Ecstatic-Household — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$568

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.3%

Resolved

127

Trades

206

lifetime

Volume

$1.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 07-17 14:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 58 days

Categories

Politics

62% 12% -$299

Other

18% 10% -$216

Crypto

15% 47% -$45

Sports

4% 22% -$1

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$4

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	5	$260	1,770	1,770	+0	No	-$2	01-26 22:16
will the us next strike iran on january 26 2026 et 241	2	$145	2,350	2,350	+0	No	-$53	01-25 21:44
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	3	$136	1,008	100	+908	Yes	-$102	01-30 14:38
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$133	2,898	2,898	+0	No	-$67	03-31 09:00
will the us strike somalia next 656	1	$100	100,000	0	+100,000	Yes	-$100	01-26 22:39
us strikes iran by january 25 2026 759 796 449	2	$100	966	966	+0	No	-$1	01-24 18:52
will the us next strike iran on february 9 2026 et	4	$54	2,758	2,758	+0	No	+$3	02-04 19:33
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$52	3,081	1,683	+1,398	No	-$33	04-01 10:54
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$34	500	500	+0	No	$0	01-25 20:59
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$26	113	113	+0	No	$0	03-30 17:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 19:25 UTC	2	$26	19	19	+0	Up	+$12	02-21 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 10:30 UTC	2	$25	72	18	+54	Down	-$16	02-20 10:33
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$22	111	111	+0	No	$0	07-01 23:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 10:05 UTC	1	$20	21	0	+21	Up	+$0	02-20 10:09
will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28	1	$20	1,284	0	+1,284	Yes	-$20	02-06 20:48
us strikes iran by feb 28 odds 30 by friday	1	$20	16,368	0	+16,368	Yes	-$20	02-04 19:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 19:30 UTC	1	$19	1,861	0	+1,861	Up	-$19	02-21 19:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 19:20 UTC	2	$14	7	7	+0	Down	+$0	02-21 19:25
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	5	$14	217	74	+143	No	-$4	03-31 09:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 18:30 UTC	2	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	02-21 18:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 22:35 UTC	1	$12	35	0	+35	Up	-$12	02-20 22:39
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	2	$12	2,922	0	+2,922	Yes	-$12	01-26 23:06
spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	1	$12	962	0	+962	Down	-$12	03-03 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 22:45 UTC	2	$12	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	02-21 22:50
will the us next strike iran during the week of february 22 28 2026 et	2	$11	8	8	+0	Yes	+$1	02-28 06:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 22:30 UTC	1	$11	12	0	+12	Up	+$1	02-20 22:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 18:25 UTC	2	$11	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	02-21 18:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 22:20 UTC	1	$11	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	02-20 22:24
fif cyp mol 2026 03 30 spread away 2pt5	6	$10	10,230	0	+10,230	Cyprus	-$10	03-30 18:56
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$10	7	7	+0	Yes	+$0	02-28 06:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 14:03:36	bitcoin above 64k on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x07d1d0…
07-17 13:56:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5b17a4…
07-17 13:52:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9472ea…
07-01 23:33:41	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread away 2pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xd55359…
07-01 23:28:05	will ethereum reach 1650 on july 1	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3760a1…
07-01 23:23:13	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xcfad94…
07-01 23:23:04	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x397a99…
07-01 22:09:52	Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc50ce2…
07-01 22:09:34	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x14327c…
07-01 22:04:47	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xd61756…
07-01 22:00:59	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x1c1d10…
07-01 18:04:10	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2a9a21…
07-01 18:03:53	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x115d39…
07-01 18:03:19	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x221f6e…
07-01 18:02:41	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7cabca…
07-01 18:01:32	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x17a405…
07-01 18:01:17	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa22d59…
06-23 18:35:20	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xea57c9…
06-23 18:26:32	Will Julie Won be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0xa5517f…
06-23 09:10:32	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0xe6aa8b…
06-23 09:09:47	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0xa14c2d…
06-23 09:07:13	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0xb749b9…
06-22 22:25:01	Will Julie Won be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xc59138…
06-22 22:18:25	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x630ae5…
06-22 22:00:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 21:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5bff8d…
06-22 21:59:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc32213…
06-22 15:13:20	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6e4dc3…
06-22 14:39:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8fe7b8…
06-22 14:26:50	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Austria?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf767e4…
06-22 14:26:10	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Austria?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x57e9dc…
06-13 18:28:46	fifwc bra mar 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	76	11¢	$8	0x83a0c0…
06-13 18:21:01	wta kasints kawa 2026 06 13 set handicap away 1pt5	Kawa	BUY	134	1¢	$1	0xe6603b…
06-13 10:41:49	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	94	11¢	$10	0x9436ed…
06-13 10:16:31	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 spread home 2pt5	Qatar	BUY	1,118	0¢	$6	0x2eddaf…
06-13 10:07:00	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0xcb1b55…
06-13 09:48:07	cs2 b8 fut 2026 06 13 map handicap home 1pt5	FUT Esports	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x46b12d…
06-12 22:19:42	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xc9b840…
06-11 19:38:57	wta tomljan yastrem 2026 06 11	Ajla Tomljanovic	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9fdc46…
06-11 19:36:36	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	96	1¢	$1	0x6fdd70…
06-09 11:13:55	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1fdc78…
06-09 11:05:49	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0xf42a53…
06-08 08:55:30	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0x356fd4…
06-08 08:47:12	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xc75296…
06-07 21:31:31	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x966199…
06-07 21:31:15	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xa0ddd5…
06-07 21:17:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x68ccfa…
06-07 21:17:27	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x371c62…
06-07 20:16:00	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x942566…
06-01 16:50:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?	Down	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xf1208d…
06-01 13:08:28	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	49	4¢	$2	0x12a2d6…
05-31 23:34:01	Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	49	4¢	$2	0xba5102…
05-31 23:03:17	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4e55b6…
05-26 11:22:05	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x5ff139…
05-26 11:21:35	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x56f3c7…
05-26 11:21:26	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0xf05c4e…
05-25 21:30:36	Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xed920d…
05-25 21:30:27	Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x50d018…
05-25 20:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb5f7a3…
05-25 20:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2647ce…
05-25 20:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x149ae9…
05-25 20:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc5fc0a…
05-25 20:50:35	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x8ff2f1…
05-24 21:32:46	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x0ae250…
05-21 12:31:42	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xf8bab8…
05-21 12:31:35	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2647fe…
05-21 12:31:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc77d56…
05-14 14:31:15	Will Jared Kushner attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	201	1¢	$2	0x9b2f84…
05-13 19:50:37	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x95c03a…
05-12 09:16:05	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0x515efd…
05-10 16:51:29	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0xed7963…
05-10 08:57:26	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xdabf05…
05-09 21:46:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xc19fd0…
05-09 21:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x25d028…
04-25 14:14:44	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0xa48c0b…
04-25 14:14:34	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xc9fba3…
04-18 11:15:08	Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xd9de36…
04-18 11:15:00	Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x740c49…
04-15 10:23:18	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x3f4b6a…
04-01 10:54:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,398	1¢	$8	0x267410…
04-01 10:53:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	1,677	1¢	$8	0x8640e5…
03-31 09:18:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,677	2¢	$32	0x6069ac…
03-31 09:05:35	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0xe4d6ab…
03-31 09:00:39	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	2,898	1¢	$33	0x88d9a9…
03-30 18:56:49	fif cyp mol 2026 03 30 spread away 2pt5	Moldova	BUY	575	0¢	$1	0xf8f5ad…
03-30 18:56:49	fif cyp mol 2026 03 30 spread away 2pt5	Moldova	BUY	4,681	0¢	$5	0xc3688c…
03-30 18:56:49	fif cyp mol 2026 03 30 spread away 2pt5	Moldova	BUY	2,749	0¢	$3	0x826869…
03-30 18:56:49	fif cyp mol 2026 03 30 spread away 2pt5	Moldova	BUY	865	0¢	$1	0x63e036…
03-30 18:56:49	fif cyp mol 2026 03 30 spread away 2pt5	Moldova	BUY	675	0¢	$1	0x492f0b…
03-30 18:56:49	fif cyp mol 2026 03 30 spread away 2pt5	Moldova	BUY	685	0¢	$1	0x091a1e…
03-30 17:40:53	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	113	11¢	$13	0xb23790…
03-30 16:13:55	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	113	12¢	$13	0x3bf143…
03-30 15:59:19	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,898	3¢	$100	0x9e3dd2…
03-28 23:06:10	will bitcoin reach 71k on march 28	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xfb3d5d…
03-25 20:49:09	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	Yes	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0x0b151e…
03-25 20:48:31	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x0a81e6…
03-18 10:11:27	will elon musks net worth be between 700b and 710b on march 31	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x6e524d…
03-17 23:31:33	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xca2171…
03-17 23:30:23	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	SELL	52	7¢	$4	0xa2bee8…
03-17 16:45:13	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	BUY	52	11¢	$6	0xc84e1b…
03-17 09:44:23	will any country expel a us ambassador by march 31	Yes	SELL	17	3¢	$1	0x353c19…