Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
24
lifetime
Volume
$634
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$653
24 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-06 17:41
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
79%
Other
13%
Sports
8%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,982 $-396 20¢ $-406 $-10 05-06 17:41
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No -106 $-47 45¢ $-47 $-0 05-06 17:41
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes -109 $-37 37¢ $-40 $-4 05-06 17:41
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? Yes -79 $-38 50¢ $-40 $-2 05-06 17:41
Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat? Yes -19 $-15 80¢ $-15 $-0 05-06 17:41
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No -29 $-11 48¢ $-14 $-3 05-06 17:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? Yes -47 $-14 30¢ $-14 +$0 05-06 17:41
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? Yes -54 $-11 22¢ $-12 $-1 05-06 17:41
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) Khamzat Chimaev -13 $-11 82¢ $-11 $-0 05-06 17:41
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes -270 $-10 $-10 $-0 05-06 17:41
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes -46 $-11 21¢ $-10 +$2 05-06 17:41
Trump out as President before 2027? No -10 $-9 86¢ $-9 $-0 05-06 17:41
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -7 $-3 48¢ $-3 +$0 05-06 17:41
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? No -64 $-4 $-3 +$0 05-06 17:41
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -44 $-3 $-3 +$0 05-06 17:41
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31? Yes -16 $-2 17¢ $-3 $-0 05-06 17:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -3 $-2 80¢ $-2 $-0 05-06 17:41
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10? No -31 $-2 $-2 +$0 05-06 17:41
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31? Yes -12 $-2 17¢ $-2 $-0 05-06 17:41
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -5 $-2 40¢ $-2 $-0 05-06 17:41
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -117 $-2 $-2 $-0 05-06 17:41
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31? Yes -3 $-1 32¢ $-1 +$0 05-06 17:41
Will Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark? Yes -1 $-1 76¢ $-1 $-0 05-06 17:41
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? Yes -341 $-0 $-1 $-0 05-06 17:41