Spectacular-Arcade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.88K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

49.0%

Resolved

4,695

Trades

8,982

lifetime

Volume

$84.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$230

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 04:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 261 days

Categories

Other

41% 53% -$1,188

Crypto

32% 60% -$606

Sports

18% 61% -$930

Politics

7% 19% -$162

Tech

1% 33% +$15

Pop-Culture

0% 17% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	-220	-$178	81¢	$-178	+$1	05-22 02:40
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-220	-$41	19¢	$-42	-$1	05-22 02:40
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+25	$5	22¢	$5	+$0	07-26 03:56
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+23	$5	16¢	$4	-$1	07-26 03:56
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+22	$2	6¢	$1	-$1	07-26 03:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	25	$2.3K	1,900	1,900	+0	No	-$6	03-29 23:49
nba mem lal 2026 01 02	4	$1.4K	966	966	+0	Lakers	+$11	01-03 04:08
wta sherif pedone 2026 06 03	16	$1.2K	1,159	922	+237	Giorgia Pedone	-$57	06-04 18:12
cbb sanclr uk 2026 03 20	2	$840	1,000	1,000	+0	Kentucky Wildcats	+$0	03-20 03:46
Birmingham: Clement Chidekh vs Filippo Romano	15	$790	511	511	+0	Filippo Romano	-$30	06-02 18:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	18	$777	1,290	600	+690	Yes	-$121	04-04 23:17
atp searle poling 2026 06 05	8	$764	598	598	+0	Karl Poling	-$84	06-05 18:40
nba uta gsw 2026 01 03	1	$685	1,427	0	+1,427	Warriors	-$685	01-04 04:08
cbb niowa stjohn 2026 03 20	2	$680	2,000	2,000	+0	St. John's Red Storm	+$0	03-20 22:25
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$595	400	400	+0	Yes	-$7	03-30 14:22
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo	5	$573	316	316	+0	Felix Auger-Aliassime	+$39	06-01 17:06
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	3	$563	317	317	+0	Knicks	+$64	06-06 03:26
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	13	$560	575	575	+0	Up	-$2	03-22 19:19
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi	19	$559	363	325	+38	Matteo Arnaldi	+$20	06-01 23:07
cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	1	$550	1,000	0	+1,000	Iowa Hawkeyes	-$550	03-27 01:18
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	15	$501	442	434	+8	Joao Fonseca	-$51	05-29 18:58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$481	350	350	+0	No	-$1	03-30 06:02
spx opens up or down on march 19 2026	8	$412	400	400	+0	Down	-$12	03-19 02:16
cbb iowa fl 2026 03 22	7	$411	346	329	+17	Iowa Hawkeyes	+$1	03-23 01:21
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul	17	$409	252	252	+0	Tommy Paul	-$35	05-22 18:00
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$402	400	400	+0	Yes	+$2	04-01 13:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$385	200	200	+0	No	+$2	03-18 20:35
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	18	$384	325	325	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	-$26	05-10 03:30
cbb ark arz 2026 03 26	2	$376	1,000	1,000	+0	Arizona Wildcats	-$64	03-27 02:16
Thunder vs. Spurs	12	$374	244	244	+0	Thunder	-$6	05-23 03:31
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	3	$326	200	200	+0	Yes	-$2	05-22 13:15
spx up or down on march 31 2026	6	$322	224	224	+0	Up	+$10	03-31 14:00
will jannik sinner win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	13	$313	300	450	-150	Yes	+$1	03-22 23:04
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	3	$302	200	200	+0	No	-$10	06-08 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$297	0	300	-300	Down	-$3	06-03 14:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 04:17:57	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin	Sofia Kenin	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x7c60d1…
10-27 04:02:53	Guangzhou Open: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Sofia Kenin	Sofia Kenin	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x322465…
10-27 02:32:09	Maple Leafs vs. Flames	Flames	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x23cffb…
10-27 01:33:54	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xd58a13…
10-27 01:30:45	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfbd8e1…
10-27 01:26:45	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xb93651…
10-27 01:08:06	Wizards vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x28473a…
10-27 00:52:06	Wizards vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x86ce7c…
10-27 00:40:53	Wizards vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xafd5cb…
10-27 00:03:14	Wizards vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2c5d56…
10-26 23:53:29	Wizards vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf67649…
10-26 23:12:17	Wizards vs. Hornets	Hornets	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x390299…
10-26 22:35:41	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Despina Papamichail	Nauhany Leme Da Silva	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x5cc101…
10-26 18:32:02	Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj	Karl Poling	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x52aad7…
10-26 18:03:30	Brest: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Federico Cina	Federico Cina	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x61b940…
10-26 18:00:09	Brest: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Federico Cina	Federico Cina	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x782663…
10-26 17:37:14	Guayaquil: Filip Misolic vs Alex Hernandez	Filip Misolic	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xe1aaf6…
10-26 16:14:30	Curitiba: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Julia Camargo	Julia Camargo	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x016043…
10-26 15:42:30	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x07d317…
10-26 15:33:06	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x20ec83…
10-26 15:09:57	Guayaquil: Filip Misolic vs Alex Hernandez	Filip Misolic	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x884c82…
10-23 01:25:39	Liberty vs. Kennesaw State	Liberty	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x050880…
10-23 01:24:38	Liberty vs. Kennesaw State	Liberty	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4f4ffe…
10-23 00:48:14	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x76f758…
10-22 23:54:23	Cavaliers vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x9ad61b…
10-22 23:46:11	Liberty vs. Kennesaw State	Liberty	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x735d42…
10-22 23:22:47	Rangers vs. Maple Leafs	Maple Leafs	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x36e312…
10-22 23:12:15	Sharks vs. Senators	Senators	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x976e2a…
10-22 23:11:42	Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jong	J.J. Wolf	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x870aac…
10-22 22:41:15	Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jong	J.J. Wolf	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfd64cc…
10-22 22:30:03	Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jong	J.J. Wolf	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8f8ee2…
10-22 22:29:53	Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jong	Alexander Maarten Jong	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x4493ab…
10-22 22:17:36	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x332d9d…
10-22 22:17:09	Fort Worth: J.J. Wolf vs Alexander Maarten Jong	Alexander Maarten Jong	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xc35adb…
10-22 20:44:50	Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb31729…
10-22 18:02:33	Cali: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Nicolas Jarry	Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5ff84a…
10-22 17:16:47	Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xa1cee7…
10-22 16:21:51	Cali: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana	Carlos Maria Zarate	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xeb88c6…
10-22 16:21:35	Cali: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Felipe Meligeni Alves	Felipe Meligeni Alves	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x8029db…
10-22 15:24:18	Cali: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Francisco Comesana	Carlos Maria Zarate	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x6b3e54…
10-22 15:23:47	Florence: Henry Searle vs Matthew William Donald	Henry Searle	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x0de704…
10-22 14:51:05	Florence: Henry Searle vs Matthew William Donald	Henry Searle	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x2f6bb7…
10-21 02:29:36	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xe5b1e9…
10-21 01:32:53	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x1b677e…
10-21 01:07:17	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x322699…
10-21 00:33:15	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x5eb006…
10-20 17:03:30	Lukko Rauma vs. HIFK Helsinki	HIFK Helsinki	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x5824ca…
10-20 16:52:53	Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x82292d…
10-20 15:26:32	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xdf612d…
10-20 13:11:29	European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Marcos Giron	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x58c788…
10-20 13:06:41	Ningbo Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Daria Snigur	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7c381b…
10-20 13:06:15	Ningbo Open: Hanyu Guo vs Ekaterina Alexandrova	Hanyu Guo	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x632e5e…
10-20 13:05:53	Florence: Henry Searle vs Massimo Giunta	Henry Searle	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1adc73…
10-20 02:47:11	Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x0749fe…
10-20 02:25:41	Penguins vs. Utah	Utah	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x736255…
10-20 02:25:27	Commanders vs. 49ers	49ers	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6cea2d…
10-19 03:17:33	Cowboys vs. Packers	Packers	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x703c9e…
10-19 00:11:14	Will CA River Plate win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xddd7e5…
10-19 00:10:51	Blue Jackets vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x007cac…
10-18 23:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x46296e…
10-18 15:35:57	Texans vs. Jaguars	Texans	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0e1c3a…
10-18 14:13:35	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-18?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x418f4f…
10-18 02:14:57	Blues vs. Predators	Predators	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x97f55d…
10-18 02:05:39	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x0f26a4…
10-17 14:58:12	Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe38c5c…
10-17 14:52:35	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x272ee2…
10-17 14:51:48	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x895e2e…
10-17 14:36:26	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-17?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3b7cb0…
10-17 05:16:29	wta yamaguc kenin 2026 10 17	Mei Yamaguchi	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd3743f…
10-17 05:16:19	wta qu putints 2026 10 17	Yihan Qu	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdb456c…
10-17 05:16:07	wta dart saigo 2026 10 17	Rina Saigo	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x770833…
10-17 05:15:55	wta liu sawashi 2026 10 17	Kanon Sawashiro	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x77274a…
10-17 05:15:46	wta kraus kobori 2026 10 17	Momoko Kobori	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x515c94…
10-17 05:15:32	wta ito grant 2026 10 17	Tyra Caterina Grant	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0be444…
10-17 04:45:52	Will Club Tijuana vs. Club Puebla end in a draw?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x59ef07…
10-17 03:57:20	Nuggets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd0f214…
10-17 03:34:57	Trail Blazers vs. Warriors	Trail Blazers	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfe6223…
10-17 03:34:35	Columbia vs. Penn	Penn	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc616bf…
10-17 03:34:23	Bruins vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x5f1aa7…
10-17 03:02:50	Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina	Appalachian State	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x1b5624…
10-17 02:35:33	Penguins vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x42dd0f…
10-17 02:35:21	Washington vs. Purdue	Purdue	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5f21a2…
10-17 02:35:03	Memphis vs. Tulane	Memphis	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x984f04…
10-17 01:25:30	Celtics vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcfa057…
10-17 01:24:57	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0x98e29d…
10-17 01:01:59	Heat vs. Magic	Heat	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x75b932…
10-17 01:01:30	Appalachian State vs. Coastal Carolina	Appalachian State	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x719485…
10-17 01:01:18	Celtics vs. 76ers	Celtics	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x8d09b9…
10-16 15:49:46	itf gatica1 urruti1 2026 10 16	Maria Florencia Urrutia	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x035804…
10-16 15:41:33	atp balshaw brunold 2026 10 16	Felix Balshaw	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x2577d4…
10-16 15:14:22	atp trungel passaro 2026 10 16	Francesco Passaro	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3b4d35…
10-16 13:14:03	wta ishii avanesy 2026 10 16	Sayaka Ishii	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4ba75e…
10-16 13:13:43	wta salkova boskovi 2026 10 16	Lea Boskovic	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x5e5d21…
10-16 13:11:27	wta burel marista 2026 10 16	Guiomar Maristany	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xa40f22…
10-16 13:11:12	Mallorca: Francesca Curmi vs Elizara Yaneva	Francesca Curmi	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x151765…
10-16 13:10:58	Lisbon: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Polona Hercog	Polona Hercog	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x67448f…
10-16 04:26:01	wta andrees stefani 2026 10 16	Lucrezia Stefanini	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x889982…
10-16 04:16:04	wta shnaide ostapen 2026 10 15	Jelena Ostapenko	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xccac55…
10-16 01:58:09	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd0de19…
10-16 01:14:34	Thunder vs. Rockets	Thunder	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xe05ce5…