	+5	$4	66¢	$3	$0	10-26 12:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	129	$277.6K	279,675	7,945	+271,730	No	+$8,020	09-12 15:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	63	$167.1K	84,262	84,262	+0	No	+$1,169	08-31 02:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	28	$60.8K	35,005	29,080	+5,925	No	+$2,842	11-01 05:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	30	$58.7K	61,136	0	+61,136	No	+$2,415	08-25 10:48
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	6	$55.8K	69,924	0	+69,924	Yes	+$14,086	07-06 02:22
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	1	$51.0K	55,474	0	+55,474	Yes	+$4,438	07-04 22:33
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	7	$49.1K	51,130	0	+51,130	Ghana	+$2,045	07-04 03:15
lol th fnc 2026 08 07	22	$45.7K	24,292	24,292	+0	Team Heretics	+$2,837	08-07 20:19
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	3	$44.8K	46,122	0	+46,122	No	+$1,310	07-31 14:45
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	7	$41.7K	48,695	0	+48,695	Yes	+$6,961	07-03 04:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	53	$41.3K	43,437	0	+43,437	No	+$2,127	08-08 02:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	28	$41.3K	39,354	3,594	+35,760	No	+$661	09-03 15:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	2	$40.0K	40,940	0	+40,940	Yes	+$936	10-17 10:22
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	1	$37.8K	42,360	0	+42,360	Yes	+$4,587	07-03 00:56
lol gen dnf 2026 08 10 game2	34	$37.7K	20,479	20,479	+0	DN SOOPers	+$3,231	08-10 16:19
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	50	$35.1K	19,174	19,174	+0	open	—	10-19 10:59
lol shft gx 2026 08 07	55	$34.3K	19,341	19,341	+0	GIANTX	+$1,008	08-07 17:45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	25	$34.1K	18,205	18,205	+0	No	+$2,113	10-15 14:43
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	21	$32.9K	38,329	3,477	+34,853	Yes	+$2,892	07-02 20:33
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	7	$30.2K	16,390	16,390	+0	No	+$983	08-09 06:20
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	11	$29.1K	21,095	10,548	+10,548	No	+$1,913	08-18 14:08
lol sk navi 2026 08 08	13	$24.2K	20,000	11,073	+8,927	Natus Vincere	-$2,451	08-08 16:38
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 spread away 2pt5	54	$23.8K	25,097	0	+25,097	Brazil	+$1,339	07-05 22:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	17	$22.3K	23,460	1,489	+21,971	No	+$1,891	09-11 03:33
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	52	$20.8K	12,539	12,539	+0	No	+$0	09-06 04:20
kharg island no longer under iranian control by september 30 20260730004207224	4	$20.2K	10,519	10,519	+0	No	+$10	08-10 15:48
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	10	$19.8K	19,720	2,246	+17,474	open	—	11-01 05:09
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner	9	$17.0K	12,371	8,743	+3,628	Nongshim Red Force	+$1,858	08-23 11:32
Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	90	$15.6K	15,928	15,928	+0	No	-$10,232	10-28 05:18
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	37	$14.2K	8,151	8,151	+0	No	+$1,582	08-18 08:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 07:18:15	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,257	81¢	$5,878	0xf2dec8…
11-01 05:24:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1,525	93¢	$1,418	0xc418a6…
11-01 05:09:21	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	10,000	91¢	$9,100	0xed3174…
11-01 05:08:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10,535	100¢	$10,525	0xfaa810…
11-01 02:14:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	10,719	93¢	$9,969	0x797769…
10-31 22:03:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,550	99¢	$5,511	0x6a7c8a…
10-31 21:49:30	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb146cd…
10-31 21:48:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4,450	99¢	$4,419	0x1125c2…
10-30 03:52:58	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	912	90¢	$822	0x3cb3b1…
10-30 03:33:31	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	Yes	BUY	2,668	84¢	$2,252	0xfc59ae…
10-30 03:23:24	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	SELL	2,246	83¢	$1,864	0x150af3…
10-29 12:00:20	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	882	98¢	$869	0x140cda…
10-29 11:59:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	220	98¢	$217	0xa87678…
10-29 11:59:17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	106	98¢	$104	0x9f1fb4…
10-28 20:49:11	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	2,113	91¢	$1,923	0x42b345…
10-28 20:45:28	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	556	91¢	$506	0x2ea808…
10-28 20:15:34	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2318f5…
10-28 20:04:08	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xa0b4f8…
10-28 20:02:47	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x34cb70…
10-28 19:46:25	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x2b7f31…
10-28 18:57:52	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	3,000	91¢	$2,730	0x669d67…
10-28 17:42:22	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	3,968	91¢	$3,611	0x446bb0…
10-28 15:59:29	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6,000	98¢	$5,910	0x76ecf4…
10-28 15:59:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x29d857…
10-28 15:59:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$40	0x38399c…
10-28 15:58:59	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,197	98¢	$1,179	0xd347dc…
10-28 05:18:29	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	237	16¢	$38	0x7b31e0…
10-28 05:18:28	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xd4197b…
10-28 05:18:28	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	404	16¢	$65	0xb0504a…
10-28 05:16:22	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	2,000	16¢	$320	0xe14c12…
10-28 05:16:22	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	96	16¢	$15	0xdead82…
10-28 05:16:22	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	248	16¢	$40	0x687bcc…
10-28 05:16:20	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	58	16¢	$9	0xa6fb0e…
10-28 05:16:20	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x99c63b…
10-28 05:15:41	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	3,952	16¢	$624	0xd08bf6…
10-28 05:15:41	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	1,991	16¢	$318	0x163a57…
10-28 00:47:33	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	226	16¢	$36	0xca01d4…
10-28 00:47:33	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	107	16¢	$17	0xa7fb22…
10-28 00:47:33	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x78da1d…
10-27 22:27:39	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	72	16¢	$11	0xbaaba2…
10-27 22:23:30	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x528f78…
10-27 21:10:54	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	206	16¢	$32	0xdf6bf7…
10-27 21:03:33	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	95	16¢	$15	0x52bc70…
10-27 21:03:32	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xf45e62…
10-27 21:03:32	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	276	16¢	$44	0x4c8ff3…
10-27 20:00:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	106	55¢	$58	0xc255ea…
10-27 20:00:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	75	55¢	$41	0x5e05b2…
10-27 20:00:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	489	55¢	$269	0x9982f6…
10-27 20:00:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	974	55¢	$536	0x8cf010…
10-27 20:00:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	645	55¢	$355	0xd87fb2…
10-27 19:59:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	55¢	$550	0xe4fe80…
10-27 17:57:05	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	70	16¢	$11	0x80c4c7…
10-27 09:06:47	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x90248e…
10-27 06:13:41	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x3b8e59…
10-27 06:13:36	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x2169ee…
10-27 06:13:17	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x62af33…
10-27 06:12:54	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	81	18¢	$15	0x901379…
10-27 06:12:54	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	294	18¢	$54	0x0b8347…
10-27 05:49:45	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x188b47…
10-27 05:49:42	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x221a39…
10-27 05:37:24	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x4ca27d…
10-27 05:37:21	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	2,000	18¢	$364	0xfc32a4…
10-27 05:37:21	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	250	18¢	$46	0xcfe72b…
10-27 05:37:21	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	403	18¢	$73	0xbc475c…
10-27 05:37:21	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x6c520a…
10-27 05:37:21	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0x39cf1f…
10-27 05:37:21	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	1,653	18¢	$301	0x117a94…
10-27 05:37:21	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	81	18¢	$15	0x0f398d…
10-26 22:38:56	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	79	18¢	$14	0x0a63dd…
10-26 18:54:41	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	165	18¢	$30	0x062cda…
10-26 18:52:20	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	3	18¢	$0	0xf26325…
10-26 17:02:27	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xc099ad…
10-26 17:02:27	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	90	18¢	$16	0x476e15…
10-26 12:05:32	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2d1d88…
10-26 12:05:12	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x702462…
10-26 11:53:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb04fbe…
10-26 00:13:50	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	63	19¢	$12	0x05d20e…
10-24 00:43:20	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0xb8d372…
10-24 00:42:36	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	54	19¢	$11	0x234fe8…
10-23 21:51:14	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0xbd1866…
10-23 21:00:35	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$2	0x637da0…
10-23 15:21:12	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	190	19¢	$36	0x490d30…
10-23 06:22:12	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xa05a63…
10-21 17:54:38	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xf3f08d…
10-21 17:54:38	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0x21d123…
10-21 17:54:27	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xe5de80…
10-21 17:54:27	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0xd2a411…
10-19 12:08:02	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	896	89¢	$797	0x7c0622…
10-19 12:05:38	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xf55588…
10-19 12:05:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xf0dffc…
10-19 12:02:12	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	106	89¢	$94	0x211c50…
10-19 11:43:50	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x854a78…
10-19 10:59:14	Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	SELL	619	90¢	$556	0x0c15ef…
10-19 10:50:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8,780	89¢	$7,814	0x152229…
10-19 10:48:59	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8,555	91¢	$7,785	0x663cc7…
10-19 10:46:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,111	91¢	$1,011	0x93cf25…
10-19 10:45:41	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	334	91¢	$304	0xc49ee6…
10-19 06:55:39	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	326	93¢	$303	0x80d982…
10-19 06:55:20	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	146	82¢	$119	0xc34d7b…
10-19 06:55:18	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	640	82¢	$522	0xf66fee…